The Index · Live

Jabari Smith Jr.Houston Rockets · #10

Forward · 6'11", 220 lb · Fayetteville, Georgia · Age 23 · 4th season

Jabari Smith Jr. is a stretch-four and two-way forward for the Houston Rockets — a 6-foot-11 floor-spacer with rim protection. Drafted 3rd in 2022 out of Auburn, where he helped the Tigers reach a No. 1 ranking, he's the son of former NBA player Jabari Smith Sr. He signed a five-year, $122 million extension and started all 77 games in 2025-26 at 15.8 points a night.

MVP race · #125Forward rank · #50Balladex Impact · 62
⚖ Quick compare
J
Jabari Smith Jr.
◆ Rated
Houston Rockets · #10 · Forward
Jabari Smith Jr.
Season avg15.8 pts · 6.9 reb · 1.9 ast · .449 fg
Career avg13.7 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.5 ast · .437 fg
Live win probabilityWarriors 53%
Balladex model · projected 117–117 · 98.1 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
17.6pts
7.2reb
2.2ast
47%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Jabari Smith Jr.
Houston Rockets · Forward
C-
vs
84
Draymond Green
Golden State Warriors · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#125 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 62 — Solid starter tierINDEXJabari Smith Jr. · Houston RocketsLADDER#125 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 62 — Solid starter tierINDEXJabari Smith Jr. · Houston Rockets
Scouting report

Jabari Smith Jr. — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Stretch-Four · Floor-Spacer · Impact 62
Jabari Smith Jr. is a stretch-four and two-way forward for the Houston Rockets — a 6-foot-11 floor-spacer with rim protection. Drafted 3rd in 2022 out
C-
Offense
C
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
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C+
Scoring
Average scorer
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C+
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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C+
Perimeter D
Strong on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A+
Durability
Availability
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Act II

Where Jabari Smith Jr. stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #127 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
62Impact index
137Star score
Career scoring average13.7 ppg
Seasons in the index4
Accolades on file2
1× All-Rookie Second Team (2023) · 1× Wayman Tisdale Award (2022)
Stat explorer

Jabari Smith Jr. — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C+
Scoring
15.8 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
1.9 APG
drill in ↓
C+
Rebounding
6.9 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
.363 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Jabari Smith Jr.

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  64% confidence
17.1
pts
14.4–19.8
6.9
reb
5.7–8.1
2.1
ast
1.2–3.0
36.4
min
proj
70
gp
health
.443
fg%
~base
.355
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 4-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 15.8 → projected 17.1 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.6
Development (his trend)
+0.2
Age curve
+0.2
Live context
+0.3
Net vs last season+1.3 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
4 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 23 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 76 / 57 / 77 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Jabari Smith Jr. career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2022-237931.012.87.21.3.408.307
2023-247631.913.78.11.6.454.363
2024-255730.112.27.01.1.438.354
2025-267735.115.86.91.9.449.363
Career28932.213.77.31.5
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Houston Rockets built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

55–27proj record
#3conf seed
+5.5net rtg
117.5off rtg
112.1def rtg
98%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Switch-heavy — Switches 1–4 (or 1–5) to erase actions and keep bodies in front. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Amen Thompson, Fred VanVleet.
How his role moves
Projected 55–27, 3rd in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
62 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
2 accolades
1× All-Rookie Second Team (2023) · 1× Wayman Tisdale Award (2022)
Act IV

The Ballad of Jabari Smith Jr.

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

May 13, 2003

The beginning

A 6-foot-11 stretch-four with floor-spacing and rim protection — a two-way forward from NBA bloodlines.

Houston Rockets

Turning pro

Drafted 3rd overall, 2022 as a Forward.

true

A 6-foot-11 stretch-four with floor-spacing and rim protection — a two-way forward from NBA bloodlines.

Chapter

Son of ex-NBA forward Jabari Smith Sr., he helped Auburn to a No. 1 ranking and was drafted 3rd in 2022.

Chapter

He grew into a versatile two-way forward and signed a five-year, $122M extension.

Jr.'s story
The documentary, narrated

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 11"
Weight
220 lbs
College
Auburn
Experience
4th Season
Draft
3rd overall, 2022
Born
Fayetteville, Georgia
Age
23
Jersey
#10
Beyond the game

Basketball runs in the family: Jabari's father, Jabari Smith Sr., played six NBA seasons, and his distant cousin Kwame Brown was a No. 1 overall pick. Raised in Georgia, he was a McDonald's All-American and one of the most highly touted prospects of his class, with pre-draft comparisons ranging from Rashard Lewis and Chris Bosh to Kevin Durant.

His identity is floor-spacing size and defensive versatility — a 6-foot-11 forward who shoots, defends multiple positions, and protects the rim in stretches. Ball-handling and self-creation are the developmental frontiers, but his shooting-and-defense profile at his height makes him an ideal frontcourt complement on a contender.

The person

A tall, versatile stretch-four — floor-spacing, defense, and rim protection with room to grow as a creator.

Stretch-fourA 6-foot-11 forward who spaces the floor to the three-point line.
Defensive versatilityLength and mobility to guard multiple positions and protect the rim.
NBA bloodlineSon of former NBA forward Jabari Smith Sr.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Jabari Smith Jr. — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Jabari Smith Jr., answered.

Is Jabari Smith Jr. related to an NBA player?
Yes — his father, Jabari Smith Sr., played six NBA seasons, and his distant cousin Kwame Brown was a No. 1 overall pick.
What is Jabari Smith Jr.'s game?
A 6-foot-11 stretch-four — a floor-spacing shooter with the length to defend multiple positions and protect the rim.
Where did Jabari Smith Jr. go to college?
Auburn, where he helped the Tigers to a No. 1 ranking before Houston drafted him 3rd overall in 2022.
Jabari Smith Jr. career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Jabari Smith Jr.

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
88%
4 seasons
Last 3 seasons
85%
36 games missed
Games missed
39
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Durable
steady
Availability by season
79
22-23
76
23-24
57
24-25
77
25-26

Durable. Availability trend is steady85% of games over the last three seasons, low of 70% in 2024-25.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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