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Balladex / NFL / Playoffs
The road to the Super Bowl · Live

Playoff Picture.

Who's in, who's out, and how the bracket sets up. Seven teams per conference qualify; the No. 1 seed gets a first-round bye. Seeding is live from the standings.

The picture live

Seeds 1–7 qualify; No. 1 gets the bye.

Full standings →
AFC
In the playoffs (seeds 1–7)
1Kansas City Chiefs · bye4-0+412Jacksonville Jaguars3-1+513Buffalo Bills3-1+204Cleveland Browns3-1-145Baltimore Ravens3-1+206Las Vegas Raiders3-1+317New England Patriots2-2-12
On the outside
8Denver Broncos2-2-209Pittsburgh Steelers2-2-1010Indianapolis Colts2-2-211Cincinnati Bengals2-2+1212New York Jets1-3-813Miami Dolphins0-4-5514Los Angeles Chargers0-4-3915Houston Texans0-4-2516Tennessee Titans0-4-28
NFC
In the playoffs (seeds 1–7)
1Minnesota Vikings · bye4-0+352San Francisco 49ers4-0+583New York Giants3-1+34Carolina Panthers2-2+125Chicago Bears3-1+476Seattle Seahawks3-1+327Los Angeles Rams2-2+2
On the outside
8Atlanta Falcons2-2+49Detroit Lions2-2-810Green Bay Packers2-2-3211Philadelphia Eagles2-2-1812Dallas Cowboys2-2+1013Washington Commanders1-3-3414New Orleans Saints1-3-2315Arizona Cardinals1-3-3016Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-4-20
Projected bracket

Wild Card matchups by seed; No. 1 is on bye.

AFC — Wild Card round
1Kansas City Chiefsbye
2Jacksonville Jaguarsvs7New England Patriots
3Buffalo Billsvs6Las Vegas Raiders
4Cleveland Brownsvs5Baltimore Ravens
NFC — Wild Card round
1Minnesota Vikingsbye
2San Francisco 49ersvs7Los Angeles Rams
3New York Giantsvs6Seattle Seahawks
4Carolina Panthersvs5Chicago Bears
Super Bowl odds

Our model's title probability, top 12.

Power rankings →
NFL Super Bowl odds — the model's title probability for the top 12 contenders.
#TeamConfRecordDiffTitle odds
1Jacksonville JaguarsAFC3-1+517%
2San Francisco 49ersNFC4-0+587%
3Kansas City ChiefsAFC4-0+416%
4Chicago BearsNFC3-1+476%
5Las Vegas RaidersAFC3-1+315%
6Minnesota VikingsNFC4-0+355%
7Seattle SeahawksNFC3-1+325%
8Buffalo BillsAFC3-1+204%
9Baltimore RavensAFC3-1+204%
10Cincinnati BengalsAFC2-2+123%
11Indianapolis ColtsAFC2-2-23%
12New York GiantsNFC3-1+33%
How it's modeled. Seeding and records are live from ESPN. The bracket pairs 2v7, 3v6, 4v5 in each conference with the No. 1 seed on bye. Super Bowl odds are a softmax over season point differential. Updated automatically.