The picture live
Top 6 clinch; 7–10 play in; the rest are out.
Eastern Conference
Clinched a playoff berth (seeds 1–6)
1
Pistons60–22+8.22
Celtics56–26+7.73
Knicks53–29+6.44
Cavaliers52–30+4.15
Raptors46–36+2.86
Hawks46–36+2.5
Western Conference
Clinched a playoff berth (seeds 1–6)
1
Thunder64–18+11.12
Spurs62–20+8.33
Nuggets54–28+5.24
Lakers53–29+1.75
Rockets52–30+5.26
Timberwolves49–33+3.4Play-in tournament (seeds 7–10)
7
Trail Blazers42–40-0.38
Suns45–37+1.59
Clippers42–40+1.210
Warriors37–45-0.6
Projected bracket
Seeds 1–6 are set; 7–8 (marked *) are provisional pending the play-in.
East — projected first round
1Pistonsvs8
Magic*
Pistonsvs8Magic*4Cavaliersvs5Raptors
Cavaliersvs5Raptors3Knicksvs6Hawks
Knicksvs6Hawks2Celticsvs7
76ers*
Celticsvs776ers*West — projected first round
1Thundervs8Suns*
Thundervs8Suns*4Lakersvs5Rockets
Lakersvs5Rockets3Nuggetsvs6Timberwolves
Nuggetsvs6Timberwolves2Spursvs7Trail Blazers*
Spursvs7Trail Blazers*Championship odds
Our model's title probability, top 12.
| # | Team | Conf | Record | Net | Title odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | West | 64–18 | +11.1 | 25% |
| 2 | Pistons | East | 60–22 | +8.2 | 11% |
| 3 | Spurs | West | 62–20 | +8.3 | 11% |
| 4 | Celtics | East | 56–26 | +7.7 | 10% |
| 5 | Knicks | East | 53–29 | +6.4 | 7% |
| 6 | Nuggets | West | 54–28 | +5.2 | 5% |
| 7 | Rockets | West | 52–30 | +5.2 | 5% |
| 8 |  Hornets | East | 44–38 | +4.8 | 4% |
| 9 | Cavaliers | East | 52–30 | +4.1 | 3% |
| 10 | Timberwolves | West | 49–33 | +3.4 | 3% |
| 11 | Raptors | East | 46–36 | +2.8 | 2% |
| 12 | Hawks | East | 46–36 | +2.5 | 2% |
How it's modeled. Seeding and records are live. The projected bracket pairs seeds 1v8, 2v7, 3v6, 4v5 within each conference; the 7 and 8 seeds are provisional until the play-in resolves. Championship odds are a softmax over net rating, tempered by record. Updated automatically.