The Index · Live

Daniel GaffordDallas Mavericks · #21

Center · 6-10, 265 lb · El Dorado, Arkansas · Age 28 · 7th season

Daniel Gafford is a 6-foot-10 Dallas Mavericks center and elite lob-finishing rim protector who shoots roughly 70% for his career, reached the 2024 NBA Finals with Dallas, and once made 33 consecutive field goals — the second-longest such streak in NBA history.

MVP race · #105Center rank · #39Balladex Impact · 60
⚖ Quick compare
D
Daniel Gafford
◆ Rated
Dallas Mavericks · #21 · Center
Daniel Gafford
Season avg9.5 pts · 6.9 reb · 1.1 ast · .655 fg
Career avg9.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.0 ast · .697 fg
Live win probabilityMavericks 56%
Balladex model · projected 118–116 · 100 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
9.7pts
7.2reb
1.1ast
56%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Daniel Gafford
Dallas Mavericks · Center
D
vs
76
Jalen Duren
Detroit Pistons · Solid defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#105 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 60 — Solid starter tierINDEXDaniel Gafford · Dallas MavericksLADDER#105 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 60 — Solid starter tierINDEXDaniel Gafford · Dallas Mavericks
Scouting report

Daniel Gafford — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Rim-Running Center · Lob Threat · Impact 60
Daniel Gafford is a 6-foot-10 Dallas Mavericks center and elite lob-finishing rim protector who shoots roughly 70% for his career, reached the 2024 NB
D
Offense
C+
Defense
D
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C-
Scoring
Average scorer
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B+
Rebounding
Excellent on the glass
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F
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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B+
Paint / rim D
Excellent at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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D
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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B-
Durability
Availability
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Act II

Where Daniel Gafford stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #198 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
60Impact index
113Star score
Career scoring average9.1 ppg
Seasons in the index7
Accolades on file3
SEC All-SEC 1st Team 2019 · Finals 2024 (runner-up)
Stat explorer

Daniel Gafford — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C-
Scoring
9.5 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
1.1 APG
drill in ↓
B+
Rebounding
6.9 RPG
drill in ↓
F
Shooting
.000 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Daniel Gafford

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  70% confidence
9.7
pts
7.7–11.7
7.0
reb
5.9–8.1
1.1
ast
0.4–1.8
21.7
min
proj
54
gp
health
.685
fg%
~base
.000
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 7-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 9.5 → projected 9.7 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.0
Development (his trend)
+0.0
Age curve
+0.0
Live context
+0.2
Net vs last season+0.2 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
7 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 28 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 45 / 57 / 55 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Daniel Gafford career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2019-204314.25.12.50.5.701.000
2020-213112.44.73.30.5.690.000
2021-227220.19.45.70.9.693.000
2022-237820.69.05.61.1.732.000
2023-244526.510.98.01.5.690.000
2024-255721.512.36.81.4.702.000
2025-265521.79.56.91.1.655.000
Career38120.19.15.71.0
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Dallas Mavericks built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

28–54proj record
#12conf seed
-5.1net rtg
110.4off rtg
115.4def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Daniel Gafford, Dereck Lively II.
How his role moves
Projected 28–54, 12th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
60 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
3 accolades
SEC All-SEC 1st Team 2019 · Finals 2024 (runner-up) · 70% Career FG
Act IV

The Ballad of Daniel Gafford

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

October 1, 1998

The beginning

A rim-running, shot-blocking center out of Arkansas, Daniel Gafford turned a second-round pedigree into one of the NBA's most efficient interior finishers and a Finals-level lob threat in Dallas.

Dallas Mavericks

Turning pro

Drafted 2019 Round 2, Pick 38 (Chicago Bulls) as a Center.

true

Daniel Gafford is proof that a rim-runner who knows his job can matter deep into June.

Chapter

A 38th pick out of Arkansas, he barely played in Chicago before a trade to Washington turned him into a full-time rotation center.

Chapter

Dallas landed him at the 2024 deadline, and he shot 78% down the stretch as a lob threat next to Luka Dončić on the way to the NBA Finals.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 10"
Weight
265 lbs
College
Arkansas
Experience
7th Season
NBA debut
2019
Draft
2019 Round 2, Pick 38 (Chicago Bulls)
Born
El Dorado, Arkansas
Age
28
Jersey
#21
Off the Court

Gafford is an avid anime fan — Black Clover in particular — with anime-inspired tattoos and a dog named after the character Mereoleona Vermillion.

His game is built on relentless energy and rim-running rather than flash, a reflection of a player who maximized a second-round opportunity through effort and efficiency.

The person

High-motor, efficient and unselfish, Gafford knows exactly what he is — a rim-runner and protector — and does it at an elite level.

Lob MagnetCareer ~70% shooter who finishes everything above the rim.
Rim Deterrent1.5 blocks per game for his career, 2.2 in his best season.
Role ClarityNo wasted possessions — plays entirely within his strengths.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Daniel Gafford — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Daniel Gafford, answered.

Where was Daniel Gafford drafted?
38th overall (second round) in the 2019 NBA Draft by the Chicago Bulls.
How did Gafford end up in Dallas?
The Mavericks acquired him from Washington at the February 2024 trade deadline, and he reached the NBA Finals with them that spring.
Is Daniel Gafford a three-point shooter?
No — his scoring comes almost entirely at the rim on lobs, dunks and putbacks, which is why he shoots around 70% for his career.
What is Gafford's most remarkable record?
He made 33 consecutive field goals in March 2024, the second-longest such streak in NBA history behind Wilt Chamberlain.
Daniel Gafford career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Daniel Gafford

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
68%
7 seasons
Last 3 seasons
64%
89 games missed
Games missed
173
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Injury-prone
steady
Availability by season
43
19-20
31
20-21
72
21-22
78
22-23
45
23-24
57
24-25
55
25-26

Injury-prone. Availability trend is steady64% of games over the last three seasons, low of 43% in 2020-21.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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