The award · Updated automatically
The MVP Race.
Every contender ranked with real odds — calculated from our own model: recent production, talent ceiling, age curve, team strength, availability and proven pedigree, then calibrated across the field.
27%Favorite · Jokić
25Contenders ranked
MVP Ladder · 2025-26
Top 25 by the Balladex model. The bars show each contender's factor profile.
1
Nikola Jokić
Veteran27.7 PPG · 12.9 RPG · 10.7 APG · 65 GP · age 32ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree27%MVP odds2
Luka Doncic
Prime33.5 PPG · 7.7 RPG · 8.3 APG · 64 GP · age 28ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree19%MVP odds3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Prime31.1 PPG · 4.3 RPG · 6.6 APG · 68 GP · age 28ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree10%MVP odds4
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Veteran27.6 PPG · 9.8 RPG · 5.4 APG · 36 GP · age 32ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree6%MVP odds5
Victor Wembanyama
Prime25 PPG · 11.5 RPG · 3.1 APG · 64 GP · age 23ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree3%MVP odds6
Anthony Edwards
Prime28.8 PPG · 5 RPG · 3.7 APG · 61 GP · age 25ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree3%MVP odds7
Tyrese Maxey
Prime28.3 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 6.6 APG · 70 GP · age 26ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree3%MVP odds8
Jamal MurrayPrime25.4 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 7.1 APG · 75 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds9
Cade Cunningham
Prime23.9 PPG · 5.5 RPG · 9.9 APG · 64 GP · age 25ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds10
Donovan Mitchell
Veteran27.9 PPG · 4.5 RPG · 5.7 APG · 70 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds11
Jaylen BrownPrime28.7 PPG · 6.9 RPG · 5.1 APG · 71 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds12
Karl-Anthony Towns
Veteran20.1 PPG · 11.9 RPG · 3 APG · 75 GP · age 31ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds13
Devin Booker
Prime26.1 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 6 APG · 64 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds14
Bam AdebayoPrime20.1 PPG · 10 RPG · 3.2 APG · 73 GP · age 29ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds15
Jalen DurenPrime19.5 PPG · 10.5 RPG · 2 APG · 70 GP · age 23ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds16
Jalen Johnson
Prime22.5 PPG · 10.3 RPG · 7.9 APG · 72 GP · age 25ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds17
Deni Avdija
Prime24.2 PPG · 6.9 RPG · 6.7 APG · 66 GP · age 26ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds18
Jalen BrunsonVeteran26 PPG · 3.3 RPG · 6.8 APG · 74 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds19
Alperen Sengun
Prime20.4 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 6.2 APG · 72 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds20
Lauri Markkanen
Prime26.7 PPG · 6.9 RPG · 2.1 APG · 42 GP · age 29ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds21
Michael Porter Jr.
Prime24.2 PPG · 7.1 RPG · 3 APG · 52 GP · age 28ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds22
Donovan ClinganPrime12.1 PPG · 11.6 RPG · 2.1 APG · 77 GP · age 23ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds23
Chet HolmgrenPrime17.1 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 1.7 APG · 69 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds24
Paolo Banchero
Prime22.2 PPG · 8.4 RPG · 5.2 APG · 72 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds25
Josh Giddey
Prime17 PPG · 8.3 RPG · 9.1 APG · 54 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds
Nikola JokićVeteran27.7 PPG · 12.9 RPG · 10.7 APG · 65 GP · age 32ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree27%MVP odds2Luka DoncicPrime33.5 PPG · 7.7 RPG · 8.3 APG · 64 GP · age 28ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree19%MVP odds3Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderPrime31.1 PPG · 4.3 RPG · 6.6 APG · 68 GP · age 28ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree10%MVP odds4Giannis AntetokounmpoVeteran27.6 PPG · 9.8 RPG · 5.4 APG · 36 GP · age 32ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree6%MVP odds5Victor WembanyamaPrime25 PPG · 11.5 RPG · 3.1 APG · 64 GP · age 23ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree3%MVP odds6Anthony EdwardsPrime28.8 PPG · 5 RPG · 3.7 APG · 61 GP · age 25ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree3%MVP odds7Tyrese MaxeyPrime28.3 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 6.6 APG · 70 GP · age 26ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree3%MVP odds8Jamal MurrayPrime25.4 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 7.1 APG · 75 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds9Cade CunninghamPrime23.9 PPG · 5.5 RPG · 9.9 APG · 64 GP · age 25ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds10Donovan MitchellVeteran27.9 PPG · 4.5 RPG · 5.7 APG · 70 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds11Jaylen BrownPrime28.7 PPG · 6.9 RPG · 5.1 APG · 71 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds12Karl-Anthony TownsVeteran20.1 PPG · 11.9 RPG · 3 APG · 75 GP · age 31ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds13Devin BookerPrime26.1 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 6 APG · 64 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds14Bam AdebayoPrime20.1 PPG · 10 RPG · 3.2 APG · 73 GP · age 29ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds15Jalen DurenPrime19.5 PPG · 10.5 RPG · 2 APG · 70 GP · age 23ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds16Jalen JohnsonPrime22.5 PPG · 10.3 RPG · 7.9 APG · 72 GP · age 25ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds17Deni AvdijaPrime24.2 PPG · 6.9 RPG · 6.7 APG · 66 GP · age 26ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds18Jalen BrunsonVeteran26 PPG · 3.3 RPG · 6.8 APG · 74 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds19Alperen SengunPrime20.4 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 6.2 APG · 72 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds20Lauri MarkkanenPrime26.7 PPG · 6.9 RPG · 2.1 APG · 42 GP · age 29ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds21Michael Porter Jr.Prime24.2 PPG · 7.1 RPG · 3 APG · 52 GP · age 28ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds22Donovan ClinganPrime12.1 PPG · 11.6 RPG · 2.1 APG · 77 GP · age 23ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds23Chet HolmgrenPrime17.1 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 1.7 APG · 69 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds24Paolo BancheroPrime22.2 PPG · 8.4 RPG · 5.2 APG · 72 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds25Josh GiddeyPrime17 PPG · 8.3 RPG · 9.1 APG · 54 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP oddsHow it's calculated. Each player's score blends recent per-game production, talent ceiling (our ratings), an age/prime curve, team strength (live standings), availability (games played) and proven MVP/All-NBA pedigree. Scores are turned into probabilities across the field, so they read like real odds. Updated automatically.