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The road to the Super Bowl · Live

Playoff Picture.

Who's in, who's out, and how the bracket sets up. Seven teams per conference qualify; the No. 1 seed gets a first-round bye. Seeding is live from the standings.

The picture live

Seeds 1–7 qualify; No. 1 gets the bye.

Full standings →
AFC
In the playoffs (seeds 1–7)
1Denver Broncos · bye14-3+902New England Patriots14-3+1703Jacksonville Jaguars13-4+1384Pittsburgh Steelers10-7+105Houston Texans12-5+1096Buffalo Bills12-5+1167Los Angeles Chargers11-6+28
On the outside
8Indianapolis Colts8-9+549Baltimore Ravens8-9+2610Miami Dolphins7-10-7711Cincinnati Bengals6-11-7812Kansas City Chiefs6-11+3413Cleveland Browns5-12-10014Las Vegas Raiders3-14-19115New York Jets3-14-20316Tennessee Titans3-14-194
NFC
In the playoffs (seeds 1–7)
1Seattle Seahawks · bye14-3+1912Chicago Bears11-6+263Philadelphia Eagles11-6+544Carolina Panthers8-9-695Los Angeles Rams12-5+1726San Francisco 49ers12-5+667Green Bay Packers9-7-1+31
On the outside
8Minnesota Vikings9-8+119Detroit Lions9-8+6810Tampa Bay Buccaneers8-9-3111Atlanta Falcons8-9-4812Dallas Cowboys7-9-1-4013New Orleans Saints6-11-7714Washington Commanders5-12-9515New York Giants4-13-5816Arizona Cardinals3-14-133
Projected bracket

Wild Card matchups by seed; No. 1 is on bye.

AFC — Wild Card round
1Denver Broncosbye
2New England Patriotsvs7Los Angeles Chargers
3Jacksonville Jaguarsvs6Buffalo Bills
4Pittsburgh Steelersvs5Houston Texans
NFC — Wild Card round
1Seattle Seahawksbye
2Chicago Bearsvs7Green Bay Packers
3Philadelphia Eaglesvs6San Francisco 49ers
4Carolina Panthersvs5Los Angeles Rams
Super Bowl odds

Our model's title probability, top 12.

Power rankings →
NFL Super Bowl odds — the model's title probability for the top 12 contenders.
#TeamConfRecordDiffTitle odds
1Seattle SeahawksNFC14-3+19122%
2Los Angeles RamsNFC12-5+17216%
3New England PatriotsAFC14-3+17015%
4Jacksonville JaguarsAFC13-4+1389%
5Buffalo BillsAFC12-5+1166%
6Houston TexansAFC12-5+1096%
7Denver BroncosAFC14-3+904%
8Detroit LionsNFC9-8+683%
9San Francisco 49ersNFC12-5+663%
10Indianapolis ColtsAFC8-9+542%
11Kansas City ChiefsAFC6-11+342%
12Philadelphia EaglesNFC11-6+542%
How it's modeled. Seeding and records are live from ESPN. The bracket pairs 2v7, 3v6, 4v5 in each conference with the No. 1 seed on bye. Super Bowl odds are a softmax over season point differential. Updated automatically.