Who is the #1 fantasy basketball pick for 2026-27?

The Balladex model's #1 overall pick for 2026-27 is Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers), projected for 65.6 points-league fantasy points per game. A transparent model estimate, not a guarantee.

How are the fantasy basketball rankings calculated?

Every player is projected forward from his recent seasons — recency- and sample-weighted per-game production, bent along an age curve with a talent floor — then scored for a points league and ranked by value over replacement across guards, forwards and centers.

Balladex / Fantasy / Basketball

2026-27 draft board · Projected

Fantasy Basketball 2026-27.

Not last year's stats — next season projected. Every player is forecast forward (recency-weighted production bent along an aging curve), scored points-league, and ranked by value over replacement so positional scarcity — a scarce center vs a deep guard pool — is priced in. Then tiers, ADP rounds, and the sleepers, breakouts and busts our model sees coming.

Doncic#1 overall · 65.6 proj FPPG

3value tiers

Greentop breakout · +8.8 FPPG

Whitetop sleeper · Rd 4

What the model sees coming projected

Draft-winning edges: who's climbing, who's falling, and who's going later than they should.

Breakoutson the rise

Jalen Green

G25 · PHX · age 2426.3→35.2

Scoot Henderson

G39 · POR · age 2223.0→28.6

Victor Wembanyama

C2 · SAS · age 2243.4→48.9

Kon Knueppel

F17 · CHA · age 2130.0→35.1

Sleeperslate value

Coby White

G19 · CHA · age 26Rd 4 · 36.6 FPPG

Darius Garland

G20 · LAC · age 26Rd 4 · 36.5 FPPG

Stephon Castle

G21 · SAS · age 22Rd 5 · 35.9 FPPG

Dejounte Murray

G22 · NOP · age 30Rd 5 · 35.9 FPPG

Bustsfade / regress

James Harden

G55 · CLE · age 3743.3→24.7

Stephen Curry

G71 · GSW · age 3838.0→21.5

Kevin Durant

F54 · HOU · age 3839.8→23.5

LeBron James

F49 · PHI · age 4239.0→24.4

Positional scarcity — when to draft

Value drops off a cliff at different points by position. Taller bars = more value over replacement; that's your draft urgency.

Guards45 startable

elite tier ends ~pick 1. Replacement at Guard 45.

Forwards45 startable

shallow at the top. Replacement at Forward 45.

Centers18 startable

shallow at the top. Replacement at Center 18.

The draft board top 120

Ranked by projected value over replacement. Tiers mark natural talent cliffs; draft the last player in a tier before it breaks.

