Matchup model · Friday, November 20, 2026
Game markets
| Market | Season | Proj | Line | Over | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.2 | 25.3 | 24 | 62% | Over |
| Rebounds | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 54% | Lean over |
| Assists | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4 | 59% | Over |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 33.7 | 35.2 | 33.5 | 63% | Over |
| Pts + Reb | 29.6 | 30.9 | 29.5 | 62% | Over |
| Pts + Ast | 28.3 | 29.6 | 28.5 | 59% | Over |
Why — matchup factors
Brandon Miller draws Chicago Bulls's aggressive hedge & help scheme — hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side.
Primary assignment projects to Isaac Okoro (strong defender, 82 Perimeter D), Patrick Williams secondary, with Nic Claxton as the low-man/help.
Model lines Miller at 25.3 pts (range 21.4–29.2) vs a 24 line — a good chance to clear it (62%).
Biggest edge: opponent defense — soft unit — points come easier.
Model favors Chicago Bulls (58%), projected 117–118, ~235 total at 99.2 pace.
| Market | Season | Proj | Line | Over | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.4 | 23.4 | 22.5 | 59% | Over |
| Rebounds | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4 | 59% | Over |
| Assists | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 57% | Lean over |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 32 | 33.4 | 32 | 62% | Over |
| Pts + Reb | 26.5 | 27.7 | 26.5 | 61% | Over |
| Pts + Ast | 27.9 | 29.2 | 28 | 60% | Over |
Why — matchup factors
Coby White draws Chicago Bulls's aggressive hedge & help scheme — hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side.
Primary assignment projects to Isaac Okoro (strong defender, 82 Perimeter D), Patrick Williams secondary, with Nic Claxton as the low-man/help.
Model lines White at 23.4 pts (range 19.8–27) vs a 22.5 line — a lean to clear it (59%).
Biggest edge: opponent defense — soft unit — points come easier.
Model favors Chicago Bulls (58%), projected 117–118, ~235 total at 99.2 pace.
| Market | Season | Proj | Line | Over | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.8 | 22.5 | 22 | 56% | Lean over |
| Rebounds | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 54% | Lean over |
| Assists | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 57% | Lean over |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 27.9 | 28.9 | 28 | 58% | Over |
| Pts + Reb | 25.3 | 26.2 | 25.5 | 57% | Lean over |
| Pts + Ast | 24.4 | 25.2 | 24.5 | 57% | Lean over |
Why — matchup factors
Norman Powell draws Charlotte Hornets's aggressive hedge & help scheme — hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side.
Primary assignment projects to Sion James (strong defender, 80 Perimeter D), Royce O'Neale secondary, with Moussa Diabate as the low-man/help.
Model lines Powell at 22.5 pts (range 19.1–26) vs a 22 line — a lean to clear it (56%).
Biggest edge: opponent defense — soft unit — points come easier.
Model favors Chicago Bulls (58%), projected 118–117, ~235 total at 99.2 pace.
| Market | Season | Proj | Line | Over | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.4 | 22.1 | 21.5 | 57% | Lean over |
| Rebounds | 6.9 | 7.1 | 7 | 53% | Lean over |
| Assists | 2.9 | 3 | 3 | 50% | Lean over |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 31.2 | 32.3 | 31 | 61% | Over |
| Pts + Reb | 28.3 | 29.3 | 28.5 | 57% | Lean over |
| Pts + Ast | 24.3 | 25.1 | 24.5 | 56% | Lean over |
Why — matchup factors
Matas Buzelis draws Charlotte Hornets's aggressive hedge & help scheme — hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side.
Primary assignment projects to Sion James (strong defender, 80 Perimeter D), Royce O'Neale secondary, with Moussa Diabate as the low-man/help.
Model lines Buzelis at 22.1 pts (range 18.7–25.5) vs a 21.5 line — a lean to clear it (57%).
Biggest edge: opponent defense — soft unit — points come easier.
Model favors Chicago Bulls (58%), projected 118–117, ~235 total at 99.2 pace.