The Index · Live

A.J. GreenMilwaukee Bucks · #20

Guard · 6'4", 190 lb · Cedar Falls, Iowa · Age 27 · 4th season

A.J. Green is one of the NBA's elite movement shooters, a Milwaukee Bucks guard who went undrafted out of Northern Iowa in 2022. The son of his college coach, he earned a four-year, $45 million extension in 2025 and rewrote the Bucks' record book in 2025-26 — setting franchise single-game (11) and single-season (232) three-point records, passing Ray Allen's mark, while shooting 42% from deep.

MVP race · #90Guard rank · #112Balladex Impact · 51
⚖ Quick compare
A
A.J. Green
◆ Rated
Milwaukee Bucks · #20 · Guard
A.J. Green
Season avg10.4 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.9 ast · .424 fg
Career avg7.3 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.3 ast · .425 fg
Live win probabilityHeat 71%
Balladex model · projected 122–118 · 99.7 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
12.5pts
3.0reb
2.6ast
29%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
A.J. Green
Milwaukee Bucks · Guard
C
vs
84
Davion Mitchell
Miami Heat · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#90 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 51 — Rotation piece tierINDEXA.J. Green · Milwaukee BucksLADDER#90 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 51 — Rotation piece tierINDEXA.J. Green · Milwaukee Bucks
Scouting report

A.J. Green — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Movement Shooter · Floor-Spacer · Impact 51
A.J. Green is one of the NBA's elite movement shooters, a Milwaukee Bucks guard who went undrafted out of Northern Iowa in 2022. The son of his colleg
C
Offense
F
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C
Scoring
Average scorer
tap for the data ↓
F
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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A
3PT / spacing
Elite spacing
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C-
Perimeter D
Below average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C
Athleticism
Average tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
tap for the data ↓
A+
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where A.J. Green stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #270 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
51Impact index
116Star score
Career scoring average7.3 ppg
Seasons in the index4
Accolades on file1
2× MVC Player of the Year (2020, 2022)
Stat explorer

A.J. Green — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C
Scoring
10.4 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
1.9 APG
drill in ↓
F
Rebounding
2.7 RPG
drill in ↓
A
Shooting
.419 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees A.J. Green

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  64% confidence
11.2
pts
8.8–13.6
2.8
reb
1.8–3.8
2.2
ast
1.3–3.1
31.6
min
proj
73
gp
health
.425
fg%
~base
.420
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 4-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 10.4 → projected 11.2 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.9
Development (his trend)
-0.4
Age curve
+0.0
Live context
+0.2
Net vs last season+0.8 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
4 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 27 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 56 / 73 / 78 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

A.J. Green career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2022-23359.94.41.30.6.424.419
2023-245611.04.51.10.5.423.408
2024-257322.77.42.41.5.429.427
2025-267829.110.42.71.9.424.419
Career24220.27.32.01.3
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Milwaukee Bucks built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

27–55proj record
#12conf seed
-5.3net rtg
112.6off rtg
117.9def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Myles Turner, Kel'el Ware.
How his role moves
Projected 27–55, 12th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
51 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
1 accolades
2× MVC Player of the Year (2020, 2022)
Act IV

The Ballad of A.J. Green

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Sep 27, 1999

The beginning

An undrafted marksman who rewrote Milwaukee's three-point record book — one of the league's best shooters.

Milwaukee Bucks

Turning pro

Drafted Undrafted, 2022 as a Guard.

true

An undrafted kid coached by his dad — who broke Ray Allen's Bucks three-point record and became one of the NBA's best shooters.

Chapter

A Cedar Falls, Iowa native, Green played for Northern Iowa under his father Kyle, won two MVC Player of the Year awards, and went undrafted in 2022.

Chapter

Milwaukee signed him to a two-way deal; his shooting earned a standard contract and a four-year, $45M extension in 2025.

Green's story
The documentary, narrated

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 4"
Weight
190 lbs
College
Northern Iowa
Experience
4th Season
Draft
Undrafted, 2022
Born
Cedar Falls, Iowa
Age
27
Jersey
#20
Beyond the game

Green is a basketball-family product through and through: his father Kyle coached him at Northern Iowa, his mother Michele played at Hamline, and his younger sister Emerson plays for the UNI women's team. That gym-rat upbringing shows in a craft built entirely around shooting — footwork, relocation, and a lightning release.

His path is the undrafted specialist's dream: from a mid-major star to a two-way flier to a $45 million extension and the Bucks' three-point record book. In a league that prizes floor-spacing, Green turned one elite skill into a real NBA career, and his 2025-26 record-setting season put his name alongside Ray Allen's in Milwaukee lore.

The person

A pure, tireless movement shooter — an undrafted specialist who became a record-setting marksman.

Elite shooterSet Bucks single-game (11) and single-season (232) three-point records.
Movement gravityRelocates and fires off screens with a quick release.
Basketball familyCoached by his father at Northern Iowa; a gym-rat upbringing.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

A.J. Green — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about A.J. Green, answered.

What records did A.J. Green set in 2025-26?
The Bucks' single-game (11) and single-season (232) three-point records, passing Ray Allen's franchise mark.
Was A.J. Green drafted?
No — he went undrafted in 2022 out of Northern Iowa, signed a two-way deal with Milwaukee, and earned a four-year, $45 million extension in 2025.
Who coached A.J. Green in college?
His father, Kyle Green, was an assistant and associate head coach at Northern Iowa during A.J.'s career.
A.J. Green career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about A.J. Green

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
74%
4 seasons
Last 3 seasons
84%
39 games missed
Games missed
86
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Durable
improving
Availability by season
35
22-23
56
23-24
73
24-25
78
25-26

Durable. Availability trend is improving84% of games over the last three seasons, low of 43% in 2022-23.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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