The short answer. By the Balladex model, the Super Bowl favorite is the Seattle Seahawks at 22% — a 14-3 record and +191 point differential. Next in line: Los Angeles Rams, New England Patriots.
Title odds · top 12 live
By the Balladex model, from the favorite on down. Tap any team for its page.
| # | Team | Record | Net | Grade | SB odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Seattle Seahawks | 14-3 | +191 | A+ | 22% |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Rams | 12-5 | +172 | A | 16% |
| 3 |  New England Patriots | 14-3 | +170 | A+ | 15% |
| 4 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | 13-4 | +138 | A | 9% |
| 5 |  Buffalo Bills | 12-5 | +116 | A | 6% |
| 6 |  Houston Texans | 12-5 | +109 | A | 6% |
| 7 |  Denver Broncos | 14-3 | +90 | A+ | 4% |
| 8 |  Detroit Lions | 9-8 | +68 | B | 3% |
| 9 |  San Francisco 49ers | 12-5 | +66 | A | 3% |
| 10 |  Indianapolis Colts | 8-9 | +54 | B- | 2% |
| 11 |  Philadelphia Eagles | 11-6 | +54 | A- | 2% |
| 12 |  Kansas City Chiefs | 6-11 | +34 | C | 2% |
Method. Title odds are a Balladex model estimate (illustrative), not sportsbook lines: each team's live record and point differential, softmax-weighted across the league. See the live power rankings, standings, and playoff picture.