BALLADEX
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Keaton WagnerLos Angeles Clippers · #34

Guard · 6'4", 190 lb · Illinois

Keaton Wagner is a guard the Los Angeles Clippers selected 5th overall in the 2026 NBA draft out of Illinois. An incoming rookie who makes his NBA debut in 2026-27 — projected role, ratings and outlook.

Los Angeles Clippers rosterMore Guards
MVP race · #286Guard rank · #119Balladex Impact · 56
⚖ Quick compare
Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex
K
◆ Rated
Los Angeles Clippers · #34 · Guard
Keaton Wagner
Season avg— · no NBA seasons yet — prospect
Career avg— · career line pending debut
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
0.0pts
0.0reb
0.0ast
LADDER#286 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 56 — Rotation piece tierINDEXKeaton Wagner · Los Angeles ClippersLADDER#286 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 56 — Rotation piece tierINDEXKeaton Wagner · Los Angeles Clippers
Scouting report

Keaton Wagner — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Lead-guard prospect · Impact 56
Keaton Wagner is a guard the Los Angeles Clippers selected 5th overall in the 2026 NBA draft out of Illinois. An incoming rookie who makes his NBA deb
C
Offense
D
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
C
Playmaking
Average creator
tap for the data ↓
C
Scoring
Average scorer
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D
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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C-
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C-
Clutch
Below average late
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C+
Athleticism
Average tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
tap for the data ↓
C
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Keaton Wagner stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets▬
44%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat▬
23%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder▬
19%
4
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers▬
6%
5
Kyrie Irving Dallas Mavericks▬
3%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #279 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
56Impact index
87Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file1
#5 2026 Draft pick
Stat explorer

Keaton Wagner — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C
Scoring
0.0 PPG
drill in ↓
C
Playmaking
0.0 APG
drill in ↓
D
Rebounding
0.0 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
— 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Keaton Wagner

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season  confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 0-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
📊
0 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
⚖
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age — — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: — → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Keaton Wagner career stats, season by season

Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Los Angeles Clippers built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

44–38proj record
#8conf seed
+1net rtg
116.3off rtg
115.2def rtg
62%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Kris Dunn, Kawhi Leonard.
How his role moves
Projected 44–38, 8th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
56 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
1 accolades
#5 2026 Draft pick
Act IV

The Ballad of Keaton Wagner

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

The beginning

Keaton Wagner is an incoming 2026 first-round rookie guard for the Los Angeles Clippers.

Los Angeles Clippers

Turning pro

Drafted 5th overall, 2026 as a Guard.

true

Keaton Wagner was the 5th pick of the 2026 NBA draft, headed to the Los Angeles Clippers out of Illinois.

Chapter

He hasn't played an NBA game yet — his debut comes in 2026-27. Everything here is a Balladex prospect projection until real box scores arrive.

Where things stand

An incoming guard who debuts in 2026-27.

▶
▶
Wagner's story
The documentary, narrated

Off the court

Measurables
Active
Height
6'4"
Weight
190 lb
Draft
5th overall, 2026
Born
Illinois
Jersey
#34
Beyond the game

Wagner joins the Los Angeles Clippers as part of the 2026 rookie class, out of Illinois.

The person

An incoming 2026 first-round guard out of Illinois.

Incoming
Unproven
Illinois
FAQ

Keaton Wagner — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Keaton Wagner, answered.

Where was Keaton Wagner drafted?
Keaton Wagner was selected 5th overall by the Los Angeles Clippers in the 2026 NBA draft, out of Illinois.
Does Wagner have NBA stats yet?
Not yet — he's an incoming rookie who debuts in the 2026-27 season. The ratings and outlook here are clearly-labeled Balladex projections until real box scores arrive.
Keaton Wagner career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Keaton Wagner

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