The short answer. By the Balladex model, the Super Bowl favorite is the San Francisco 49ers at 7% — a 4-0 record and +58 point differential. Next in line: Jacksonville Jaguars, Chicago Bears.
Title odds · top 12 live
By the Balladex model, from the favorite on down. Tap any team for its page.
| # | Team | Record | Net | Grade | SB odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Francisco 49ers | 4-0 | +58 | A+ | 7% |
| 2 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | 3-1 | +51 | A | 7% |
| 3 |  Chicago Bears | 3-1 | +47 | A | 6% |
| 4 |  Kansas City Chiefs | 4-0 | +41 | A+ | 6% |
| 5 |  Minnesota Vikings | 4-0 | +35 | A+ | 5% |
| 6 |  Seattle Seahawks | 3-1 | +32 | A | 5% |
| 7 |  Las Vegas Raiders | 3-1 | +31 | A | 5% |
| 8 |  Buffalo Bills | 3-1 | +20 | A | 4% |
| 9 |  Baltimore Ravens | 3-1 | +20 | A | 4% |
| 10 |  Cincinnati Bengals | 2-2 | +12 | B | 3% |
| 11 |  Carolina Panthers | 2-2 | +12 | B | 3% |
| 12 |  Dallas Cowboys | 2-2 | +10 | B | 3% |
Method. Title odds are a Balladex model estimate (illustrative), not sportsbook lines: each team's live record and point differential, softmax-weighted across the league. See the live power rankings, standings, and playoff picture.