Guards Forwards Centers

Fantasy basketball 2026-27 projected draft board — rank, tier, player, projected fantasy points per game, value over replacement, ADP round and trend.
#	Player	Pos	Projected line	FPPG	VOR	Rd	Trend	Conf
Tier 1 · picks 1–1 · round 1
1	Luka DoncicG1 · LAL · age 27	G1	39.1 PPG · 9.0 RPG · 10.4 APGLeBron James & Deandre Ayton +4 left LAL (98% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	65.6	+39.0	1	Rising	92
Tier 2 · picks 2–4 · round 1
2	Nikola JokićC1 · DEN · age 31	C1	26.3 PPG · 11.6 RPG · 9.3 APGTim Hardaway Jr. left DEN (18% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	54.3	+27.3	1	Regression	83
3	Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG2 · OKC · age 28	G2	35.8 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 7.3 APGKyshawn George & VJ Edgecombe +3 left OKC (93% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	52.7	+26.1	1	Rising	83
4	Cade CunninghamG3 · DET · age 25	G3	28.5 PPG · 6.2 RPG · 10.4 APGTobias Harris & Caris LeVert +1 left DET (52% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	51.6	+25.1	1	Rising	87
Tier 3 · picks 5–120 · round 1–10
5	Jayson TatumF1 · BOS · age 28	F1	27.6 PPG · 9.1 RPG · 6.2 APGJaylen Brown left BOS (35% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	47.8	+23.0	1	Rising	83
6	Jalen JohnsonF2 · ATL · age 25	F2	23.0 PPG · 10.7 RPG · 7.6 APGZaccharie Risacher left ATL (17% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	47.2	+22.4	1	Steady	84
7	Victor WembanyamaC2 · SAS · age 22	C2	27.6 PPG · 12.6 RPG · 4.2 APGIsaiah Collier left SAS (24% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	48.9	+22.0	1	Breakout	78
8	Tyrese MaxeyG4 · PHI · age 26	G4	31.7 PPG · 4.2 RPG · 7.6 APGPaul George & Egor Demin +2 left PHI (76% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	48.1	+21.6	1	Rising	93
9	Anthony EdwardsG5 · MIN · age 25	G5	31.8 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 5.2 APGJulius Randle & Naz Reid left MIN (47% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	46.7	+20.1	1	Rising	94
10	Giannis AntetokounmpoF3 · MIA · age 32	F3	25.3 PPG · 9.7 RPG · 5.3 APGJoined Miami Heat this offseason (from MIL) — new role & system	44.9	+20.1	1	Regression	82
11	Joel EmbiidC3 · PHI · age 32	C3	29.3 PPG · 8.4 RPG · 4.7 APGPaul George & Egor Demin +2 left PHI (76% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	46.5	+19.6	1	Rising	79
12	Trae YoungG6 · WAS · age 28	G6	25.0 PPG · 2.9 RPG · 11.6 APGBaylor Scheierman & Jarace Walker left WAS (48% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	45.7	+19.2	1	Rising	80
13	Deni AvdijaF4 · POR · age 25	F4	24.3 PPG · 7.7 RPG · 6.6 APGJerami Grant & Jaylon Tyson +1 left POR (49% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	43.3	+18.5	2	Steady	89
14	Paolo BancheroF5 · ORL · age 24	F5	25.0 PPG · 8.2 RPG · 5.3 APG	42.8	+18.0	2	Breakout	83
15	Alperen SengunC4 · HOU · age 24	C4	21.8 PPG · 10.1 RPG · 6.3 APGJosh Okogie left HOU (11% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	43.4	+16.4	2	Breakout	89
16	Josh GiddeyG7 · CHI · age 24	G7	18.1 PPG · 8.8 RPG · 9.1 APGAnfernee Simons & Lachlan Olbrich left CHI (35% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	42.3	+15.7	2	Breakout	84
17	Devin BookerG8 · PHX · age 30	G8	26.7 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 6.9 APGSam Hauser & Grayson Allen +1 left PHX (68% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	42.0	+15.5	2	Rising	83
18	Cooper FlaggF6 · DAL · age 20	F6	23.5 PPG · 7.4 RPG · 5.1 APGKhris Middleton left DAL (20% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	40.1	+15.3	2	Breakout	69
19	Zion WilliamsonF7 · NOP · age 26	F7	24.5 PPG · 6.8 RPG · 4.9 APGNoa Essengue left NOP (21% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	40.0	+15.2	2	Rising	91
20	Jalen WilliamsF8 · OKC · age 25	F8	23.6 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 6.1 APGKyshawn George & VJ Edgecombe +3 left OKC (93% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	39.1	+14.3	2	Rising	82
21	LaMelo BallG9 · MIN · age 25	G9	23.5 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 7.5 APGJoined Minnesota Timberwolves this offseason (from CHA) — new role & system	40.7	+14.2	2	Rising	92
22	Domantas SabonisC5 · SAC · age 30	C5	17.0 PPG · 12.2 RPG · 6.2 APG	41.0	+14.1	2	Rising	80
