BALLADEX
Balladex / NBA / MVP Race
The award · Live

The MVP Race.

Every contender ranked with real odds — calculated from our own model: recent production, talent ceiling, age curve, team strength, availability and proven pedigree, then calibrated across the field.

30%Favorite · Jokić
25Contenders ranked
MVP Ladder live

Top 25 by the Balladex model. The bars show each contender's factor profile.

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1Nikola JokićNikola JokićVeteran27.7 PPG · 12.9 RPG · 10.7 APG · 65 GP · age 31ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree30%MVP odds2Luka DoncicLuka DoncicPrime33.5 PPG · 7.7 RPG · 8.3 APG · 64 GP · age 27ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree21%MVP odds3Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderShai Gilgeous-AlexanderPrime31.1 PPG · 4.3 RPG · 6.6 APG · 68 GP · age 28ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree7%MVP odds4Giannis AntetokounmpoGiannis AntetokounmpoVeteran27.6 PPG · 9.8 RPG · 5.4 APG · 36 GP · age 32ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree4%MVP odds5Victor WembanyamaVictor WembanyamaPrime25 PPG · 11.5 RPG · 3.1 APG · 64 GP · age 23ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree4%MVP odds6Anthony EdwardsAnthony EdwardsPrime28.8 PPG · 5 RPG · 3.7 APG · 61 GP · age 25ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds7Tyrese MaxeyTyrese MaxeyPrime28.3 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 6.6 APG · 70 GP · age 26ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds8Jamal MurrayJamal MurrayPrime25.4 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 7.1 APG · 75 GP · age 29ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds9Donovan MitchellDonovan MitchellPrime27.9 PPG · 4.5 RPG · 5.7 APG · 70 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds10Karl-Anthony TownsKarl-Anthony TownsVeteran20.1 PPG · 11.9 RPG · 3 APG · 75 GP · age 31ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree2%MVP odds11Cade CunninghamCade CunninghamPrime23.9 PPG · 5.5 RPG · 9.9 APG · 64 GP · age 25ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds12Devin BookerDevin BookerPrime26.1 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 6 APG · 64 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds13Jalen JohnsonJalen JohnsonPrime22.5 PPG · 10.3 RPG · 7.9 APG · 72 GP · age 25ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds14Jalen BrunsonJalen BrunsonPrime26 PPG · 3.3 RPG · 6.8 APG · 74 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds15Jaylen BrownJaylen BrownPrime28.7 PPG · 6.9 RPG · 5.1 APG · 71 GP · age 30ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds16Jalen DurenJalen DurenPrime19.5 PPG · 10.5 RPG · 2 APG · 70 GP · age 23ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds17Tyrese HaliburtonTyrese HaliburtonPrime18.6 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 9.2 APG · 73 GP · age 26ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds18Bam AdebayoBam AdebayoPrime20.1 PPG · 10 RPG · 3.2 APG · 73 GP · age 29ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds19Deni AvdijaDeni AvdijaPrime24.2 PPG · 6.9 RPG · 6.7 APG · 66 GP · age 26ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds20Alperen SengunAlperen SengunPrime20.4 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 6.2 APG · 72 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds21Chet HolmgrenChet HolmgrenPrime17.1 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 1.7 APG · 69 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds22Donovan ClinganDonovan ClinganPrime12.1 PPG · 11.6 RPG · 2.1 APG · 77 GP · age 22ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds23Lauri MarkkanenLauri MarkkanenPrime26.7 PPG · 6.9 RPG · 2.1 APG · 42 GP · age 29ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds24Paolo BancheroPaolo BancheroPrime22.2 PPG · 8.4 RPG · 5.2 APG · 72 GP · age 24ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds25Michael Porter Jr.Michael Porter Jr.Prime24.2 PPG · 7.1 RPG · 3 APG · 52 GP · age 28ProdTalentAvailTeamPedigree1%MVP odds
How it's calculated. Each player's score blends recent per-game production, talent ceiling (our ratings), an age/prime curve, team strength (live standings), availability (games played) and proven MVP/All-NBA pedigree. Scores are turned into probabilities across the field, so they read like real odds. Updated automatically through the day.