The Index · Live

Dereck Lively IIDallas Mavericks · #2

Center · 7-1, 230 lb · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Age 22 · 3rd season

Dereck Lively II is a 7-foot-1 Dallas Mavericks center out of Duke, drafted 12th in 2023 and traded to Dallas on draft night, who made the 2024 All-Rookie Second Team and helped Dallas reach the 2024 Finals as an athletic lob-finishing rim protector before foot injuries slowed him.

MVP race · #238Center rank · #43Balladex Impact · 60
⚖ Quick compare
D
Dereck Lively II
◆ Rated
Dallas Mavericks · #2 · Center
Dereck Lively II
Season avg4.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.9 ast · .611 fg
Career avg8.4 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.6 ast · .721 fg
Live win probabilityMavericks 56%
Balladex model · projected 118–116 · 100 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
6.6pts
6.6reb
2.1ast
56%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Dereck Lively II
Dallas Mavericks · Center
F
vs
76
Jalen Duren
Detroit Pistons · Solid defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#238 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 60 — Solid starter tierINDEXDereck Lively II · Dallas MavericksLADDER#238 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 60 — Solid starter tierINDEXDereck Lively II · Dallas Mavericks
Scouting report

Dereck Lively II — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Lob-Threat Center · Impact 60
Dereck Lively II is a 7-foot-1 Dallas Mavericks center out of Duke, drafted 12th in 2023 and traded to Dallas on draft night, who made the 2024 All-Ro
F
Offense
C+
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
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D
Scoring
Below average scorer
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B
Rebounding
Strong on the glass
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F
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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B
Paint / rim D
Excellent at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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F
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Dereck Lively II stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets
44%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat
23%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder
19%
4
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers
6%
5
Kyrie Irving Dallas Mavericks
3%
Balladex Consensus: #220 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
MVP odds
60Impact index
144Star score
Career scoring average8.4 ppg
Seasons in the index3
Accolades on file3
All-Rookie 2024 Second Team · Finals 2024 (runner-up)
Stat explorer

Dereck Lively II — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

D
Scoring
4.3 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
1.9 APG
drill in ↓
B
Rebounding
5.3 RPG
drill in ↓
F
Shooting
.000 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Dereck Lively II

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  41% confidence
3.7
pts
0.3–7.1
5.0
reb
3.3–6.7
1.9
ast
0.5–3.3
15.1
min
proj
30
gp
health
.690
fg%
~base
.000
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 3-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 4.3 → projected 3.7 PPG
Minutes / role
-0.3
Development (his trend)
-0.4
Age curve
+0.0
Live context
+0.1
Net vs last season-0.6 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
3 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 22 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 55 / 36 / 7 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Dereck Lively II career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2023-245523.58.86.91.1.747.000
2024-253623.18.77.52.4.702.000
2025-26716.44.35.31.9.611.000
Career9822.88.47.01.6
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Dallas Mavericks built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

28–54proj record
#12conf seed
-5.1net rtg
110.4off rtg
115.4def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Daniel Gafford, Dereck Lively II.
How his role moves
Projected 28–54, 12th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
60 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
3 accolades
All-Rookie 2024 Second Team · Finals 2024 (runner-up) · ACC All-Defensive 2023
Act IV

The Ballad of Dereck Lively II

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

February 12, 2004

The beginning

A 7-foot-1 shot-blocking, lob-catching center from Philadelphia, Dereck Lively II arrived in Dallas on draft night and immediately became a Finals-caliber anchor — when healthy.

Dallas Mavericks

Turning pro

Drafted 2023 Round 1, Pick 12 (Oklahoma City, traded to Dallas) as a Center.

true

Dereck Lively II turned draft-night uncertainty into an instant Finals role as Dallas's rookie rim protector.

Chapter

A five-star Philadelphia big, he won National Player of the Year honors at Westtown before anchoring Duke's defense for a single season.

Chapter

Oklahoma City drafted him 12th in 2023 and dealt him to Dallas, where he logged a double-double in his debut and started as a rookie.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Day-To-Day · INJURY_STATUS_DAYTODAYLively (foot) still hasn't progressed to running yet, per Christian Clark of The Athletic.
Height
7' 1"
Weight
230 lbs
College
Duke
Experience
3rd Season
Draft
2023 Round 1, Pick 12 (Oklahoma City, traded to Dallas)
Born
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Age
22
Jersey
#2
Off the Court

Lively's story is shaped by profound family loss handled here with care: his mother, Kathy Drysdale, a Penn State basketball standout who later worked for the 76ers, died in 2024 of Hodgkin's lymphoma; his father died in 2012. Her influence has been widely cited as central to his motivation.

He carries that legacy quietly, channeling it into a defense-first, team-oriented game rather than personal spotlight.

The person

Grounded, defense-minded and resilient, Lively plays with a maturity forged by personal adversity.

Rim ProtectorElite shot-blocking timing dating back to Duke and high school.
Lob ThreatVertical spacing and high-percentage finishing at the rim.
ResilientHas pushed through significant personal loss and injury setbacks.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Dereck Lively II — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Dereck Lively II, answered.

Which team drafted Dereck Lively II?
Oklahoma City selected him 12th overall in 2023, but his rights were immediately traded to the Dallas Mavericks.
Did Dereck Lively II make an All-Rookie team?
Yes — the 2024 NBA All-Rookie Second Team, after helping Dallas reach the Finals.
What is Lively's role with the Mavericks?
An athletic starting center — a lob-finisher and rim protector rather than a shooter or scorer.
Why did Lively miss most of 2025-26?
He played only seven games before undergoing season-ending right-foot surgery, announced in December 2025; foot and ankle issues have been his main durability concern.
Dereck Lively II career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Dereck Lively II

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
40%
3 seasons
Last 3 seasons
40%
148 games missed
Games missed
148
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Injury-prone
steady
Availability by season
55
23-24
36
24-25
7
25-26

Injury-prone. Availability trend is steady40% of games over the last three seasons, low of 9% in 2025-26.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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