23	Scottie BarnesF9 · TOR · age 25	F9	19.6 PPG · 8.0 RPG · 6.1 APG	38.4	+13.6	2	Rising	88
24	Tyrese HaliburtonG10 · IND · age 26	G10	19.9 PPG · 3.8 RPG · 10.4 APG	40.0	+13.5	2	Rising	87
25	Jaylen BrownF10 · PHI · age 30	F10	24.4 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 4.4 APGJoined Philadelphia 76ers this offseason (from BOS) — new role & system	38.0	+13.2	3	Regression	81
26	Austin ReavesG11 · LAL · age 28	G11	24.6 PPG · 4.7 RPG · 6.3 APGLeBron James & Deandre Ayton +4 left LAL (98% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	39.7	+13.2	3	Rising	76
27	Jalen BrunsonG12 · NYK · age 30	G12	25.8 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 6.6 APGMitchell Robinson left NYK (10% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	39.5	+12.9	3	Steady	83
28	Anthony DavisF11 · WAS · age 33	F11	21.2 PPG · 10.0 RPG · 2.9 APGBaylor Scheierman & Jarace Walker left WAS (48% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	37.7	+12.9	3	Steady	82
29	Bam AdebayoC6 · MIA · age 29	C6	21.3 PPG · 10.1 RPG · 4.1 APGNorman Powell & Tyler Herro +3 left MIA (103% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	39.5	+12.6	3	Rising	83
30	Ja MorantG13 · POR · age 27	G13	22.5 PPG · 4.0 RPG · 7.7 APGJoined Portland Trail Blazers this offseason (from MEM) — new role & system	38.8	+12.3	3	Rising	91
31	Jamal MurrayG14 · DEN · age 29	G14	23.7 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 6.7 APGTim Hardaway Jr. left DEN (18% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	38.6	+12.1	3	Steady	82
32	Franz WagnerF12 · ORL · age 25	F12	23.2 PPG · 5.7 RPG · 4.3 APG	36.5	+11.7	3	Rising	86
33	De'Aaron FoxG15 · SAS · age 29	G15	23.4 PPG · 4.3 RPG · 6.3 APGIsaiah Collier left SAS (24% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	37.9	+11.4	3	Rising	81
34	Brandon MillerF13 · CHA · age 24	F13	23.9 PPG · 5.3 RPG · 4.0 APGLaMelo Ball & Miles Bridges +2 left CHA (78% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	36.2	+11.4	3	Breakout	76
35	Karl-Anthony TownsC7 · NYK · age 31	C7	20.8 PPG · 11.0 RPG · 2.8 APGMitchell Robinson left NYK (10% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	38.2	+11.2	3	Steady	81
36	Michael Porter Jr.F14 · BKN · age 28	F14	22.9 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 2.9 APGZiaire Williams & Nic Claxton left BKN (35% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	36.0	+11.2	3	Steady	80
37	Jalen DurenC8 · DET · age 23	C8	19.7 PPG · 11.8 RPG · 2.8 APGTobias Harris & Caris LeVert +1 left DET (52% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	38.1	+11.1	4	Breakout	81
38	Keyonte GeorgeG16 · UTA · age 23	G16	22.9 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 6.4 APGPelle Larsson left UTA (20% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	37.3	+10.7	4	Steady	73
39	Lauri MarkkanenF15 · UTA · age 29	F15	24.4 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 2.0 APGPelle Larsson left UTA (20% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	35.4	+10.6	4	Steady	80
40	Tyler HerroG17 · MIL · age 26	G17	23.1 PPG · 5.2 RPG · 5.2 APGJoined Milwaukee Bucks this offseason (from MIA) — new role & system	37.1	+10.6	4	Rising	92
41	Donovan MitchellG18 · CLE · age 30	G18	24.1 PPG · 4.3 RPG · 5.2 APG	37.1	+10.5	4	Regression	82
42	Evan MobleyF16 · CLE · age 25	F16	18.6 PPG · 9.4 RPG · 3.5 APG	35.1	+10.3	4	Steady	88
43	Kon KnueppelF17 · CHA · age 21	F17	21.9 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 4.1 APGLaMelo Ball & Miles Bridges +2 left CHA (78% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	35.1	+10.3	4	Breakout	69
44	Coby WhiteG19 · CHA · age 26	G19	22.7 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 5.7 APGLaMelo Ball & Miles Bridges +2 left CHA (78% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	36.6	+10.0	4	Rising	93
45	Darius GarlandG20 · LAC · age 26	G20	21.8 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 7.4 APGJohn Collins & Bogdan Bogdanovic left LAC (37% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	36.5	+9.9	4	Rising	93
46	Trey Murphy IIIF18 · NOP · age 26	F18	21.9 PPG · 5.7 RPG · 3.9 APGNoa Essengue left NOP (21% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	34.6	+9.8	4	Steady	85
