The Index · Live

Julian StrawtherDenver Nuggets · #3

Guard · 6'6", 205 lb · Las Vegas, Nevada · Age 24 · 3rd season

Julian Strawther is a bench-scoring wing and shooter for the Denver Nuggets. A Las Vegas native who starred at Gonzaga — hitting a famous clutch three against UCLA in the 2023 NCAA tournament — he was drafted 29th in 2023 (via Indiana). He represents Puerto Rico internationally and provides instant offense off Denver's bench, averaging 7.2 points in 2025-26.

Denver Nuggets roster More Guards

MVP race · #273Guard rank · #115Balladex Impact · 52

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex · Updated Jul 12, 2026

◆ Rated

Denver Nuggets · #3 · Guard

Julian Strawther

Season avg7.2 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.1 ast · .467 fg

Career avg7.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.1 ast · .425 fg

Live win probabilityNuggets 52%

Balladex model · projected 118–118 · 99.5 pace

Tonight's projectionmodel

8.1pts

2.3reb

1.2ast

52%win

Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head

Julian Strawther

Denver Nuggets · Guard

Alex Caruso

Oklahoma City Thunder · Elite stopper

Category breakout

Head-to-head history

Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.

LADDER#273 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 52 — Rotation piece tierINDEXJulian Strawther · Denver NuggetsLADDER#273 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 52 — Rotation piece tierINDEXJulian Strawther · Denver Nuggets

Scouting report

Julian Strawther — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-

Bench Shooter · Impact 52

Julian Strawther is a bench-scoring wing and shooter for the Denver Nuggets. A Las Vegas native who starred at Gonzaga — hitting a famous clutch three

Offense

Defense

Feel / IQ

Playmaking

Below average creator

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Scoring

Average scorer

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Rebounding

Below average on the glass

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B+

3PT / spacing

Excellent spacing

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C-

Perimeter D

Below average on the perimeter

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Paint / rim D

Below average at the rim

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C-

Clutch

Average late

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Athleticism

Average tools

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Basketball IQ

Reads the game

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Durability

Availability

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Act II

Where Julian Strawther stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets▬

44%

Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat▬

23%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder▬

19%

Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers▬

Kyrie Irving Dallas Mavericks▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #274 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

52Impact index

96Star score

Career scoring average7.1 ppg

Seasons in the index3

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Julian Strawther — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

Scoring

7.2 PPG

drill in ↓

Playmaking

1.1 APG

drill in ↓

Rebounding

2.0 RPG

drill in ↓

B+

Shooting

.387 3P%

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Julian Strawther

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27 70% confidence

7.8

pts

5.8–9.8

2.2

reb

1.3–3.1

1.2

ast

0.5–1.9

15.4

min

proj

health

.440

fg%

~base

.360

3p%

~base

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 3-season history below.

What moves the points line vs last season

Last season 7.2 → projected 7.8 PPG

Minutes / role

+0.1

Development (his trend)

+0.3

Age curve

+0.1

Live context

+0.1

Net vs last season+0.6 PPG

Everything it reads

📊

3 seasons of per-minute rates

every box line, minutes-normalized

real

⚖

Recency × games-played weight

recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Weighted least-squares trend

his own trajectory, read season over season

+dev

🕰

Per-stat aging curves

age 24 — applied per stat

curve

🔌

Live role context

usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present

+ctx

🏥

Durability signal

GP last 3: 50 / 65 / 57 → games & confidence

health

The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Julian Strawther career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%
2023-24	50	10.9	4.5	1.2	0.9	.369	.297
2024-25	65	21.3	9.0	2.2	1.3	.432	.349
2025-26	57	15.1	7.2	2.0	1.1	.467	.387
Career	172	16.2	7.1	1.8	1.1

Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.

EraLab · the stat time machinenovel

Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.

—raw PPG

→

—in 2026 pace

why

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

A.J. Green 97%Isaiah Joe 97%Duncan Robinson 96%Luke Kennard 96%Svi Mykhailiuk 96%

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart

Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.

Role simulatorpowered by GM engine

Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.

If a key teammate misses 20 games →

Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.

Context

Are the Denver Nuggets built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

55–27proj record

#4conf seed

+5.4net rtg

121.3off rtg

115.9def rtg

98%playoff odds

Roster delta · what changed

Switch-heavy — Switches 1–4 (or 1–5) to erase actions and keep bodies in front. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon.

How his role moves

Projected 55–27, 4th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

52 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Julian Strawther

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Apr 18, 2002

The beginning

A Las Vegas sharpshooter out of Gonzaga — bench scoring punch and a big-moment shot-maker.

Denver Nuggets

Turning pro

Drafted 29th overall, 2023 as a Guard.

true

A Vegas kid who never met a shot he didn't like — and hit one of the loudest of the 2023 NCAA tournament.

Chapter

Strawther set scoring records around Las Vegas before becoming a knockdown wing at Gonzaga, where his 35-foot dagger sank UCLA in the 2023 tournament.

Chapter

Indiana drafted him 29th in 2023 and sent his rights to Denver, where he's grown into a bench scoring option.

▶

Strawther's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Julian Strawther WENT OFF in the 2nd half of Game 6 🔥

Off the court

Measurables ESPN

Active

Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 205 lbs
College: Gonzaga
Experience: 3rd Season
Draft: 29th overall, 2023
Born: Las Vegas, Nevada
Age: 24
Jersey: #3

Beyond the game

Strawther's story runs through Las Vegas and Puerto Rico: a hometown scoring legend at Liberty High, he chose to represent Puerto Rico on the international stage through his mother's heritage, averaging 22 points at the 2019 FIBA Under-19 World Cup. His identity is simple and stable — he's a shooter who believes every one is going in, the kind of confident bench scorer a deep contender needs.

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The person

A confident, shot-hunting scorer — bench offense with big-moment nerve.

Bench sniperVolume shooting and scoring punch off the pine.

Clutch pedigreeHit a famous 35-footer vs UCLA in the 2023 NCAA tournament.

Puerto RicoRepresents Puerto Rico internationally.

Verified profiles & sources

Wikipedia

FAQ

Julian Strawther — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Julian Strawther, answered.

What country does Julian Strawther represent?

Puerto Rico, through his mother's heritage; he starred at the 2019 FIBA Under-19 World Cup.

Where did Julian Strawther go to college?

Gonzaga, where he hit a famous clutch three against UCLA in the 2023 NCAA tournament.

Julian Strawther career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Julian StrawtherDenver Nuggets · #3

Julian Strawther — the report card

Where Julian Strawther stands

Julian Strawther — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Julian Strawther

Julian Strawther career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Denver Nuggets built to win?

The Ballad of Julian Strawther

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Chapter

Off the court

Julian Strawther — frequently asked

Availability & durability

More Denver Nuggets players

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