The Index · Live

Ace BaileyUtah Jazz · #19

Forward · 6'9", 200 lb · Chattanooga, Tennessee · Age 20 · 1st season

Ace Bailey is a 6-foot-9 scoring wing for the Utah Jazz and the No. 5 pick of the 2025 NBA Draft. A former McDonald's All-American from the Chattanooga area, he starred one season at Rutgers and was one of the most highly-touted scoring prospects in his class. As a 19-year-old rookie he became the youngest player in Jazz history to reach 500 career points, a foundational young piece for the rebuild.

MVP race · #153Forward rank · #72Balladex Impact · 58
⚖ Quick compare
A
Ace Bailey
◆ Rated
Utah Jazz · #19 · Forward
Ace Bailey
Season avg13.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.8 ast · .443 fg
Career avg13.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.8 ast · .443 fg
Live win probabilityJazz 59%
Balladex model · projected 124–122 · 100.7 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
14.7pts
4.5reb
1.9ast
59%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Ace Bailey
Utah Jazz · Forward
C-
vs
82
Bilal Coulibaly
Washington Wizards · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#153 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 58 — Solid starter tierINDEXAce Bailey · Utah JazzLADDER#153 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 58 — Solid starter tierINDEXAce Bailey · Utah Jazz
Scouting report

Ace Bailey — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Rookie Wing · Shot-Maker · Impact 58
Ace Bailey is a 6-foot-9 scoring wing for the Utah Jazz and the No. 5 pick of the 2025 NBA Draft. A former McDonald's All-American from the Chattanoog
C-
Offense
C-
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
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C
Scoring
Average scorer
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C
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A+
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Ace Bailey stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #194 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
58Impact index
134Star score
Career scoring average13.8 ppg
Seasons in the index1
Accolades on file2
No. 5 Draft pick (2025) · 1× All-Rookie Team
Stat explorer

Ace Bailey — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C
Scoring
13.8 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
1.8 APG
drill in ↓
C
Rebounding
4.2 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
.344 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Ace Bailey

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 1-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
📊
1 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 20 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 72 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Ace Bailey career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2025-267227.613.84.21.8.443.344
Career7227.613.84.21.8
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Utah Jazz built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

22–60proj record
#14conf seed
-7.4net rtg
113.1off rtg
120.4def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Jusuf Nurkic, Jaren Jackson Jr..
How his role moves
Projected 22–60, 14th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
58 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
2 accolades
No. 5 Draft pick (2025) · 1× All-Rookie Team
Act IV

The Ballad of Ace Bailey

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Aug 13, 2006

The beginning

A 6-foot-9 scoring wing and No.

Utah Jazz

Turning pro

Drafted 5th overall, 2025 as a Forward.

true

A 6-foot-9 scoring wing and No. 5 pick — an elite prospect and foundational piece for the Jazz.

Chapter

A McDonald's All-American from Chattanooga, Bailey averaged 17.6 a game at Rutgers before Utah drafted him 5th in 2025.

Chapter

One of the top scoring prospects in his class, he opened at around 14 points a game.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 9"
Weight
200 lbs
College
Rutgers
Experience
1st Season
Draft
5th overall, 2025
Born
Chattanooga, Tennessee
Age
20
Jersey
#19
Beyond the game

Bailey comes from serious athletic pedigree — his mother played college basketball at West Virginia, his father at Houston, and his aunt Venus Lacy was a WNBA player and 1996 Olympic gold medalist. That lineage and elite size fueled his rise from the Chattanooga area to a top-five pick.

His on-court identity is scoring size — a 6-foot-9 wing with the length and shot-making to score at three levels, projecting as a foundational offensive piece for a rebuilding team. As an early-career rookie his professional resume is still thin, but his combination of size, scoring pedigree, and youth gives him a high ceiling on Utah's timeline.

The person

A big scoring wing with high upside — size, shot-making, and a strong scoring pedigree.

Scoring sizeA 6-foot-9 wing who scores at three levels.
High pedigreeA McDonald's All-American and top-five pick.
FoundationalThe youngest Jazz player ever to reach 500 points.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Ace Bailey — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Ace Bailey, answered.

How high was Ace Bailey drafted?
No. 5 overall by the Utah Jazz in the 2025 NBA Draft, out of Rutgers — one of the highest picks in Rutgers history.
What kind of player is Ace Bailey?
A 6-foot-9 scoring wing with elite size and shot-making, projecting as a foundational offensive piece for Utah's rebuild.
What is notable about Ace Bailey's family?
A deep athletic pedigree — his parents played college basketball, and his aunt Venus Lacy was a WNBA player and 1996 Olympic gold medalist.
Ace Bailey career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Ace Bailey

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
88%
1 seasons
Last 3 seasons
88%
10 games missed
Games missed
10
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Durable
steady
Availability by season
72
25-26

Durable. Availability trend is steady88% of games over the last three seasons, low of 88% in 2025-26.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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