47	RJ BarrettF19 · TOR · age 26	F19	20.5 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 4.5 APG	34.5	+9.7	4	Rising	90
48	Chet HolmgrenF20 · OKC · age 24	F20	19.5 PPG · 9.5 RPG · 2.3 APGKyshawn George & VJ Edgecombe +3 left OKC (93% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	34.4	+9.6	4	Breakout	78
49	Stephon CastleG21 · SAS · age 22	G21	18.1 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 7.6 APGIsaiah Collier left SAS (24% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	35.9	+9.4	5	Breakout	70
50	Dejounte MurrayG22 · NOP · age 30	G22	19.6 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 6.5 APGNoa Essengue left NOP (21% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	35.9	+9.3	5	Rising	82
51	Amen ThompsonG23 · HOU · age 23	G23	18.0 PPG · 8.3 RPG · 5.1 APGJosh Okogie left HOU (11% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	35.7	+9.1	5	Steady	73
52	Kevin Porter Jr.G24 · MIL · age 26	G24	18.5 PPG · 5.2 RPG · 7.3 APGGiannis Antetokounmpo & Cam Thomas +2 left MIL (103% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	35.6	+9.0	5	Steady	86
53	Jaren Jackson Jr.F21 · UTA · age 27	F21	22.8 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 2.3 APGPelle Larsson left UTA (20% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	33.4	+8.6	5	Rising	93
54	Jalen GreenG25 · PHX · age 24	G25	23.2 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 4.0 APGSam Hauser & Grayson Allen +1 left PHX (68% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	35.2	+8.6	5	Breakout	87
55	Brandon IngramF22 · TOR · age 29	F22	20.4 PPG · 5.2 RPG · 4.3 APG	33.2	+8.4	5	Steady	83
56	Pascal SiakamF23 · IND · age 32	F23	20.5 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 3.5 APGKam Jones left IND (14% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	32.9	+8.1	5	Regression	83
57	Julius RandleF24 · BKN · age 32	F24	18.5 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 4.2 APGJoined Brooklyn Nets this offseason (from MIN) — new role & system	32.8	+8.0	5	Regression	81
58	Shaedon SharpeG26 · POR · age 23	G26	23.0 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 3.3 APGJerami Grant & Jaylon Tyson +1 left POR (49% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	33.9	+7.3	5	Breakout	82
59	Miles BridgesF25 · PHX · age 28	F25	18.7 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 3.5 APGJoined Phoenix Suns this offseason (from CHA) — new role & system	31.9	+7.1	5	Rising	81
60	Desmond BaneG27 · ORL · age 28	G27	20.8 PPG · 4.6 RPG · 4.8 APG	33.5	+6.9	5	Rising	82
61	Ivica ZubacC9 · IND · age 29	C9	15.2 PPG · 11.4 RPG · 2.5 APGKam Jones left IND (14% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	32.6	+5.7	6	Rising	80
62	Alex SarrC10 · WAS · age 21	C10	17.6 PPG · 8.0 RPG · 3.1 APGBaylor Scheierman & Jarace Walker left WAS (48% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	31.8	+4.8	6	Breakout	71
63	Kawhi LeonardF26 · LAC · age 35	F26	19.9 PPG · 4.6 RPG · 2.7 APGJohn Collins & Bogdan Bogdanovic left LAC (37% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	29.5	+4.7	6	Regression	81
64	Bennedict MathurinF27 · LAC · age 24	F27	18.9 PPG · 5.7 RPG · 2.5 APGJohn Collins & Bogdan Bogdanovic left LAC (37% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	29.5	+4.7	6	Breakout	81
65	Kyle KuzmaF28 · MIL · age 31	F28	17.8 PPG · 5.3 RPG · 3.5 APGGiannis Antetokounmpo & Cam Thomas +2 left MIL (103% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	29.3	+4.5	6	Rising	78
66	Cam ThomasG28 · BKN · age 25	G28	22.1 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 3.5 APGJoined Brooklyn Nets this offseason (from MIL) — new role & system	30.9	+4.3	6	Rising	84
67	Ryan RollinsG29 · MIL · age 24	G29	17.2 PPG · 4.3 RPG · 5.6 APGGiannis Antetokounmpo & Cam Thomas +2 left MIL (103% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	30.7	+4.2	6	Steady	65
68	VJ EdgecombeG30 · PHI · age 21	G30	16.8 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 4.4 APGJoined Philadelphia 76ers this offseason (from OKC) — new role & system	30.4	+3.9	6	Rising	69
69	Mark WilliamsC11 · PHX · age 25	C11	15.3 PPG · 10.1 RPG · 2.2 APGSam Hauser & Grayson Allen +1 left PHX (68% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	30.6	+3.7	6	Rising	80
