Matchup model · Tuesday, November 10, 2026
Game markets
| Market | Season | Proj | Line | Over | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 26.1 | 26.3 | 26 | 52% | Lean over |
| Rebounds | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4 | 47% | Lean under |
| Assists | 6 | 6 | 6 | 50% | Lean over |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 36 | 36.2 | 36 | 51% | Lean over |
| Pts + Reb | 30 | 30.2 | 30 | 51% | Lean over |
| Pts + Ast | 32.1 | 32.3 | 32 | 52% | Lean over |
Why — matchup factors
Devin Booker draws Philadelphia 76ers's aggressive hedge & help scheme — hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side.
Primary assignment projects to VJ Edgecombe (solid defender, 76 Perimeter D), Jaylen Brown secondary, with Joel Embiid as the low-man/help.
Model lines Booker at 26.3 pts (range 22.2–30.3) vs a 26 line — a lean to clear it (52%).
Model favors Philadelphia 76ers (63%), projected 113–116, ~228 total at 96.8 pace.
| Market | Season | Proj | Line | Over | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.2 | 20.3 | 20 | 54% | Lean over |
| Rebounds | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 53% | Lean over |
| Assists | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 43% | Lean under |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 25.6 | 25.7 | 25.5 | 53% | Lean over |
| Pts + Reb | 23.8 | 23.9 | 24 | 49% | Lean under |
| Pts + Ast | 22 | 22.1 | 22 | 51% | Lean over |
Why — matchup factors
Dillon Brooks draws Philadelphia 76ers's aggressive hedge & help scheme — hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side.
Primary assignment projects to VJ Edgecombe (solid defender, 76 Perimeter D), Jaylen Brown secondary, with Joel Embiid as the low-man/help.
Model lines Brooks at 20.3 pts (range 17.2–23.4) vs a 20 line — a lean to clear it (54%).
Model favors Philadelphia 76ers (63%), projected 113–116, ~228 total at 96.8 pace.
| Market | Season | Proj | Line | Over | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 28.7 | 28.7 | 28.5 | 51% | Lean over |
| Rebounds | 6.9 | 6.9 | 7 | 47% | Lean under |
| Assists | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5 | 53% | Lean over |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 40.7 | 40.7 | 40.5 | 51% | Lean over |
| Pts + Reb | 35.6 | 35.6 | 35.5 | 51% | Lean over |
| Pts + Ast | 33.8 | 33.8 | 34 | 48% | Lean under |
Why — matchup factors
Jaylen Brown draws Phoenix Suns's aggressive hedge & help scheme — hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side.
Primary assignment projects to Jordan Goodwin (strong defender, 80 Perimeter D), Ryan Dunn secondary, with Mark Williams as the low-man/help.
Model lines Brown at 28.7 pts (range 24.3–33.1) vs a 28.5 line — roughly a coin flip to clear it (51%).
Biggest edge: venue — home floor — small boost.
Model favors Philadelphia 76ers (63%), projected 116–113, ~228 total at 96.8 pace.
| Market | Season | Proj | Line | Over | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 28.3 | 28.3 | 28.5 | 48% | Lean under |
| Rebounds | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4 | 53% | Lean over |
| Assists | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 52% | Lean over |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 39 | 39 | 39 | 50% | Lean under |
| Pts + Reb | 32.4 | 32.4 | 32.5 | 49% | Lean under |
| Pts + Ast | 34.9 | 34.9 | 35 | 49% | Lean under |
Why — matchup factors
Tyrese Maxey draws Phoenix Suns's aggressive hedge & help scheme — hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side.
Primary assignment projects to Jordan Goodwin (strong defender, 80 Perimeter D), Ryan Dunn secondary, with Mark Williams as the low-man/help.
Model lines Maxey at 28.3 pts (range 23.9–32.6) vs a 28.5 line — roughly a coin flip to clear it (48%).
Biggest edge: venue — home floor — small boost.
Model favors Philadelphia 76ers (63%), projected 116–113, ~228 total at 96.8 pace.