The Index · Live

RJ BarrettToronto Raptors · #9

Forward · 6'6", 214 lb · Toronto, Ontario · Age 26 · 7th season

RJ Barrett is a Toronto-born scoring wing for the Raptors — a left-handed, downhill slasher drafted 3rd overall in 2019 out of Duke and traded to his hometown team in 2023. A career ~19-point scorer and cornerstone of Canada Basketball (a 2023 World Cup bronze medalist), he is the son of former national-team captain Rowan Barrett and godson of Steve Nash.

MVP race · #119Forward rank · #44Balladex Impact · 61
⚖ Quick compare
R
RJ Barrett
◆ Rated
Toronto Raptors · #9 · Forward
RJ Barrett
Season avg19.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 3.3 ast · .491 fg
Career avg18.7 pts · 5.5 reb · 3.3 ast · .438 fg
Live win probabilitySpurs 66%
Balladex model · projected 118–115 · 98.8 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
20.0pts
5.5reb
3.5ast
34%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
RJ Barrett
Toronto Raptors · Forward
C
vs
74
Stephon Castle
San Antonio Spurs · Solid defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#119 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 61 — Solid starter tierINDEXRJ Barrett · Toronto RaptorsLADDER#119 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 61 — Solid starter tierINDEXRJ Barrett · Toronto Raptors
Scouting report

RJ Barrett — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Downhill Slashing Wing · Impact 61
RJ Barrett is a Toronto-born scoring wing for the Raptors — a left-handed, downhill slasher drafted 3rd overall in 2019 out of Duke and traded to his
C
Offense
C-
Defense
C
Feel / IQ
D
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C+
Scoring
Strong scorer
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C
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C+
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
tap for the data ↓
B
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where RJ Barrett stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #116 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
61Impact index
135Star score
Career scoring average18.7 ppg
Seasons in the index7
Accolades on file2
3rd Draft pick (2019) · 🥉 World Cup bronze (2023)
Stat explorer

RJ Barrett — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C+
Scoring
19.3 PPG
drill in ↓
D
Playmaking
3.3 APG
drill in ↓
C
Rebounding
5.3 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
.339 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees RJ Barrett

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  88% confidence
20.0
pts
18.5–21.5
5.4
reb
4.9–5.9
3.5
ast
3.1–3.9
30.3
min
proj
52
gp
health
.469
fg%
~base
.338
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 7-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 19.3 → projected 20.0 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.0
Development (his trend)
+0.2
Age curve
+0.1
Live context
+0.4
Net vs last season+0.7 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
7 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 26 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 26 / 58 / 57 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

RJ Barrett career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2019-205630.414.35.02.6.402.320
2020-217234.917.65.83.0.441.401
2021-227034.520.05.83.0.408.342
2022-237333.919.65.02.8.434.310
2023-242629.518.24.32.4.423.331
2024-255832.221.16.35.4.468.350
2025-265730.319.35.33.3.491.339
Career41232.718.75.53.3
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Toronto Raptors built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

48–34proj record
#7conf seed
+2.8net rtg
115off rtg
112.1def rtg
85%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Jakob Poeltl, Jamal Shead.
How his role moves
Projected 48–34, 7th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
61 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
2 accolades
3rd Draft pick (2019) · 🥉 World Cup bronze (2023)
Act IV

The Ballad of RJ Barrett

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Jun 14, 2000

The beginning

A Toronto-born, left-handed scoring wing — downhill slashing for his hometown Raptors, the 'Maple Mamba.'

Toronto Raptors

Turning pro

Drafted 3rd overall, 2019 as a Forward.

true

A Toronto-born, left-handed scoring wing — downhill slashing for his hometown Raptors.

Chapter

The No. 1 recruit in his class, Barrett broke Duke's freshman scoring record before the Knicks drafted him 3rd in 2019.

Chapter

He grew into a 20-point scorer over four seasons in New York.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 6"
Weight
214 lbs
College
Duke
Experience
7th Season
NBA debut
2019
Draft
3rd overall, 2019
Born
Toronto, Ontario
Age
26
Jersey
#9
Beyond the game

Barrett is Canadian basketball royalty — the son of Rowan Barrett, a former national-team captain and now a Canada Basketball executive, the godson of Hall of Famer Steve Nash, and part of an athletic family that includes an Olympic-medalist sprinter aunt. Fluent in French, he carries the pride of a rising Canadian basketball program.

His on-court identity is aggressive, left-handed downhill scoring — a competitive slasher who gets to the rim at will, has improved his playmaking (a career-high assist rate), and defends willingly. Efficiency has historically been his question, but playing for his hometown team, he has found stability as a building block and a central figure for both the Raptors and Team Canada.

The person

An aggressive, left-handed downhill scorer — rim pressure, competitiveness, and playmaking.

Downhill scorerA left-handed slasher who gets to the rim at will.
CompetitorA willing two-way player and 'cold-blooded' scorer.
Canadian starA cornerstone of Canada Basketball's 2023 World Cup bronze.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

RJ Barrett — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about RJ Barrett, answered.

Why is RJ Barrett called the 'Maple Mamba'?
The nickname references his Canadian roots and his aggressive, Kobe Bryant-style scoring mentality.
How did RJ Barrett join the Raptors?
The Knicks drafted him 3rd in 2019, and in December 2023 he was traded to his hometown Toronto Raptors.
What is RJ Barrett's role for Canada?
He's a cornerstone of Canada Basketball, having helped the national team win its first-ever World Cup medal, a bronze, in 2023.
RJ Barrett career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about RJ Barrett

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
75%
7 seasons
Last 3 seasons
57%
105 games missed
Games missed
142
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Injury-prone
declining
Availability by season
56
19-20
72
20-21
70
21-22
73
22-23
26
23-24
58
24-25
57
25-26

Injury-prone. Availability trend is declining57% of games over the last three seasons, low of 32% in 2023-24.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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