The Index · Live

Keegan MurraySacramento Kings · #13

Forward · 6-8, 225 lb · Cedar Rapids, Iowa · Age 26 · 4th season

Keegan Murray is a 6-foot-8 Sacramento Kings forward drafted fourth overall in 2022 out of Iowa, who set the NBA rookie record for made three-pointers in a season (206) and once hit 11 straight threes in a 47-point game — a prototypical 3-and-D wing.

MVP race · #200Forward rank · #64Balladex Impact · 59
⚖ Quick compare
K
Keegan Murray
◆ Rated
Sacramento Kings · #13 · Forward
Keegan Murray
Season avg14.0 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.7 ast · .420 fg
Career avg13.3 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.5 ast · .448 fg
Live win probabilityBlazers 76%
Balladex model · projected 123–117 · 99.3 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
13.9pts
6.4reb
1.7ast
24%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Keegan Murray
Sacramento Kings · Forward
C-
vs
84
Jrue Holiday
Portland Trail Blazers · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#200 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 59 — Solid starter tierINDEXKeegan Murray · Sacramento KingsLADDER#200 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 59 — Solid starter tierINDEXKeegan Murray · Sacramento Kings
Scouting report

Keegan Murray — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
3-and-D Forward · Impact 59
Keegan Murray is a 6-foot-8 Sacramento Kings forward drafted fourth overall in 2022 out of Iowa, who set the NBA rookie record for made three-pointers
C-
Offense
C
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C
Scoring
Average scorer
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C
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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D
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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C+
Perimeter D
Strong on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
tap for the data ↓
C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
tap for the data ↓
F
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Keegan Murray stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
26%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
18%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
10%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
3%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
3%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #175 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
59Impact index
132Star score
Career scoring average13.3 ppg
Seasons in the index4
Accolades on file3
All-Rookie 2023 First Team · 206 Rookie 3PT record
Stat explorer

Keegan Murray — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C
Scoring
14.0 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
1.7 APG
drill in ↓
C
Rebounding
5.7 RPG
drill in ↓
D
Shooting
.277 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Keegan Murray

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  76% confidence
14.5
pts
12.6–16.4
6.0
reb
5.1–6.9
1.8
ast
1.2–2.4
35.6
min
proj
50
gp
health
.444
fg%
~base
.344
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 4-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 14.0 → projected 14.5 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.5
Development (his trend)
-0.3
Age curve
+0.1
Live context
+0.3
Net vs last season+0.5 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
4 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 26 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 77 / 76 / 23 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Keegan Murray career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2022-238029.812.24.61.2.453.411
2023-247733.615.25.51.7.454.358
2024-257634.312.46.71.4.444.343
2025-262334.514.05.71.7.420.277
Career25632.713.35.61.5
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Sacramento Kings built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

15–67proj record
#15conf seed
-10net rtg
110.4off rtg
120.5def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Domantas Sabonis, Maxime Raynaud.
How his role moves
Projected 15–67, 15th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
59 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
3 accolades
All-Rookie 2023 First Team · 206 Rookie 3PT record · SLMVP 2022 Summer League
Act IV

The Ballad of Keegan Murray

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

August 19, 2000

The beginning

A late-blooming sharpshooter who arrived as a plug-and-play starter, Keegan Murray set the NBA rookie three-point record and became the floor-spacing wing at the heart of Sacramento's revival.

Sacramento Kings

Turning pro

Drafted 2022 Round 1, Pick 4 (Sacramento Kings) as a Forward.

true

Keegan Murray walked in as a rookie and immediately rewrote the three-point record book.

Chapter

A lightly-recruited Iowa product, he won the 2022 Karl Malone Award and went fourth overall to Sacramento, then took Summer League MVP.

Chapter

He started all 80 games as a rookie for a playoff Kings team and set the rookie record with 206 made threes.

Murray's story
The documentary, narrated

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 8"
Weight
225 lbs
College
Iowa
Experience
4th Season
Draft
2022 Round 1, Pick 4 (Sacramento Kings)
Born
Cedar Rapids, Iowa
Age
26
Jersey
#13
Off the Court

Keegan is part of a basketball family: his twin brother, Kris Murray, is also an NBA player, and their father, Kenyon, played college basketball at Iowa — the same program Keegan followed him to.

He carries a low-key, even-keeled reputation, letting a quiet, efficient two-way game do the talking.

The person

Reliable, low-maintenance and efficient, Murray is the ideal 3-and-D complement who thrives off the ball.

Rookie Record ShooterSet the NBA rookie mark with 206 made threes.
Off-Ball ScorerHigh-volume catch-and-shoot threat next to high-usage guards.
Twin LegacyOne half of an NBA twin-brother tandem with Kris Murray.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Keegan Murray — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Keegan Murray, answered.

What record does Keegan Murray hold?
The NBA rookie record for made three-pointers in a single season — 206, set in 2022-23.
Where did Keegan Murray play college basketball?
Iowa, for two seasons, where he won the 2022 Karl Malone Award as the nation's top power forward.
Is Keegan Murray related to another NBA player?
Yes — his twin brother, Kris Murray, is also an NBA player.
What is Murray's role with the Kings?
A starting 3-and-D forward who spaces the floor and defends opposing wings.
Keegan Murray career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Keegan Murray

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
78%
4 seasons
Last 3 seasons
72%
70 games missed
Games missed
72
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
steady
Availability by season
80
22-23
77
23-24
76
24-25
23
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is steady72% of games over the last three seasons, low of 28% in 2025-26.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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