The Index · Live

Jayson TatumBoston Celtics · #0

Forward · 6'8", 210 lb · St. Louis, Missouri · Age 28 · 9th season

Jayson Tatum is the franchise cornerstone of the Boston Celtics, a 2024 NBA champion, six-time All-Star, and four-time All-NBA First Team forward. Drafted 3rd in 2017 out of Duke, he led Boston to the 2024 title and is the only Celtic ever to average 30 points in a season. He tore his right Achilles in the 2025 playoffs and returned to play just 16 games in 2025-26.

MVP race · #33Forward rank · #6Balladex Impact · 83
⚖ Quick compare
J
Jayson Tatum
⬢ Rare
Boston Celtics · #0 · Forward
Jayson Tatum
Season avg21.8 pts · 10.0 reb · 5.3 ast · .411 fg
Career avg23.5 pts · 7.4 reb · 3.9 ast · .458 fg
Live win probabilityHawks 62%
Balladex model · projected 119–116 · 98.5 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
28.6pts
9.7reb
6.6ast
38%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Jayson Tatum
Boston Celtics · Forward
C+
vs
94
Dyson Daniels
Atlanta Hawks · Elite stopper
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#33 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 83 — All-Star level tierINDEXJayson Tatum · Boston CelticsLADDER#33 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 83 — All-Star level tierINDEXJayson Tatum · Boston Celtics
Scouting report

Jayson Tatum — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

B+
Franchise Wing · Two-Way Star · Impact 83
Jayson Tatum is the franchise cornerstone of the Boston Celtics, a 2024 NBA champion, six-time All-Star, and four-time All-NBA First Team forward. Dra
C+
Offense
C-
Defense
C+
Feel / IQ
C
Playmaking
Average creator
tap for the data ↓
B+
Scoring
Excellent scorer
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B-
Rebounding
Strong on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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C-
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
tap for the data ↓
B
Clutch
Excellent late
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B
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C+
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
tap for the data ↓
F
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Jayson Tatum stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
26%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
18%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
10%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
3%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
3%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #11 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
1%MVP odds
83Impact index
452Star score
Career scoring average23.5 ppg
Seasons in the index9
Accolades on file3
1× NBA Champion (2024) · 6× NBA All-Star
Stat explorer

Jayson Tatum — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

B+
Scoring
21.8 PPG
drill in ↓
C
Playmaking
5.3 APG
drill in ↓
B-
Rebounding
10.0 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
.329 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Jayson Tatum

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  71% confidence
21.5
pts
19.0–24.0
10.2
reb
9.0–11.4
5.7
ast
4.8–6.6
32.5
min
proj
44
gp
health
.454
fg%
~base
.351
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 9-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 21.8 → projected 21.5 PPG
Minutes / role
-0.1
Development (his trend)
-0.6
Age curve
+0.0
Live context
+0.4
Net vs last season-0.3 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
9 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 28 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 74 / 72 / 16 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Jayson Tatum career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2017-188030.513.95.01.6.475.434
2018-197931.115.76.02.1.450.373
2019-206634.323.47.03.0.450.403
2020-216435.826.47.44.3.459.386
2021-227635.926.98.04.4.453.353
2022-237436.930.18.84.6.466.350
2023-247435.726.98.14.9.471.376
2024-257236.426.88.76.0.452.343
2025-261632.621.810.05.3.411.329
Career60134.423.57.43.9
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Boston Celtics built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

63–19proj record
#2conf seed
+8.4net rtg
120off rtg
111.7def rtg
99%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Mitchell Robinson, Derrick White.
How his role moves
Projected 63–19, 2nd in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
83 of 99
All-Star level tier.
Rarity
◆ Rare
Rank #90 of 715 in NBA.
Résumé
3 accolades
1× NBA Champion (2024) · 6× NBA All-Star · 4× All-NBA First Team
Act IV

The Ballad of Jayson Tatum

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Mar 3, 1998

The beginning

A generational scorer and 2024 champion — Boston's franchise cornerstone, returning from a torn Achilles.

