The Index · Live

Matas BuzelisChicago Bulls · #14

Forward · 6'8", 196 lb · Chicago, Illinois · Age 22 · 2nd season

Matas Buzelis is a 6-foot-8 Lithuanian-American forward for the Chicago Bulls, born in Chicago and drafted 11th in 2024 out of the G League Ignite. An athletic two-way wing/forward and 2025 All-Rookie Second Team pick, he made a major leap in his second season — roughly doubling his scoring to 16.3 points a game with a 41-point high — as a rising cornerstone of the Bulls' rebuild.

MVP race · #108Forward rank · #49Balladex Impact · 62
⚖ Quick compare
M
Matas Buzelis
◆ Rated
Chicago Bulls · #14 · Forward
Matas Buzelis
Season avg16.3 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.1 ast · .463 fg
Career avg12.4 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.5 ast · .458 fg
Live win probabilityBulls 56%
Balladex model · projected 120–119 · 100.2 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
22.3pts
7.2reb
3.0ast
56%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Matas Buzelis
Chicago Bulls · Forward
C-
vs
82
Evan Mobley
Cleveland Cavaliers · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#108 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 62 — Solid starter tierINDEXMatas Buzelis · Chicago BullsLADDER#108 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 62 — Solid starter tierINDEXMatas Buzelis · Chicago Bulls
Scouting report

Matas Buzelis — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Athletic Two-Way Wing · Breakout · Impact 62
Matas Buzelis is a 6-foot-8 Lithuanian-American forward for the Chicago Bulls, born in Chicago and drafted 11th in 2024 out of the G League Ignite. An
C-
Offense
C
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
D
Playmaking
Below average creator
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C+
Scoring
Average scorer
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C
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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B-
Perimeter D
Strong on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C+
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A+
Durability
Availability
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Act II

Where Matas Buzelis stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #126 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
62Impact index
138Star score
Career scoring average12.4 ppg
Seasons in the index2
Accolades on file2
1× All-Rookie Second Team (2025) · 11th Draft pick (2024)
Stat explorer

Matas Buzelis — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C+
Scoring
16.3 PPG
drill in ↓
D
Playmaking
2.1 APG
drill in ↓
C
Rebounding
5.8 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
.349 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Matas Buzelis

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  43% confidence
20.1
pts
16.2–24.0
6.6
reb
4.9–8.3
2.6
ast
1.2–4.0
32.2
min
proj
78
gp
health
.460
fg%
~base
.353
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 2-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 16.3 → projected 20.1 PPG
Minutes / role
+1.7
Development (his trend)
+1.5
Age curve
+0.2
Live context
+0.4
Net vs last season+3.8 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
2 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 22 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 80 / 77 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Matas Buzelis career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2024-258018.98.63.51.0.454.361
2025-267729.216.35.82.1.463.349
Career15724.012.44.61.5
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Chicago Bulls built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

29–53proj record
#11conf seed
-4.5net rtg
112.5off rtg
117def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Isaac Okoro, Nic Claxton.
How his role moves
Projected 29–53, 11th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
62 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
2 accolades
1× All-Rookie Second Team (2025) · 11th Draft pick (2024)
Act IV

The Ballad of Matas Buzelis

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Oct 13, 2004

The beginning

An athletic 6-foot-8 two-way forward on the rise — a hometown cornerstone for the Bulls.

Chicago Bulls

Turning pro

Drafted 11th overall, 2024 as a Forward.

true

An athletic 6-foot-8 two-way forward on the rise — a hometown cornerstone for the Bulls.

Chapter

A Chicago native of Lithuanian heritage, Buzelis reached the NBA via the G League Ignite before Chicago drafted him 11th in 2024.

Chapter

He made the 2025 All-Rookie Second Team as an athletic two-way forward.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 8"
Weight
209 lbs
Experience
2nd Season
Draft
11th overall, 2024
Born
Chicago, Illinois
Age
22
Jersey
#14
Beyond the game

Buzelis comes from remarkable athletic lineage — a grandfather who captained Žalgiris Kaunas to six Lithuanian titles, a grandmother who won European handball championships, and parents who played pro basketball in Lithuania. A Chicago native of Lithuanian heritage, he was the first Lithuanian to compete in the NBA Slam Dunk Contest.

His on-court identity is athletic, two-way forward play — a rim-running, shot-blocking (1.5 a game) 6-foot-8 forward with leaping ability and rising scoring. His playmaking is still developing, but his athleticism, shot-blocking, and second-season scoring jump mark him as a genuine two-way cornerstone for a rebuilding Bulls team.

The person

An athletic, two-way forward — rim-running, shot-blocking, and rising scoring.

Athletic forwardA leaping, rim-running 6-foot-8 two-way wing.
Shot-blocker1.5 blocks a game — high for a forward.
Rising scorerRoughly doubled his scoring in year two.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Matas Buzelis — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Matas Buzelis, answered.

What kind of player is Matas Buzelis?
An athletic two-way forward — a rim-running, shot-blocking 6-foot-8 wing/forward with a rising scoring game, and a 2025 All-Rookie Second Team pick.
How did Matas Buzelis reach the NBA?
He played for the G League Ignite instead of college before Chicago — his hometown team — drafted him 11th in 2024.
How did Matas Buzelis develop in his second season?
He roughly doubled his scoring to 16.3 points a game with 1.5 blocks and a career-high 41 points, becoming a full-time starter.
Matas Buzelis career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Matas Buzelis

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
96%
2 seasons
Last 3 seasons
96%
7 games missed
Games missed
7
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Iron man
steady
Availability by season
80
24-25
77
25-26

Iron man. Availability trend is steady96% of games over the last three seasons, low of 94% in 2025-26.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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