The Index · Live

Tyler HerroMilwaukee Bucks · #14

Guard · 6'5", 195 lb · Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Age 26 · 7th season

Tyler Herro is a dynamic scoring guard and elite shooter who became a first-time All-Star in 2025 and won that year's Three-Point Contest. Drafted 13th in 2019 out of Kentucky, he broke out during Miami's 2020 Bubble Finals run, won the 2022 Sixth Man of the Year award, and developed into a 20-point scorer and shot creator before this move to his hometown Milwaukee.

MVP race · #68Guard rank · #26Balladex Impact · 64
⚖ Quick compare
T
Tyler Herro
◆ Rated
Milwaukee Bucks · #14 · Guard
Tyler Herro
Season avg20.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 4.1 ast · .480 fg
Career avg19.4 pts · 5.0 reb · 4.1 ast · .449 fg
Live win probabilityHeat 71%
Balladex model · projected 122–118 · 99.7 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
22.9pts
5.3reb
5.0ast
29%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Tyler Herro
Milwaukee Bucks · Guard
B-
vs
84
Davion Mitchell
Miami Heat · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#68 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 64 — Solid starter tierNEWSHeat acquire Giannis Antetokounmpo from the Bucks in a blockbusterLADDER#68 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 64 — Solid starter tierNEWSHeat acquire Giannis Antetokounmpo from the Bucks in a blockbuster
Scouting report

Tyler Herro — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Scoring Guard · Microwave Shooter · Impact 64
Tyler Herro is a dynamic scoring guard and elite shooter who became a first-time All-Star in 2025 and won that year's Three-Point Contest. Drafted 13t
B-
Offense
F
Defense
C+
Feel / IQ
C
Playmaking
Average creator
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B+
Scoring
Excellent scorer
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D
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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B+
3PT / spacing
Excellent spacing
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D
Perimeter D
Below average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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B-
Clutch
Strong late
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C+
Athleticism
Average tools
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C+
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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D
Durability
Availability
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Act II

Where Tyler Herro stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #78 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
64Impact index
224Star score
Career scoring average19.4 ppg
Seasons in the index7
Accolades on file3
1× NBA All-Star (2025) · 1× Sixth Man of the Year (2022)
Stat explorer

Tyler Herro — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

B+
Scoring
20.5 PPG
drill in ↓
C
Playmaking
4.1 APG
drill in ↓
D
Rebounding
4.8 RPG
drill in ↓
B+
Shooting
.378 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Tyler Herro

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  70% confidence
21.4
pts
18.9–23.9
4.8
reb
3.8–5.8
4.3
ast
3.5–5.1
31.3
min
proj
49
gp
health
.464
fg%
~base
.380
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 7-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 20.5 → projected 21.4 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.0
Development (his trend)
+0.4
Age curve
+0.1
Live context
+0.4
Net vs last season+0.9 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
7 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 26 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 42 / 77 / 33 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Tyler Herro career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2019-205527.413.54.12.2.428.389
2020-215430.315.15.03.4.439.360
2021-226632.620.75.04.0.447.399
2022-236734.920.15.44.2.439.378
2023-244233.520.85.34.5.441.396
2024-257735.423.95.25.5.472.375
2025-26 MIA3331.320.54.84.1.480.378
Career39432.519.45.04.1
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Milwaukee Bucks built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

27–55proj record
#12conf seed
-5.3net rtg
112.6off rtg
117.9def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Myles Turner, Kel'el Ware.
How his role moves
Projected 27–55, 12th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
64 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
3 accolades
1× NBA All-Star (2025) · 1× Sixth Man of the Year (2022) · 1× 3-Point Contest champion (2025)
Act IV

The Ballad of Tyler Herro

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Jan 20, 2000

The beginning

A dynamic scoring guard and elite shooter — an All-Star and 2022 Sixth Man of the Year, now home in Milwaukee.

Milwaukee Bucks

Turning pro

Drafted 13th overall, 2019 as a Guard.

true

A hometown kid turned All-Star shooter — 'Boy Wonder,' now back in Milwaukee.

Chapter

Born in Milwaukee, Herro was a one-and-done at Kentucky before Miami drafted him 13th in 2019.

Chapter

As a rookie in the 2020 Bubble, he became the youngest player to start an NBA Finals game.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 5"
Weight
205 lbs
College
Kentucky
Experience
7th Season
NBA debut
2019
Draft
13th overall, 2019
Born
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Age
26
Jersey
#14
Beyond the game

Herro is a Milwaukee native whose path from Wisconsin high-school star to NBA scorer has made his return home a full-circle story. A father with a growing family, he crossed into pop culture early — the subject of Jack Harlow's hit song 'Tyler Herro' and a cameo in the 2023 'White Men Can't Jump' remake — reflecting the charisma and confidence that earned him the 'Boy Wonder' nickname.

His on-court identity is shooting and shot creation — one of the league's best perimeter shooters (a career 38% from three, an NBA free-throw percentage leader, and a Three-Point Contest champion) who can score in bunches off the dribble. His swing factor has been durability, but his scoring punch and range make him a natural fit alongside a contender's stars.

The person

A confident scoring guard and elite shooter — range, shot creation, and big-moment scoring.

Elite shooterA career 38% from three and a Three-Point Contest champion.
Shot creatorScores in bunches off the dribble as a lead guard.
Big-moment scorerBroke out with a 37-point game on the Finals stage at 20.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Tyler Herro — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Tyler Herro, answered.

What is Tyler Herro best known for?
Elite shooting and scoring — he's a career ~38% three-point shooter, a 2025 Three-Point Contest champion, and won the 2022 Sixth Man of the Year award.
Why is Tyler Herro joining Milwaukee notable?
He was born in Milwaukee and starred at Whitnall High School nearby, making the trade a full-circle homecoming.
When did Tyler Herro make his first All-Star team?
In 2025, the same year he won the NBA Three-Point Contest.
Tyler Herro career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Tyler Herro

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
71%
7 seasons
Last 3 seasons
62%
94 games missed
Games missed
160
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Injury-prone
declining
Availability by season
55
19-20
54
20-21
66
21-22
67
22-23
42
23-24
77
24-25
33
25-26

Injury-prone. Availability trend is declining62% of games over the last three seasons, low of 40% in 2025-26.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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