Every player ranked for the week by matchup-adjusted projection — our season forecast tilted by the defense he faces. Set your lineup, then raid the streamers board for below-startable names walking into smash spots.
Grade:SmashPlusNeutralToughAvoidWeekly = season FPPG × matchup (±18% cap). ▲/▼ vs season pace.
How it works. Each player's weekly number is his season projected FPPG nudged by that week's matchup — the fantasy points the opposing defense allowed to his position last season, tiered Smash → Avoid and capped at ±18%. Streamers are players below startable depth at their position (outside the top 12 QB/TE, 24 RB, 36 WR) walking into a Smash or Plus matchup. A transparent Balladex model estimate — real stats, projected forward. Pair it with the draft board and the weekly matchups grid.