The Index · Live

Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs · #15

Quarterback · 6'2", 225 lb · Tyler, Texas · Age 31

Patrick Mahomes is the Kansas City Chiefs' star quarterback, a three-time Super Bowl champion and three-time Super Bowl MVP (LIV, LVII, LVIII) and two-time NFL MVP (2018, 2022), widely regarded as one of the most talented and improvisational quarterbacks in NFL history.

QuarterbackDrafted 10th overall9-yr veteran
⚖ Quick compare
P
Patrick Mahomes
★ Legendary
Kansas City Chiefs · #15 · Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes
Season avg3,587 pass yds · 22 td · 11 int
Career avg35,939 pass yds · 267 td · 85 int
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
3,587yds
22td
11int
LADDER#19 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 64 — Solid starter tierINDEXPatrick Mahomes · Kansas City ChiefsLADDER#19 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 64 — Solid starter tierINDEXPatrick Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs
Scouting report

Patrick Mahomes — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

B-
Quarterback · Solid starter · Impact 64
Patrick Mahomes is the Kansas City Chiefs' star quarterback, a three-time Super Bowl champion and three-time Super Bowl MVP (LIV, LVII, LVIII) and two
A
Passing
C+
Efficiency
C+
Scoring
A
Passing volume
Elite · offense
tap for the data ↓
B
Efficiency
Strong · offense
tap for the data ↓
A-
Scoring
Excellent · offense
tap for the data ↓
C
Accuracy
Solid · offense
tap for the data ↓
D
Ball security
Average · offense
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Patrick Mahomes stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams
59%
2
Jared Goff Detroit Lions
19%
3
Drake Maye New England Patriots
10%
4
Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys
9%
5
Trevor Lawrence Jacksonville Jaguars
2%
Balladex Consensus: #427 of 2270 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
MVP odds
64Impact index
2037Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file3
3× Super Bowl · 3× Super Bowl MVP
Stat explorer

Patrick Mahomes — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

A
Passing
3,587 YDS
drill in ↓
B
Efficiency
89.6 RTG
drill in ↓
A-
Scoring
22 TD
drill in ↓
D
Ball security
11 INT
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Patrick Mahomes

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026  modeled
3344
pass yds
3106–3582
21
td
19–23
10
int
9–11
91.4
rating
85.9–96.9
15
games
14–16
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 9-season history below.
What moves the pass yds line vs last season
Last season 3587 → projected 3344 pass yds
Baseline (recency-weighted)
+213.0
Age curve
-456.0
Net vs last season-243.0 pass yds
Everything it reads
📊
9 seasons of real box production
every game line, verified
real
Recency × games weight
recent, healthy years anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Year-over-year trend
his own trajectory, season to season
+dev
🕰
Position aging curve
age 31 — applied to the projection
curve
🏈
Role & usage context
target / carry share and snaps fold in
+ctx
🏥
Availability signal
games last 3: 16 / 16 / 14
health
The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Patrick Mahomes career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGCmp%YdsTDINTRate
2017162.92840176.4
2018 MVP1666.05,0975012113.8
20191465.94,031265105.3
20201566.34,740386108.2
20211766.34,839371398.5
2022 MVP1767.15,2504112105.2
2023 CHIP1667.24,183271492.6
20241667.53,928261193.5
20251462.73,587221189.6
Career12635,93926785
Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.
Context

Are the Kansas City Chiefs built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

10–7proj record
74off index
82def index
+22net
69%playoff odds
74roster
Roster delta · what changed
Offense grades B- (74), defense B+ (82) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 67, pass rush 85, coverage 79.
How his role moves
Projected 10–7 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
64 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Legendary
Rank #10 of 2316 in NFL.
Résumé
3 accolades
3× Super Bowl · 3× Super Bowl MVP · 2× NFL MVP
Act IV

The Ballad of Patrick Mahomes

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Sep 17, 1995

The beginning

A three-sport Texas kid raised in an MLB clubhouse, who turned a "gimmicky" college résumé into the most electric arm the NFL had ever seen.

Kansas City Chiefs

Turning pro

Drafted 10th overall, 2017 as a Quarterback.

true

The son of a big-league pitcher who nearly chose baseball — then became the most electric quarterback the NFL had ever seen.

Chapter

Patrick grew up in Texas in a professional clubhouse — his father, Pat Mahomes, pitched eleven years in the majors. Young Patrick shagged fly balls next to big-leaguers and grew into a three-sport star, and he always credited that baseball arm for the throws no one else would dare.

Chapter

At Texas Tech he put up video-game numbers in a wide-open offense — and scouts split hard on him. Too gimmicky, some said. The Chiefs didn't blink: they traded up to take him 10th overall in 2017.

Off the court

Measurables
Active
Height
6'2"
Weight
225 lb
Draft
10th overall, 2017
Born
Tyler, Texas
Age
31
Jersey
#15
Off the Field

Mahomes is the son of former MLB pitcher Pat Mahomes, and grew up around big-league clubhouses — a background he credits for his arm strength and off-platform throwing. He married Brittany Mahomes, a former professional soccer player and part of the Kansas City Current ownership group, in 2022, and the couple has three children.

