The Index · Live

Chet HolmgrenOklahoma City Thunder · #7

Forward · 7'1", 208 lb · Minneapolis, Minnesota · Age 24 · 3rd season

Chet Holmgren is a 7-foot-1 unicorn big for the Oklahoma City Thunder — the starting center on the 2025 championship team and a rim-protecting, floor-spacing anchor. Drafted 2nd overall in 2022 out of Gonzaga (the highest-drafted Minnesotan in NBA history), he lost his entire rookie year to a Lisfranc foot injury, then returned to make All-Rookie First Team and, in the 2025 Finals Game 7, set the record for most blocks in a Finals Game 7 with five. A 2026 All-Star, he averaged 17.1 points, 8.9 rebounds, and elite shot-blocking in 2025-26.

MVP race · #21Forward rank · #13Balladex Impact · 78
⚖ Quick compare
C
Chet Holmgren
◆ Rated
Oklahoma City Thunder · #7 · Forward
Chet Holmgren
Season avg17.1 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.7 ast · .557 fg
Career avg16.5 pts · 8.3 reb · 2.1 ast · .533 fg
Live win probabilityNuggets 52%
Balladex model · projected 118–118 · 99.5 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
20.8pts
10.2reb
1.9ast
48%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Chet Holmgren
Oklahoma City Thunder · Forward
C+
vs
74
Jonas Valančiūnas
Denver Nuggets · Solid defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#21 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 78 — Star starter tierINDEXChet Holmgren · Oklahoma City ThunderLADDER#21 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 78 — Star starter tierINDEXChet Holmgren · Oklahoma City Thunder
Scouting report

Chet Holmgren — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

B
Stretch Big · Rim Protector · Impact 78
Chet Holmgren is a 7-foot-1 unicorn big for the Oklahoma City Thunder — the starting center on the 2025 championship team and a rim-protecting, floor-
C+
Offense
B
Defense
C
Feel / IQ
D
Playmaking
Below average creator
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B
Scoring
Strong scorer
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B+
Rebounding
Excellent on the glass
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B
3PT / spacing
Excellent spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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A
Paint / rim D
Elite at the rim
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B-
Clutch
Strong late
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B
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A
Durability
Availability
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Act II

Where Chet Holmgren stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #48 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
1%MVP odds
78Impact index
248Star score
Career scoring average16.5 ppg
Seasons in the index3
Accolades on file3
1× NBA Champion (2025) · 1× NBA All-Star (2026)
Stat explorer

Chet Holmgren — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

B
Scoring
17.1 PPG
drill in ↓
D
Playmaking
1.7 APG
drill in ↓
B+
Rebounding
8.9 RPG
drill in ↓
B
Shooting
.362 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Chet Holmgren

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  77% confidence
18.2
pts
16.2–20.2
9.4
reb
8.4–10.4
1.6
ast
1.0–2.2
29.4
min
proj
59
gp
health
.539
fg%
~base
.367
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 3-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 17.1 → projected 18.2 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.3
Development (his trend)
+0.3
Age curve
+0.2
Live context
+0.3
Net vs last season+1.1 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
3 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 24 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 82 / 32 / 69 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Chet Holmgren career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2023-248229.416.57.92.4.530.370
2024-253227.415.08.02.0.490.379
2025-266928.917.18.91.7.557.362
Career18328.916.58.32.1
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Oklahoma City Thunder built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

70–12proj record
#1conf seed
+12.8net rtg
118.4off rtg
105.7def rtg
99%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Switch-heavy — Switches 1–4 (or 1–5) to erase actions and keep bodies in front. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren.
How his role moves
Projected 70–12, 1st in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
78 of 99
Star starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
3 accolades
1× NBA Champion (2025) · 1× NBA All-Star (2026) · 1× All-Rookie First Team (2024)
Act IV

The Ballad of Chet Holmgren

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

May 1, 2002

The beginning

The 7-foot-1 unicorn who blocks shots like a center and shoots like a guard — Oklahoma City's championship anchor.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Turning pro

Drafted 2nd overall, 2022 as a Forward.

true

A 7-foot-1 unicorn who lost his whole rookie year — then blocked his way into the record book on the biggest night of his life.

Chapter

The son of a 7-foot Minnesota Gopher, Holmgren won four state titles at Minnehaha Academy and a WCC Defensive Player of the Year award at Gonzaga before OKC took him 2nd overall in 2022 — the highest-drafted Minnesotan ever.

Chapter

Then a Lisfranc foot injury erased his entire rookie season. He came back to make All-Rookie First Team and anchor a defense built around his length.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
7' 1"
Weight
208 lbs
College
Gonzaga
Experience
3rd Season
Draft
2nd overall, 2022
Born
Minneapolis, Minnesota
Age
24
Jersey
#7
Beyond the game

Basketball is in Holmgren's blood: his father Dave stood 7-foot and played college ball at Minnesota (1984-88), and Chet grew up a Minneapolis gym rat who stacked four straight state championships at Minnehaha Academy alongside future NBA guard Jalen Suggs. He has two sisters and remains closely tied to his home state as the highest-drafted Minnesotan the league has ever seen.

His body — a 7-foot-1 frame with a 7-foot-6 wingspan on a lean build — made him one of the most scrutinized prospects in years, and the Lisfranc injury that cost his rookie season only sharpened the doubts. His answer was a championship and an All-Defensive-caliber season, a quiet vindication of a player who was never built like anyone else.

The person

A cerebral, unflappable two-way unicorn — a shot-blocking anchor who moves and shoots like a guard.

Rim protectorSet the record for most blocks in an NBA Finals Game 7 (five, 2025).
Stretch bigShoots the three at a rate rare for his size, warping defenses.
ResilientLost his entire rookie year to a Lisfranc injury, then won a title.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Chet Holmgren — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Chet Holmgren, answered.

How tall is Chet Holmgren and where did he go to college?
He is 7-foot-1 with a 7-foot-6 wingspan and played one season at Gonzaga before being drafted 2nd overall in 2022.
What record did Chet Holmgren set in the 2025 Finals?
He blocked five shots in Game 7 — the most ever in an NBA Finals Game 7 — as the Thunder clinched the title.
Did Chet Holmgren miss a season with injury?
Yes — a Lisfranc foot injury in August 2022 cost him his entire rookie season before he debuted in 2023-24.
Chet Holmgren career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Chet Holmgren

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
74%
3 seasons
Last 3 seasons
74%
63 games missed
Games missed
63
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
steady
Availability by season
82
23-24
32
24-25
69
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is steady74% of games over the last three seasons, low of 39% in 2024-25.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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