The Index · Live

Naji MarshallDallas Mavericks · #3

Forward · 6-6, 220 lb · Atlantic City, New Jersey · Age 28 · 6th season

Naji Marshall is a 6-foot-6 Dallas Mavericks wing who went undrafted out of Xavier in 2020, worked his way up from a two-way contract in New Orleans, and became a versatile two-way rotation wing, signing with Dallas in 2024 and posting career highs in 2024-25.

MVP race · #142Forward rank · #60Balladex Impact · 59
⚖ Quick compare
N
Naji Marshall
◆ Rated
Dallas Mavericks · #3 · Forward
Naji Marshall
Season avg15.2 pts · 4.7 reb · 3.3 ast · .510 fg
Career avg10.1 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.5 ast · .460 fg
Live win probabilityMavericks 56%
Balladex model · projected 118–116 · 100 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
17.0pts
5.1reb
3.6ast
56%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Naji Marshall
Dallas Mavericks · Forward
C-
vs
90
Ausar Thompson
Detroit Pistons · Elite stopper
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#142 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 59 — Solid starter tierINDEXNaji Marshall · Dallas MavericksLADDER#142 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 59 — Solid starter tierINDEXNaji Marshall · Dallas Mavericks
Scouting report

Naji Marshall — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Connective Scoring Wing · Impact 59
Naji Marshall is a 6-foot-6 Dallas Mavericks wing who went undrafted out of Xavier in 2020, worked his way up from a two-way contract in New Orleans,
C-
Offense
C-
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
D
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C+
Scoring
Average scorer
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C
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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C-
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A+
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Naji Marshall stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #168 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
59Impact index
117Star score
Career scoring average10.1 ppg
Seasons in the index6
Accolades on file3
All-Big East 1st Team 2020 · Undrafted Earned standard deal
Stat explorer

Naji Marshall — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C+
Scoring
15.2 PPG
drill in ↓
D
Playmaking
3.3 APG
drill in ↓
C
Rebounding
4.7 RPG
drill in ↓
C-
Shooting
.291 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Naji Marshall

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  73% confidence
17.1
pts
14.9–19.3
4.9
reb
4.0–5.8
3.7
ast
3.0–4.4
31.3
min
proj
71
gp
health
.492
fg%
~base
.306
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 6-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 15.2 → projected 17.1 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.9
Development (his trend)
+0.7
Age curve
+0.0
Live context
+0.3
Net vs last season+1.9 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
6 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 28 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 66 / 69 / 74 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Naji Marshall career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2020-213221.97.74.62.8.392.349
2021-225513.45.72.61.1.405.200
2022-237723.39.13.62.5.433.303
2023-246619.07.13.61.9.463.387
2024-256927.813.24.83.0.508.275
2025-267429.515.24.73.3.510.291
Career37323.010.14.02.5
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Dallas Mavericks built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

28–54proj record
#12conf seed
-5.1net rtg
110.4off rtg
115.4def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Daniel Gafford, Dereck Lively II.
How his role moves
Projected 28–54, 12th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
59 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
3 accolades
All-Big East 1st Team 2020 · Undrafted Earned standard deal · 13.2 PPG career-high 2024-25
Act IV

The Ballad of Naji Marshall

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

January 24, 1998

The beginning

An undrafted glue-guy wing who earned everything the hard way, Naji Marshall climbed from a two-way deal in New Orleans to a real rotation role and a multiyear contract in Dallas.

Dallas Mavericks

Turning pro

Drafted Undrafted, 2020 as a Forward.

true

Naji Marshall built an NBA career from an undrafted two-way deal and pure competitiveness.

Chapter

A First-team All-Big East wing at Xavier, he went undrafted in 2020 and signed a two-way contract with New Orleans, splitting time with the G League.

Chapter

He converted to a standard deal and grew into a physical, connective rotation wing over parts of four Pelicans seasons.

Marshall's story
The documentary, narrated

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 6"
Weight
220 lbs
College
Xavier
Experience
6th Season
NBA debut
2020
Draft
Undrafted, 2020
Born
Atlantic City, New Jersey
Age
28
Jersey
#3
Off the Court

Marshall's father, Maurice, is a former professional boxer who now coaches youth basketball, and his mother works at a Washington, D.C. hospital. He grew up one of several siblings and played both football and basketball before moving to Maryland at nine.

His competitive, hard-nosed reputation — a reason he chose Xavier — occasionally spills over, as with a four-game suspension after an on-court altercation in December 2024, a basketball-disciplinary matter rather than a legal one.

The person

Physical, versatile and relentlessly competitive, Marshall is the definition of an earned-it, do-everything wing.

Glue GuyConnective two-way wing who fills gaps and makes the right play.
Secondary PlaymakerRising assist rate (3.0 in 2024-25) as a ball-mover.
Hard-NosedPhysical, competitive edge that fuels his defense.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Naji Marshall — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Naji Marshall, answered.

Was Naji Marshall drafted?
No — he went undrafted in 2020 and earned his way up through a two-way contract with New Orleans.
How did Naji Marshall get to Dallas?
He signed with the Mavericks as a free agent in July 2024, directly from New Orleans.
What college did Naji Marshall attend?
Xavier, where he was a First-team All-Big East wing in 2020.
What is Marshall's biggest weakness?
Perimeter shooting — his career three-point percentage sits around 30%, which limits his floor-spacing.
Naji Marshall career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Naji Marshall

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
77%
6 seasons
Last 3 seasons
85%
37 games missed
Games missed
109
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Durable
improving
Availability by season
32
20-21
55
21-22
77
22-23
66
23-24
69
24-25
74
25-26

Durable. Availability trend is improving85% of games over the last three seasons, low of 44% in 2020-21.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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