Beyond football he has become a major sports investor and philanthropist. He holds ownership stakes in the Kansas City Current (NWSL), Kansas City Royals (MLB) and Sporting Kansas City (MLS), with additional reported investments in Alpine F1 and other ventures. His 15 and the Mahomies Foundation, founded in 2019, focuses on improving children's lives, and he donated $5 million to Texas Tech in 2024.

The person

Joyful, fiercely competitive and endlessly inventive, Mahomes plays with a backyard creativity married to elite processing and clutch calm.

ImproviserThrows from any angle — sidearm, no-look, across his body — when plays break down.
Clutch GeneBuilt a reputation on fourth-quarter and overtime comebacks in the biggest games.
Baseball ArmCredits an MLB-clubhouse upbringing for off-platform arm talent and velocity.
Franchise LeaderThe unquestioned face of the Chiefs and one of the NFL's marquee stars.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Patrick Mahomes — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Patrick Mahomes, answered.

How many Super Bowls has Patrick Mahomes won?
Three — Super Bowls LIV, LVII, and LVIII — and he was named MVP of all three.
How many MVP awards does Mahomes have?
Two NFL MVP awards, in 2018 and 2022, plus three Super Bowl MVPs.
What happened to Patrick Mahomes in 2025?
He had a down season and tore his ACL and LCL in December, ending his year and causing him to miss the playoffs for the first time in his career.
Is Patrick Mahomes a Hall of Famer?
Effectively yes — with three championships, three Super Bowl MVPs, and two league MVPs by age 30, his induction is considered a formality once he becomes eligible.
Patrick Mahomes career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Patrick Mahomes

The Desk

The Desk weighs in on Patrick Mahomes

Five AI analysts, five different lenses — opinion, grounded in the real stats on this page. These are Balladex AI personas, not real people; the takes are interpretation, not new facts.

The Analyst· Data desk

267 career touchdown passes at better than a 3-to-1 ratio over interceptions is sustained, high-volume efficiency — a first-ballot profile well before 30. The only trend left to chart is whether the supporting cast keeps those numbers climbing.

The Coach· Culture & winning

Three rings and three Super Bowl MVPs isn't luck — it's a quarterback who raises everyone's standard in January. That's the intangible you can't coach and can't fake, and it's why the Chiefs are never counted out.

The Scout· Talent & projection

The off-platform throws and the improvisation are still the best in football; arm talent like this doesn't just evaporate. What a scout tracks now is the knee and the protection — the traits are intact, the circumstances are the variable.

The Historian· All-time context

Two league MVPs and three Super Bowl MVPs place him among a class of quarterbacks you can count on one hand — and he reached it before 30. In an era built for parity, that kind of peak is rarer than the raw totals suggest.

The Contrarian· Against the grain

The Hall case is closed, so here's the quiet part: the outlook itself asks whether 2025 was the start of the descent. Rings buy patience, but 'best in the league' is earned every fall, not inherited from the last decade.

Updated Aug 22, 2026

Current role & opportunity

Usage last season · depth chart current · nflverse
Depth chart
QB1
listed starter
Snap share
97%
of offensive snaps
Target share
0%
WOPR 0.00
Rush share
14%
of team carries
Listed as the starter (QB1) on the current depth chartEvery-down role (97% of snaps)

This role & opportunity data feeds the model's competition-aware projection — snap and target share from last season, depth-chart rank from the current roster.

Weekly matchups

Fantasy points allowed by position · 2026 schedule · Balladex
Next matchup
vs DEN
Week 1 · Tough
Season outlook
43
avg matchup score (0–100)
Smash / Tough
1 / 7
weeks favorable / tough
Playoff weeks
32
Wk 15–17 outlook
W1 vs DENW2 vs INDW3 @ MIAW4 @ LVW5 · BYEW6 vs LACW7 @ SEAW8 @ DENW9 vs NYJW10 @ ATLW11 vs ARIW12 @ BUFW13 @ LAW14 @ CINW15 vs NEW16 vs SFW17 @ LACW18 vs LV

Each week grades Patrick Mahomes's opponent by the fantasy points that defense allowed to his position (2025), tiered Smash → Avoid. A transparent Balladex model estimate; see the full weekly matchups grid.

Injury history

Weekly injury reports · nflverse
Injury episodes
18
since 2018
Games missed
1
listed Out
Lower-body
10
ankle / knee / soft-tissue
Concussions
1
head, reported
Most recent reports
2025 Wk15 · Knee2025 Wk14 · Knee2025 Wk13 · Groin2025 Wk6 · Groin2025 Wk5 · Groin2025 Wk4 · Wrist

Home surface: grass (natural grass).

Real weekly injury-report history (game-status designations, most recent 7 seasons). Rest days and load-management designations are excluded.

More Kansas City Chiefs players

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