Boston Celtics

Turning pro

Drafted 3rd overall, 2017 as a Forward.

true

A generational scorer who won it all in 2024 — then tore his Achilles and fought all the way back.

Chapter

A St. Louis kid raised by his mother, Tatum starred at Duke and was drafted 3rd in 2017, reaching the Eastern Conference Finals as a rookie.

Chapter

He became a six-time All-Star and four-time All-NBA First Team forward — and the only Celtic ever to average 30 a game.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 8"
Weight
210 lbs
College
Duke
Experience
9th Season
NBA debut
2017
Draft
3rd overall, 2017
Born
St. Louis, Missouri
Age
28
Jersey
#0
Beyond the game

Family and faith anchor Tatum. His father Justin played pro ball and now coaches, his cousin is NBA coach Tyronn Lue, and his godfather is former NBA guard Larry Hughes. He is a devoted father to his son, Jayson 'Deuce' Tatum Jr., born during his rookie year and a fixture at Celtics celebrations, and is in a relationship with singer Ella Mai. In 2025 Duke named him its Chief Basketball Officer.

The Achilles injury reframed his 2025-26: after nearly ten months of rehab he returned in March 2026 to play 16 games, a patient comeback for a player still in his prime. His identity remains a versatile three-level scorer with elite footwork and basketball IQ — the kind of two-way forward franchises build around for a decade.

The person

A versatile, high-IQ three-level scorer and champion — a franchise forward built for the biggest stages.

Elite scorerOnly Celtic to average 30 a game; a record 55-point All-Star performance.
Playoff riser2022 Eastern Conference Finals MVP; led Boston to the 2024 title.
ResilientReturned from a torn Achilles to play in 2025-26.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Jayson Tatum — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Jayson Tatum, answered.

Did Jayson Tatum win an NBA championship?
Yes — he led the Celtics to the 2024 title, pacing the team in points, rebounds, and assists during the playoff run.
What happened to Jayson Tatum in 2025-26?
He tore his right Achilles in the 2025 playoffs and returned after roughly ten months of rehab to play 16 games in 2025-26.
Where did Jayson Tatum go to college?
Duke, for one season, before Boston drafted him 3rd overall in 2017.
Jayson Tatum career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Jayson Tatum

The Desk

The Desk weighs in on Jayson Tatum

Five AI analysts, five different lenses — opinion, grounded in the real stats on this page. These are Balladex AI personas, not real people; the takes are interpretation, not new facts.

The Analyst· Data desk

Four All-NBA First Teams and a title say elite; the 2025-26 line — 16 games at 41% off a torn Achilles — says be patient with the numbers. Judge him on the pre-injury baseline, not this recovery sample.

The Coach· Culture & winning

He led Boston to a championship as the clear number one, and how he leads the return matters as much as the return itself. Culture is built in the rehab nobody sees — that's the test in front of him now.

The Scout· Talent & projection

Pre-injury, the two-way scoring and the improved playmaking were still trending up. The Achilles is the one thing on tape you can't project cleanly; the burst coming back is what every scout will be watching.

The Historian· All-time context

A champion and four-time All-NBA First Teamer before 28 — the trajectory was all-time. Some greats return from a torn Achilles at full power and some never do; his place in history now rides on the comeback.

The Contrarian· Against the grain

Everyone assumes the title window just reopens the day he's back. Achilles tears have quietly ended primes before — the honest take is that Boston's whole future is a bet, not a guarantee.

Updated Aug 22, 2026

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
84%
9 seasons
Last 3 seasons
66%
84 games missed
Games missed
117
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
declining
Availability by season
80
17-18
79
18-19
66
19-20
64
20-21
76
21-22
74
22-23
74
23-24
72
24-25
16
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is declining66% of games over the last three seasons, low of 20% in 2025-26.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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