The Index · Live

Alex KarabanSacramento Kings · #33

Forward · 6'8", 210 lb · UConn

Alex Karaban is a forward the Cleveland Cavaliers selected 29th overall in the 2026 NBA draft out of UConn. An incoming rookie who makes his NBA debut in 2026-27 — projected role, ratings and outlook.

Sacramento Kings roster More Forwards

MVP race · #334Forward rank · #119Balladex Impact · 43

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Sacramento Kings · #33 · Forward

Alex Karaban

Season avg— · no NBA seasons yet — prospect

Career avg— · career line pending debut

Live win probabilityBlazers 76%

Balladex model · projected 123–117 · 99.3 pace

Tonight's projectionmodel

5.1pts

5.2reb

2.4ast

24%win

Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head

Alex Karaban

Sacramento Kings · Forward

Jrue Holiday

Portland Trail Blazers · Strong defender

Category breakout

Head-to-head history

Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.

LADDER#334 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 43 — Role player tierINDEXAlex Karaban · Sacramento KingsLADDER#334 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 43 — Role player tierINDEXAlex Karaban · Sacramento Kings

Scouting report

Alex Karaban — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

Two-way wing prospect · Impact 43

Alex Karaban is a forward the Cleveland Cavaliers selected 29th overall in the 2026 NBA draft out of UConn. An incoming rookie who makes his NBA debut

Offense

Defense

Feel / IQ

Playmaking

Below average creator

tap for the data ↓

C-

Scoring

Below average scorer

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Rebounding

Below average on the glass

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3PT / spacing

Below average spacing

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Perimeter D

Below average on the perimeter

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Paint / rim D

Below average at the rim

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Clutch

Below average late

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C-

Athleticism

Average tools

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Basketball IQ

Reads the game

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Durability

Availability

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Act II

Where Alex Karaban stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets▬

44%

Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat▬

23%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder▬

19%

Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers▬

Kyrie Irving Dallas Mavericks▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #327 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

43Impact index

74Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file1

#29 2026 Draft pick

Stat explorer

Alex Karaban — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C-

Scoring

0.0 PPG

drill in ↓

Playmaking

0.0 APG

drill in ↓

Rebounding

0.0 RPG

drill in ↓

Shooting

— 3P%

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Alex Karaban

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season confidence

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 0-season history below.

What moves the points line vs last season

Everything it reads

📊

0 seasons of per-minute rates

every box line, minutes-normalized

real

⚖

Recency × games-played weight

recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Weighted least-squares trend

his own trajectory, read season over season

+dev

🕰

Per-stat aging curves

age — — applied per stat

curve

🔌

Live role context

usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present

+ctx

🏥

Durability signal

GP last 3: — → games & confidence

health

The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Alex Karaban career stats, season by season

Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.

EraLab · the stat time machinenovel

Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.

—raw PPG

→

—in 2026 pace

why

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

Koa Peat 100%Nate Ament 100%Asa Newell 99%Carter Bryant 99%Danny Wolf 99%

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart

Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.

Role simulatorpowered by GM engine

Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.

If a key teammate misses 20 games →

Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.

Context

Are the Sacramento Kings built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

15–67proj record

#15conf seed

-10net rtg

110.4off rtg

120.5def rtg

1%playoff odds

Roster delta · what changed

Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Domantas Sabonis, Maxime Raynaud.

How his role moves

Projected 15–67, 15th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

43 of 99

Role player tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

1 accolades

#29 2026 Draft pick

Act IV

The Ballad of Alex Karaban

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

The beginning

Alex Karaban is an incoming 2026 first-round rookie forward for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Sacramento Kings

Turning pro

Drafted 29th overall, 2026 as a Forward.

true

Alex Karaban was the 29th pick of the 2026 NBA draft, headed to the Cleveland Cavaliers out of UConn.

Chapter

He hasn't played an NBA game yet — his debut comes in 2026-27. Everything here is a Balladex prospect projection until real box scores arrive.

Where things stand

An incoming forward who debuts in 2026-27.

▶

Karaban's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables

Active

Height: 6'8"
Weight: 210 lb
Draft: 29th overall, 2026
Born: UConn
Jersey: #33

Beyond the game

Karaban joins the Cleveland Cavaliers as part of the 2026 rookie class, out of UConn.

The person

An incoming 2026 first-round forward out of UConn.

Incoming

Unproven

UConn

FAQ

Alex Karaban — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Alex Karaban, answered.

Where was Alex Karaban drafted?

Alex Karaban was selected 29th overall by the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2026 NBA draft, out of UConn.

Does Karaban have NBA stats yet?

Not yet — he's an incoming rookie who debuts in the 2026-27 season. The ratings and outlook here are clearly-labeled Balladex projections until real box scores arrive.

Alex Karaban career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Alex KarabanSacramento Kings · #33

Alex Karaban — the report card

Where Alex Karaban stands

Alex Karaban — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Alex Karaban

Alex Karaban career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Sacramento Kings built to win?

The Ballad of Alex Karaban

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Where things stand

Off the court

Alex Karaban — frequently asked

More Sacramento Kings players

Other Forwards to compare