The Index · Live

John CollinsDetroit Pistons · #20

Forward · 6-9, 226 lb · Layton, Utah · Age 29 · 9th season

John Collins is a 6-foot-9 LA Clippers forward and high-flying lob finisher out of Wake Forest, drafted 19th by Atlanta in 2017, who peaked as a 20-point scorer alongside Trae Young and developed a reliable corner three.

MVP race · #162Forward rank · #67Balladex Impact · 59
⚖ Quick compare
J
John Collins
◆ Rated
Detroit Pistons · #20 · Forward
John Collins
Season avg13.6 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.0 ast · .552 fg
Career avg15.7 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.4 ast · .546 fg
Live win probabilityMavericks 56%
Balladex model · projected 118–116 · 100 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
14.1pts
5.1reb
1.0ast
44%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
John Collins
Detroit Pistons · Forward
C-
vs
76
Cooper Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · Solid defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#162 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 59 — Solid starter tierINDEXJohn Collins · Detroit PistonsLADDER#162 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 59 — Solid starter tierINDEXJohn Collins · Detroit Pistons
Scouting report

John Collins — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Stretch-Four · Efficient Finisher · Impact 59
John Collins is a 6-foot-9 LA Clippers forward and high-flying lob finisher out of Wake Forest, drafted 19th by Atlanta in 2017, who peaked as a 20-po
C-
Offense
C-
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C
Scoring
Average scorer
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C
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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C+
3PT / spacing
Strong spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where John Collins stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
26%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
18%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
10%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
3%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
3%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #184 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
59Impact index
127Star score
Career scoring average15.7 ppg
Seasons in the index9
Accolades on file3
All-Rookie 2018 Second Team · All-ACC 1st Team 2017
Stat explorer

John Collins — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C
Scoring
13.6 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
1.0 APG
drill in ↓
C
Rebounding
5.3 RPG
drill in ↓
C+
Shooting
.406 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees John Collins

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  74% confidence
13.8
pts
11.8–15.8
5.0
reb
4.1–5.9
1.0
ast
0.4–1.6
27.0
min
proj
59
gp
health
.537
fg%
~base
.384
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 9-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 13.6 → projected 13.8 PPG
Minutes / role
-0.1
Development (his trend)
+0.1
Age curve
+0.0
Live context
+0.3
Net vs last season+0.2 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
9 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 29 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 68 / 40 / 69 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

John Collins career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2017-187424.110.57.31.3.576.340
2018-196130.019.59.82.0.560.348
2019-204133.221.610.11.5.583.401
2020-216329.317.67.41.2.556.399
2021-225430.816.27.81.8.526.364
2022-237130.013.16.51.2.508.292
2023-246828.015.18.51.1.532.371
2024-254030.519.08.22.0.527.399
2025-266927.113.65.31.0.552.406
Career54128.815.77.71.4
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Detroit Pistons built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

64–18proj record
#1conf seed
+9net rtg
117.6off rtg
108.6def rtg
99%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green.
How his role moves
Projected 64–18, 1st in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
59 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
3 accolades
All-Rookie 2018 Second Team · All-ACC 1st Team 2017 · MIP ACC 2017
Act IV

The Ballad of John Collins

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

September 23, 1997

The beginning

An explosive vertical athlete who paired lob finishing with a developing outside shot, John Collins grew from a Wake Forest breakout into a 20-point NBA scorer.

Detroit Pistons

Turning pro

Drafted 2017 Round 1, Pick 19 (Atlanta Hawks) as a Forward.

true

John Collins turned Wake Forest's biggest sophomore leap into a decade of NBA lob highlights.

Chapter

An ACC Most Improved standout, he was drafted 19th in 2017 and made the All-Rookie Second Team.

Chapter

He peaked in 2019-20 at 21.6 points and 10.1 rebounds as a high-flying finisher next to Trae Young in Atlanta.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 9"
Weight
226 lbs
College
Wake Forest
Experience
9th Season
NBA debut
2017
Draft
2017 Round 1, Pick 19 (Atlanta Hawks)
Born
Layton, Utah
Age
29
Jersey
#20
Off the Court

Collins grew up in a military family — his father served in the Navy, his mother in the Air Force — living across the Virgin Islands, Guam and Turkey before settling in Florida.

An avid youth soccer player, he's a passionate Premier League follower and Chelsea F.C. supporter. His lone significant off-court matter, a 2019 PED suspension he attributed to a tainted supplement, is handled here briefly and factually.

The person

Explosive, energetic and efficient, Collins is a play-finishing big who stretched his game to fit the modern NBA.

Above the RimElite vertical athlete and lob-finishing highlight machine.
Corner SpacerDeveloped a reliable catch-and-shoot three (~37% career).
Globe-TrotterMilitary-family upbringing across three continents.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

John Collins — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about John Collins, answered.

Where did John Collins play college basketball?
Wake Forest (2015-2017), where he was 2017 First-Team All-ACC and ACC Most Improved Player.
Has John Collins been an All-Star?
No — he has no All-Star or All-Defensive selections and no championship. His top honor is the 2018 All-Rookie Second Team.
Why was Collins suspended in 2019?
He served a 25-game suspension for a banned substance, which he said came from a tainted supplement.
What teams has John Collins played for?
The Atlanta Hawks, Utah Jazz, and — per this roster — the LA Clippers.
John Collins career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about John Collins

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
75%
9 seasons
Last 3 seasons
72%
69 games missed
Games missed
177
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
steady
Availability by season
74
17-18
61
18-19
41
19-20
63
20-21
54
21-22
71
22-23
68
23-24
40
24-25
69
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is steady72% of games over the last three seasons, low of 49% in 2024-25.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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