70	Donovan ClinganC12 · POR · age 22	C12	12.5 PPG · 12.1 RPG · 2.3 APGJerami Grant & Jaylon Tyson +1 left POR (49% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	30.5	+3.5	6	Rising	67
71	Josh HartF29 · NYK · age 31	F29	11.4 PPG · 7.9 RPG · 4.8 APGMitchell Robinson left NYK (10% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	28.1	+3.3	6	Steady	80
72	Jabari Smith Jr.F30 · HOU · age 23	F30	16.1 PPG · 7.7 RPG · 1.9 APGJosh Okogie left HOU (11% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	28.1	+3.3	6	Rising	82
73	Saddiq BeyF31 · NOP · age 27	F31	17.4 PPG · 6.0 RPG · 2.4 APGNoa Essengue left NOP (21% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	28.1	+3.3	7	Steady	86
74	Jordan PooleG31 · NOP · age 27	G31	19.5 PPG · 2.9 RPG · 4.6 APGNoa Essengue left NOP (21% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	29.8	+3.2	7	Rising	89
75	Dyson DanielsG32 · ATL · age 23	G32	12.8 PPG · 6.8 RPG · 5.7 APGZaccharie Risacher left ATL (17% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	29.5	+3.0	7	Steady	76
76	Anfernee SimonsG33 · PHI · age 27	G33	19.3 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 4.4 APGJoined Philadelphia 76ers this offseason (from CHI) — new role & system	29.5	+3.0	7	Rising	88
77	Immanuel QuickleyG34 · TOR · age 27	G34	16.4 PPG · 3.8 RPG · 5.7 APG	29.5	+3.0	7	Steady	90
78	KIKyrie IrvingG35 · DAL · age 34	G35	19.3 PPG · 3.7 RPG · 3.8 APG	29.5	+2.9	7	Regression	83
79	Andrew NembhardG36 · IND · age 26	G36	15.2 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 7.1 APGKam Jones left IND (14% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	29.5	+2.9	7	Steady	77
80	Jarrett AllenC13 · CLE · age 28	C13	15.0 PPG · 9.5 RPG · 2.2 APG	29.6	+2.6	7	Rising	82
81	Onyeka OkongwuC14 · ATL · age 26	C14	15.2 PPG · 8.3 RPG · 2.9 APGZaccharie Risacher left ATL (17% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	29.5	+2.6	7	Steady	90
82	Matas BuzelisF32 · CHI · age 22	F32	16.8 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 2.3 APGAnfernee Simons & Lachlan Olbrich left CHI (35% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	27.3	+2.5	7	Steady	65
83	Jonathan KumingaF33 · ATL · age 24	F33	16.6 PPG · 5.5 RPG · 2.6 APGZaccharie Risacher left ATL (17% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	27.1	+2.3	7	Breakout	88
84	P.J. WashingtonF34 · DAL · age 28	F34	14.7 PPG · 7.4 RPG · 2.3 APGKhris Middleton left DAL (20% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	27.0	+2.2	7	Rising	82
85	Isaiah HartensteinC15 · OKC · age 28	C15	10.9 PPG · 10.3 RPG · 4.0 APGKyshawn George & VJ Edgecombe +3 left OKC (93% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	29.1	+2.2	8	Rising	80
86	Zach LaVineG37 · SAC · age 31	G37	19.4 PPG · 3.7 RPG · 3.3 APG	28.7	+2.1	8	Rising	80
87	Devin VassellG38 · SAS · age 26	G38	18.0 PPG · 4.2 RPG · 3.8 APGIsaiah Collier left SAS (24% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	28.7	+2.1	8	Rising	90
88	Scoot HendersonG39 · POR · age 22	G39	15.7 PPG · 3.3 RPG · 6.0 APGJerami Grant & Jaylon Tyson +1 left POR (49% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	28.6	+2.1	8	Breakout	78
89	Payton PritchardG40 · BOS · age 28	G40	16.3 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 5.0 APGJaylen Brown left BOS (35% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	28.5	+1.9	8	Steady	78
90	Damian LillardG41 · POR · age 36	G41	17.8 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 4.5 APG	28.1	+1.6	8	Regression	81
91	Derik QueenC16 · NOP · age 22	C16	12.9 PPG · 7.8 RPG · 4.2 APGNoa Essengue left NOP (21% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	28.5	+1.5	8	Breakout	69
92	Kyshawn GeorgeF35 · WAS · age 23	F35	13.8 PPG · 5.1 RPG · 4.2 APGJoined Washington Wizards this offseason (from OKC) — new role & system	26.1	+1.3	8	Steady	67
93	Jaime Jaquez Jr.F36 · MIL · age 25	F36	14.0 PPG · 4.9 RPG · 4.1 APGJoined Milwaukee Bucks this offseason (from MIA) — new role & system	26.0	+1.2	8	Steady	73
94	Mikal BridgesF37 · NYK · age 30	F37	16.3 PPG · 3.7 RPG · 3.4 APGMitchell Robinson left NYK (10% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	25.9	+1.1	8	Rising	81
95	Santi AldamaF38 · DAL · age 25	F38	13.5 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 2.9 APGJoined Dallas Mavericks this offseason (from MEM) — new role & system	25.9	+1.0	8	Steady	86
