The Index · Live

Patrick WilliamsChicago Bulls · #44

Forward · 6'6", 235 lb · Charlotte, North Carolina · Age 25 · 6th season

Patrick Williams is a 6-foot-6 two-way forward for the Chicago Bulls, drafted 4th overall in 2020 out of Florida State, where he was ACC Sixth Man of the Year. A physically strong forward with defensive tools and three-point range, he made the 2021 All-Rookie Second Team; his young career has been marked by flashes of two-way potential interrupted by injuries.

MVP race · #250Forward rank · #88Balladex Impact · 57
⚖ Quick compare
P
Patrick Williams
◆ Rated
Chicago Bulls · #44 · Forward
Patrick Williams
Season avg7.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast · .372 fg
Career avg9.0 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.5 ast · .437 fg
Live win probabilityBulls 56%
Balladex model · projected 120–119 · 100.2 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
7.5pts
3.1reb
1.9ast
56%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Patrick Williams
Chicago Bulls · Forward
C-
vs
82
Evan Mobley
Cleveland Cavaliers · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#250 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 57 — Rotation piece tierINDEXPatrick Williams · Chicago BullsLADDER#250 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 57 — Rotation piece tierINDEXPatrick Williams · Chicago Bulls
Scouting report

Patrick Williams — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Low-Usage 3-and-D Forward · Impact 57
Patrick Williams is a 6-foot-6 two-way forward for the Chicago Bulls, drafted 4th overall in 2020 out of Florida State, where he was ACC Sixth Man of
C-
Offense
C
Defense
D
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C-
Scoring
Below average scorer
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C-
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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B-
Perimeter D
Strong on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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D
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
tap for the data ↓
A+
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Patrick Williams stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets
44%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat
23%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder
19%
4
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers
6%
5
Kyrie Irving Dallas Mavericks
3%
Balladex Consensus: #244 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
MVP odds
57Impact index
120Star score
Career scoring average9.0 ppg
Seasons in the index6
Accolades on file2
4th Draft pick (2020) · 1× All-Rookie Second Team (2021)
Stat explorer

Patrick Williams — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C-
Scoring
7.0 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
1.5 APG
drill in ↓
C-
Rebounding
3.0 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
.347 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Patrick Williams

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  71% confidence
6.8
pts
4.9–8.7
2.9
reb
2.0–3.8
1.6
ast
0.9–2.3
19.5
min
proj
64
gp
health
.400
fg%
~base
.364
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 6-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 7.0 → projected 6.8 PPG
Minutes / role
-0.3
Development (his trend)
-0.1
Age curve
+0.0
Live context
+0.1
Net vs last season-0.2 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
6 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 25 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 43 / 63 / 72 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Patrick Williams career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2020-217127.99.24.61.4.483.391
2021-221724.89.04.10.9.529.517
2022-238228.310.24.01.2.464.415
2023-244327.310.03.91.5.443.399
2024-256325.09.03.82.0.397.353
2025-267220.57.03.01.5.372.347
Career34825.79.03.91.5
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Chicago Bulls built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

29–53proj record
#11conf seed
-4.5net rtg
112.5off rtg
117def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Isaac Okoro, Nic Claxton.
How his role moves
Projected 29–53, 11th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
57 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
2 accolades
4th Draft pick (2020) · 1× All-Rookie Second Team (2021)
Act IV

The Ballad of Patrick Williams

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Aug 26, 2001

The beginning

A physically strong two-way forward — defensive tools and range for the Bulls.

Chicago Bulls

Turning pro

Drafted 4th overall, 2020 as a Forward.

true

A physically strong two-way forward — defensive tools and range for the Bulls.

Chapter

Son of two college players, Williams was ACC Sixth Man of the Year at Florida State before Chicago drafted him 4th in 2020.

Chapter

He made the 2021 All-Rookie Second Team as one of the youngest players in his class.

Williams's story
The documentary, narrated

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 6"
Weight
215 lbs
College
Florida State
Experience
6th Season
NBA debut
2020
Draft
4th overall, 2020
Born
Charlotte, North Carolina
Age
25
Jersey
#44
Beyond the game

Williams comes from a basketball family — both parents played college ball at Johnson C. Smith University — and grew up in Charlotte before a one-and-done season at Florida State that made him a top-five pick. His youth (one of the youngest players in his draft class) came with a long runway.

His on-court identity is two-way forward play — a strong, 235-pound frame for defending multiple positions, paired with a respectable three-point shot. His scoring has plateaued around 9-10 points a game and injuries have interrupted his rise, but his defensive tools, range, and pedigree keep his upside alive; realizing it hinges on health and a larger, more consistent role.

The person

A strong, two-way forward — defensive tools, physical frame, and three-point range.

Two-way toolsA 235-pound frame to defend multiple positions.
Capable shooterAround 38% from three for his career.
Durability watchInjuries have slowed his development.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Patrick Williams — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Patrick Williams, answered.

What kind of player is Patrick Williams?
A physically strong 6-foot-6 two-way forward with defensive tools and a capable three-point shot (around 38% for his career).
Why hasn't Patrick Williams broken out yet?
Injuries — including a season-ending wrist surgery — and inconsistency have slowed his development, though his tools and pedigree keep his upside alive.
Where did Patrick Williams play college basketball?
One season at Florida State, where he was ACC Sixth Man of the Year, before Chicago drafted him 4th overall in 2020.
Patrick Williams career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Patrick Williams

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
73%
6 seasons
Last 3 seasons
72%
68 games missed
Games missed
134
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
steady
Availability by season
71
20-21
17
21-22
82
22-23
43
23-24
63
24-25
72
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is steady72% of games over the last three seasons, low of 21% in 2021-22.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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