BALLADEX
The Index · Live

Bub CarringtonWashington Commanders · #7

Guard · 6'4", 190 lb · Baltimore, Maryland · Age 21 · 2nd season

Bub Carrington is a 6-foot-4 playmaking combo guard for the Washington Wizards from Baltimore, the 14th pick in 2024 (selected by Portland, rights traded to Washington). After one standout season at Pittsburgh, he stepped straight into the rotation, played all 82 games as a rookie, and made the 2025 All-Rookie Second Team — a durable, improving backcourt building block.

Washington Commanders rosterMore Guards
MVP race · #173Guard rank · #79Balladex Impact · 58
⚖ Quick compare
Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex · Updated
B
Bub Carrington
◆ Rated
Washington Commanders · #7 · Guard
Bub Carrington
Season avg10.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.6 ast · .424 fg
Career avg10.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 4.5 ast · .413 fg
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
10.7pts
3.4reb
4.6ast
LADDER#173 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 58 — Solid starter tierINDEXBub Carrington · Washington CommandersLADDER#173 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 58 — Solid starter tierINDEXBub Carrington · Washington Commanders
Scouting report

Bub Carrington — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Lead Guard · Shooter · Impact 58
Bub Carrington is a 6-foot-4 playmaking combo guard for the Washington Wizards from Baltimore, the 14th pick in 2024 (selected by Portland, rights tra
C+
Offense
D
Defense
C
Feel / IQ
C
Playmaking
Average creator
tap for the data ↓
C
Scoring
Average scorer
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D
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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B-
3PT / spacing
Strong spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A+
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Bub Carrington stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN▬
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL▬
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC▬
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA▬
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS▬
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN▬
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI▬
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN▬
2%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #205 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
58Impact index
129Star score
Career scoring average10.3 ppg
Seasons in the index2
Accolades on file2
1× All-Rookie Second Team (2025) · 14th Draft pick (2024)
Stat explorer

Bub Carrington — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C
Scoring
10.7 PPG
drill in ↓
C
Playmaking
4.6 APG
drill in ↓
D
Rebounding
3.4 RPG
drill in ↓
B-
Shooting
.408 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Bub Carrington

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  44% confidence
11.6
pts
8.1–15.1
3.1
reb
1.5–4.7
4.9
ast
3.5–6.3
27.1
min
proj
82
gp
health
.416
fg%
~base
.385
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 2-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 10.7 → projected 11.6 PPG
Minutes / role
-0.2
Development (his trend)
+0.8
Age curve
+0.1
Live context
+0.2
Net vs last season+0.9 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
2 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
⚖
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 21 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 82 / 82 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Bub Carrington career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2024-258230.09.84.24.4.401.339
2025-268227.710.73.44.6.424.408
Career16428.810.33.84.5
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Washington Commanders built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

15–67proj record
-42.5net index
50off index
8def index
94pace
Aggressive hedge & helpscheme
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Defensive anchors: Ahkello Witherspoon, Ale Kaho.
How his role moves
Primary guard role on a team grading 50 offense / 8 defense. No calibrated baseline for this team yet — record is modeled.
Balladex Impact
58 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
2 accolades
1× All-Rookie Second Team (2025) · 14th Draft pick (2024)
Act IV

The Ballad of Bub Carrington

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Jul 21, 2005

The beginning

A durable, playmaking combo guard — a Baltimore product and improving backcourt building block.

Washington Commanders

Turning pro

Drafted 14th overall, 2024 as a Guard.

true

A durable, playmaking combo guard — a Baltimore product and improving backcourt building block.

Chapter

Carrington opened his Pitt career with the program's first triple-double before Portland drafted him 14th in 2024.

Chapter

His rights were traded to Washington, and he played all 82 games as a rookie.

▶
▶
Carrington's story
The documentary, narrated

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 4"
Weight
190 lbs
College
Pittsburgh
Experience
2nd Season
Draft
14th overall, 2024
Born
Baltimore, Maryland
Age
21
Jersey
#7
Beyond the game

Carrington is a Baltimore product — a Saint Frances Academy star and second cousin of former NBA player Rudy Gay — whose nickname 'Bub' carries across generations of his family. He endured the loss of his father in 2025, and has channeled a grounded, professional approach into two durable, full-season NBA campaigns.

His on-court identity is size and playmaking — a 6-foot-4 combo guard who passes (four-plus assists a game), rebounds for his position, and has rapidly improved his shooting. His scoring efficiency is still developing, but his durability, feel, and sharp shooting growth mark him as a rising starting-caliber playmaker for Washington's young core.

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The person

A durable, playmaking combo guard — size, passing, and fast-improving shooting.

PlaymakerA 6-foot-4 guard averaging four-plus assists a game.
DurablePlayed all 82 games in both of his first two seasons.
Improving shooterRaised his three-point mark from .339 to .408 in year two.
Verified profiles & sources
WikipediaNBA.comBasketball-ReferenceESPN
FAQ

Bub Carrington — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Bub Carrington, answered.

How did Bub Carrington join the Wizards?
Portland drafted him 14th overall in 2024 and traded his rights to Washington on draft night.
What kind of player is Bub Carrington?
A 6-foot-4 playmaking combo guard who passes, rebounds for his size, and has sharply improved his three-point shooting.
Where does the nickname 'Bub' come from?
It carries across generations of his family, tied to his father's own nickname.
Bub Carrington career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Bub Carrington

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
100%
2 seasons
Last 3 seasons
100%
0 games missed
Games missed
0
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Iron man
steady
Availability by season
82
24-25
82
25-26

Iron man. Availability trend is steady — 100% of games over the last three seasons, low of 100% in 2024-25.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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