96	OG AnunobyF39 · NYK · age 29	F39	16.8 PPG · 4.8 RPG · 2.2 APGMitchell Robinson left NYK (10% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	25.8	+1.0	8	Steady	82
97	FVFred VanVleetG42 · HOU · age 32	G42	14.7 PPG · 3.3 RPG · 5.9 APG	27.5	+1.0	9	Steady	81
98	John CollinsF40 · DET · age 29	F40	15.5 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 1.4 APGJoined Detroit Pistons this offseason (from LAC) — new role & system	25.7	+0.9	9	Rising	79
99	Kyle FilipowskiF41 · UTA · age 23	F41	12.2 PPG · 7.6 RPG · 2.8 APGPelle Larsson left UTA (20% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	25.5	+0.7	9	Breakout	71
100	Keldon JohnsonF42 · SAS · age 27	F42	15.1 PPG · 5.6 RPG · 2.4 APGIsaiah Collier left SAS (24% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	25.4	+0.6	9	Rising	91
101	Andrew WigginsF43 · MIA · age 31	F43	16.4 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 2.5 APGNorman Powell & Tyler Herro +3 left MIA (103% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	25.4	+0.6	9	Steady	81
102	Derrick WhiteG43 · BOS · age 32	G43	15.0 PPG · 4.0 RPG · 4.9 APGJaylen Brown left BOS (35% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	27.1	+0.6	9	Regression	83
103	Jaden McDanielsF44 · MIN · age 26	F44	15.2 PPG · 4.9 RPG · 2.8 APGJulius Randle & Naz Reid left MIN (47% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	25.3	+0.5	9	Rising	89
104	Deandre AytonC17 · WAS · age 28	C17	14.2 PPG · 9.4 RPG · 1.2 APGJoined Washington Wizards this offseason (from LAL) — new role & system	27.4	+0.5	9	Rising	80
105	Tre JonesG44 · CHI · age 26	G44	13.7 PPG · 3.3 RPG · 6.0 APGAnfernee Simons & Lachlan Olbrich left CHI (35% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	26.7	+0.1	9	Steady	85
106	Dillon BrooksF45 · PHX · age 30	F45	17.9 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 1.9 APGSam Hauser & Grayson Allen +1 left PHX (68% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	24.8	+0.0	9	Steady	79
107	Kristaps PorzingisC18 · GSW · age 31	C18	17.0 PPG · 5.8 RPG · 2.0 APG	27.0	+0.0	9	Steady	82
108	Jeremiah FearsG45 · NOP · age 20	G45	15.9 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 3.9 APGNoa Essengue left NOP (21% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	26.6	+0.0	9	Breakout	69
109	DRD'Angelo RussellG46 · WAS · age 30	G46	14.9 PPG · 2.8 RPG · 5.5 APGBaylor Scheierman & Jarace Walker left WAS (48% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	26.6	0.0	10	Rising	78
110	Naji MarshallF46 · DAL · age 28	F46	14.3 PPG · 4.7 RPG · 3.3 APGKhris Middleton left DAL (20% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	24.8	0.0	10	Steady	77
111	Zach EdeyC19 · MEM · age 24	C19	12.6 PPG · 10.4 RPG · 1.3 APGJa Morant & Santi Aldama left MEM (50% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	27.0	0.0	10	Steady	69
112	Jalen SuggsG47 · ORL · age 25	G47	14.4 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 4.9 APG	26.4	-0.1	10	Steady	85
113	Aaron GordonF47 · DEN · age 31	F47	14.2 PPG · 5.2 RPG · 2.8 APGTim Hardaway Jr. left DEN (18% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	24.6	-0.2	10	Steady	83
114	Toumani CamaraF48 · POR · age 26	F48	13.6 PPG · 5.7 RPG · 2.7 APGJerami Grant & Jaylon Tyson +1 left POR (49% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	24.4	-0.4	10	Rising	74
115	Ayo DosunmuG48 · MIN · age 26	G48	15.6 PPG · 3.3 RPG · 4.4 APGJulius Randle & Naz Reid left MIN (47% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	26.2	-0.4	10	Rising	87
116	LeBron JamesF49 · PHI · age 42	F49	13.2 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 4.4 APGJoined Philadelphia 76ers this offseason (from LAL) — new role & system	24.4	-0.4	10	Regression	82
117	Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG49 · ATL · age 28	G49	17.1 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 3.4 APGZaccharie Risacher left ATL (17% usage vacated) — expanded role likely	26.1	-0.4	10	Regression	74
118	Cedric CowardG50 · MEM · age 23	G50	14.3 PPG · 6.2 RPG · 2.9 APG	26.1	-0.5	10	Rising	69
119	Isaiah CollierG51 · UTA · age 22	G51	11.5 PPG · 2.9 RPG · 7.3 APGJoined Utah Jazz this offseason (from SAS) — new role & system	26.0	-0.6	10	Steady	72
120	Keegan MurrayF50 · SAC · age 26	F50	14.3 PPG · 6.2 RPG · 1.6 APG	24.2	-0.6	10	Steady	83

By position

The full positional boards — projected FPPG, value over replacement and draft round.

Guards · top 24

#	Player	Proj FPPG	VOR	Rd	Trend
1	Luka DoncicLAL · 39.1 PPG · 9.0 RPG · 10.4 APG	65.6	+39.0	1	Rising
2	Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC · 35.8 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 7.3 APG	52.7	+26.1	1	Rising
3	Cade CunninghamDET · 28.5 PPG · 6.2 RPG · 10.4 APG	51.6	+25.1	1	Rising
4	Tyrese MaxeyPHI · 31.7 PPG · 4.2 RPG · 7.6 APG	48.1	+21.6	1	Rising
5	Anthony EdwardsMIN · 31.8 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 5.2 APG	46.7	+20.1	1	Rising
6	Trae YoungWAS · 25.0 PPG · 2.9 RPG · 11.6 APG	45.7	+19.2	1	Rising
7	Josh GiddeyCHI · 18.1 PPG · 8.8 RPG · 9.1 APG	42.3	+15.7	2	Breakout
8	Devin BookerPHX · 26.7 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 6.9 APG	42.0	+15.5	2	Rising
9	LaMelo BallMIN · 23.5 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 7.5 APG	40.7	+14.2	2	Rising
10	Tyrese HaliburtonIND · 19.9 PPG · 3.8 RPG · 10.4 APG	40.0	+13.5	2	Rising
11	Austin ReavesLAL · 24.6 PPG · 4.7 RPG · 6.3 APG	39.7	+13.2	3	Rising
12	Jalen BrunsonNYK · 25.8 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 6.6 APG	39.5	+12.9	3	Steady
13	Ja MorantPOR · 22.5 PPG · 4.0 RPG · 7.7 APG	38.8	+12.3	3	Rising
14	Jamal MurrayDEN · 23.7 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 6.7 APG	38.6	+12.1	3	Steady
15	De'Aaron FoxSAS · 23.4 PPG · 4.3 RPG · 6.3 APG	37.9	+11.4	3	Rising
16	Keyonte GeorgeUTA · 22.9 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 6.4 APG	37.3	+10.7	4	Steady
17	Tyler HerroMIL · 23.1 PPG · 5.2 RPG · 5.2 APG	37.1	+10.6	4	Rising
18	Donovan MitchellCLE · 24.1 PPG · 4.3 RPG · 5.2 APG	37.1	+10.5	4	Regression
19	Coby WhiteCHA · 22.7 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 5.7 APG	36.6	+10.0	4	Rising
20	Darius GarlandLAC · 21.8 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 7.4 APG	36.5	+9.9	4	Rising
21	Stephon CastleSAS · 18.1 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 7.6 APG	35.9	+9.4	5	Breakout
22	Dejounte MurrayNOP · 19.6 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 6.5 APG	35.9	+9.3	5	Rising
23	Amen ThompsonHOU · 18.0 PPG · 8.3 RPG · 5.1 APG	35.7	+9.1	5	Steady
24	Kevin Porter Jr.MIL · 18.5 PPG · 5.2 RPG · 7.3 APG	35.6	+9.0	5	Steady

Forwards · top 24

#	Player	Proj FPPG	VOR	Rd	Trend
1	Jayson TatumBOS · 27.6 PPG · 9.1 RPG · 6.2 APG	47.8	+23.0	1	Rising
2	Jalen JohnsonATL · 23.0 PPG · 10.7 RPG · 7.6 APG	47.2	+22.4	1	Steady
3	Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA · 25.3 PPG · 9.7 RPG · 5.3 APG	44.9	+20.1	1	Regression
4	Deni AvdijaPOR · 24.3 PPG · 7.7 RPG · 6.6 APG	43.3	+18.5	2	Steady
5	Paolo BancheroORL · 25.0 PPG · 8.2 RPG · 5.3 APG	42.8	+18.0	2	Breakout
6	Cooper FlaggDAL · 23.5 PPG · 7.4 RPG · 5.1 APG	40.1	+15.3	2	Breakout
7	Zion WilliamsonNOP · 24.5 PPG · 6.8 RPG · 4.9 APG	40.0	+15.2	2	Rising
8	Jalen WilliamsOKC · 23.6 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 6.1 APG	39.1	+14.3	2	Rising
9	Scottie BarnesTOR · 19.6 PPG · 8.0 RPG · 6.1 APG	38.4	+13.6	2	Rising
10	Jaylen BrownPHI · 24.4 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 4.4 APG	38.0	+13.2	3	Regression
11	Anthony DavisWAS · 21.2 PPG · 10.0 RPG · 2.9 APG	37.7	+12.9	3	Steady
12	Franz WagnerORL · 23.2 PPG · 5.7 RPG · 4.3 APG	36.5	+11.7	3	Rising
13	Brandon MillerCHA · 23.9 PPG · 5.3 RPG · 4.0 APG	36.2	+11.4	3	Breakout
14	Michael Porter Jr.BKN · 22.9 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 2.9 APG	36.0	+11.2	3	Steady
15	Lauri MarkkanenUTA · 24.4 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 2.0 APG	35.4	+10.6	4	Steady
16	Evan MobleyCLE · 18.6 PPG · 9.4 RPG · 3.5 APG	35.1	+10.3	4	Steady
17	Kon KnueppelCHA · 21.9 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 4.1 APG	35.1	+10.3	4	Breakout
18	Trey Murphy IIINOP · 21.9 PPG · 5.7 RPG · 3.9 APG	34.6	+9.8	4	Steady
19	RJ BarrettTOR · 20.5 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 4.5 APG	34.5	+9.7	4	Rising
20	Chet HolmgrenOKC · 19.5 PPG · 9.5 RPG · 2.3 APG	34.4	+9.6	4	Breakout
21	Jaren Jackson Jr.UTA · 22.8 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 2.3 APG	33.4	+8.6	5	Rising
22	Brandon IngramTOR · 20.4 PPG · 5.2 RPG · 4.3 APG	33.2	+8.4	5	Steady
23	Pascal SiakamIND · 20.5 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 3.5 APG	32.9	+8.1	5	Regression
24	Julius RandleBKN · 18.5 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 4.2 APG	32.8	+8.0	5	Regression

Centers · top 24

#	Player	Proj FPPG	VOR	Rd	Trend
1	Nikola JokićDEN · 26.3 PPG · 11.6 RPG · 9.3 APG	54.3	+27.3	1	Regression
2	Victor WembanyamaSAS · 27.6 PPG · 12.6 RPG · 4.2 APG	48.9	+22.0	1	Breakout
3	Joel EmbiidPHI · 29.3 PPG · 8.4 RPG · 4.7 APG	46.5	+19.6	1	Rising
4	Alperen SengunHOU · 21.8 PPG · 10.1 RPG · 6.3 APG	43.4	+16.4	2	Breakout
5	Domantas SabonisSAC · 17.0 PPG · 12.2 RPG · 6.2 APG	41.0	+14.1	2	Rising
6	Bam AdebayoMIA · 21.3 PPG · 10.1 RPG · 4.1 APG	39.5	+12.6	3	Rising
7	Karl-Anthony TownsNYK · 20.8 PPG · 11.0 RPG · 2.8 APG	38.2	+11.2	3	Steady
8	Jalen DurenDET · 19.7 PPG · 11.8 RPG · 2.8 APG	38.1	+11.1	4	Breakout
9	Ivica ZubacIND · 15.2 PPG · 11.4 RPG · 2.5 APG	32.6	+5.7	6	Rising
10	Alex SarrWAS · 17.6 PPG · 8.0 RPG · 3.1 APG	31.8	+4.8	6	Breakout
11	Mark WilliamsPHX · 15.3 PPG · 10.1 RPG · 2.2 APG	30.6	+3.7	6	Rising
12	Donovan ClinganPOR · 12.5 PPG · 12.1 RPG · 2.3 APG	30.5	+3.5	6	Rising
13	Jarrett AllenCLE · 15.0 PPG · 9.5 RPG · 2.2 APG	29.6	+2.6	7	Rising
14	Onyeka OkongwuATL · 15.2 PPG · 8.3 RPG · 2.9 APG	29.5	+2.6	7	Steady
15	Isaiah HartensteinOKC · 10.9 PPG · 10.3 RPG · 4.0 APG	29.1	+2.2	8	Rising
16	Derik QueenNOP · 12.9 PPG · 7.8 RPG · 4.2 APG	28.5	+1.5	8	Breakout
17	Deandre AytonWAS · 14.2 PPG · 9.4 RPG · 1.2 APG	27.4	+0.5	9	Rising
18	Kristaps PorzingisGSW · 17.0 PPG · 5.8 RPG · 2.0 APG	27.0	+0.0	9	Steady
19	Zach EdeyMEM · 12.6 PPG · 10.4 RPG · 1.3 APG	27.0	0.0	10	Steady
20	Jusuf NurkicUTA · 9.4 PPG · 9.1 RPG · 3.8 APG	26.1	-0.8	11	Regression
21	Nic ClaxtonCHI · 11.4 PPG · 8.4 RPG · 2.9 APG	25.9	-1.1	11	Steady
22	Myles TurnerMIL · 15.5 PPG · 6.1 RPG · 1.5 APG	25.1	-1.8	11	Rising
23	Maxime RaynaudSAC · 13.1 PPG · 7.9 RPG · 1.5 APG	24.7	-2.2	12	Rising
24	Naz ReidCHA · 13.9 PPG · 6.0 RPG · 2.2 APG	24.3	-2.6	13	Steady

How it's projected. Each player's last three seasons are weighted toward the most recent, expressed as per-game production, then bent along an aging curve (assists hold latest, rebounding fades earliest) and an availability estimate, and scored points-league — points ×1, rebounds ×1.2, assists ×1.5. The board ranks by value over replacement — projected fantasy points per game minus a replacement-level player at the same position (12-team baselines; centers are scarcer, so a shallower baseline) — so an elite center can correctly outrank a higher-scoring guard. The board also reads each player's current role — projected minute, usage and playmaking shifts from roster moves (a departed teammate's vacated usage, a new system) — so opportunity changes the box score can't see yet are priced in. Tiers are natural cliffs in that value; the ADP round is our own projected rank, not a consensus. Our lines carry scoring, rebounding and playmaking but not steals, blocks, turnovers or threes, so this is a transparent points model over those categories. Everything is a Balladex model estimate — real stats, projected forward — and recomputes automatically. Pair it with the stat leaders and each player's full page.