2026 draft board · Projected

Fantasy Football 2026.

Not last year's stats — next season projected. Every player is forecast forward (recency-weighted production bent along a position aging curve), scored in PPR, and ranked by value over replacement so draft scarcity is priced in. Then tiers, ADP rounds, and the sleepers, breakouts and busts our model sees coming.

Gibbs#1 overall · 19.7 proj FPPG

2value tiers

Addisontop breakout · +2.9 FPPG

McMillantop sleeper · Rd 4

What the model sees coming projected

Draft-winning edges: who's climbing, who's falling, and who's going later than they should.

Breakoutson the rise

Jordan Addison

WR27 · MIN · age 248.6→11.5

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR21 · JAX · age 249.3→12.1

Malik Nabers

WR7 · NYG · age 2314.3→16.5

Sleeperslate value

Tetairoa McMillan

WR16 · CAR · age 23Rd 4 · 13.3 FPPG

DeVonta Smith

WR18 · PHI · age 28Rd 4 · 13.0 FPPG

Ladd McConkey

WR19 · LAC · age 25Rd 5 · 12.9 FPPG

Tyler Warren

TE7 · IND · age 24Rd 5 · 11.2 FPPG

Bustsfade / regress

Christian McCaffrey

RB19 · SF · age 3022.0→11.8

Derrick Henry

RB35 · BAL · age 3216.8→8.6

Matthew Stafford

QB13 · LAR · age 3821.0→14.3

Jacoby Brissett

QB32 · ARI · age 3415.0→9.7

Positional scarcity — when to draft

Value drops off a cliff at different points by position. Taller bars = more value over replacement; that's your draft urgency.

Running Backs30 startable

elite tier ends ~pick 2. Replacement at RB30.

Wide Receivers36 startable

elite tier ends ~pick 4. Replacement at WR36.

Quarterbacks13 startable

shallow at the top. Replacement at QB13.

Tight Ends13 startable

shallow at the top. Replacement at TE13.

The draft board top 120

Ranked by projected value over replacement. Tiers mark natural talent cliffs; draft the last player in a tier before it breaks.

QB RB WR TE

Fantasy football 2026 projected draft board — rank, tier, player, projected PPR fantasy points per game, value over replacement, ADP round and trend.
#	Player	Pos	Projected line	FPPG	VOR	Rd	Trend	Conf
Tier 1 · picks 1–4 · round 1
1	Jahmyr GibbsRB1 · DET · age 24	RB1	1,261 rush · 66 rec · 14 TD	19.7	+10.6	1	Steady	79
2	Bijan RobinsonRB2 · ATL · age 24	RB2	1,415 rush · 71 rec · 9 TD	19.5	+10.4	1	Steady	77
3	Ja'Marr ChaseWR1 · CIN · age 26	WR1	123 rec · 1,497 yds · 11 TD	20.7	+9.6	1	Rising	84
4	Puka NacuaWR2 · LAR · age 25	WR2	111 rec · 1,466 yds · 7 TD	20.6	+9.6	1	Steady	78
Tier 2 · picks 5–120 · round 1–10
5	De'Von AchaneRB3 · MIA · age 25	RB3	1,117 rush · 62 rec · 8 TD	17.2	+8.1	1	Steady	79
6	Amon-Ra St. BrownWR3 · DET · age 27	WR3	117 rec · 1,376 yds · 11 TD	19.1	+8.0	1	Steady	87
7	Jonathan TaylorRB4 · IND · age 27	RB4	1,228 rush · 28 rec · 12 TD	16.5	+7.4	1	Regression	74
8	Trey McBrideTE1 · ARI · age 27	TE1	114 rec · 1,140 yds · 7 TD	16.0	+6.7	1	Regression	81
9	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR4 · SEA · age 24	WR4	108 rec · 1,440 yds · 8 TD	17.6	+6.6	1	Regression	72
10	Kyren WilliamsRB5 · LAR · age 26	RB5	1,194 rush · 33 rec · 11 TD	15.3	+6.2	1	Steady	74
11	Brock BowersTE2 · LV · age 24	TE2	82 rec · 874 yds · 7 TD	15.5	+6.1	1	Steady	75
12	Omarion HamptonRB6 · LAC · age 23	RB6	756 rush · 44 rec · 6 TD	15.0	+5.9	1	Steady	70
13	Cam SkatteboRB7 · NYG · age 24	RB7	627 rush · 37 rec · 8 TD	14.8	+5.6	2	Steady	70
14	Rashee RiceWR5 · KC · age 26	WR5	75 rec · 846 yds · 7 TD	16.6	+5.6	2	Steady	79
15	CeeDee LambWR6 · DAL · age 27	WR6	93 rec · 1,218 yds · 5 TD	16.6	+5.5	2	Rising	82
16	Malik NabersWR7 · NYG · age 23	WR7	69 rec · 915 yds · 6 TD	16.5	+5.4	2	Breakout	72
17	James Cook IIIRB8 · BUF · age 27	RB8	1,182 rush · 31 rec · 10 TD	14.3	+5.2	2	Regression	74
18	Drake LondonWR8 · ATL · age 25	WR8	81 rec · 1,072 yds · 7 TD	16.2	+5.1	2	Steady	82
19	Nico CollinsWR9 · HOU · age 27	WR9	72 rec · 1,114 yds · 7 TD	16.0	+4.9	2	Rising	86
20	Justin JeffersonWR10 · MIN · age 27	WR10	89 rec · 1,247 yds · 5 TD	15.5	+4.5	2	Rising	81
21	Breece HallRB9 · NYJ · age 25	RB9	991 rush · 49 rec · 4 TD	13.5	+4.4	2	Steady	85
22	Josh JacobsRB10 · GB · age 28	RB10	862 rush · 30 rec · 10 TD	13.3	+4.2	2	Regression	76
23	Ashton JeantyRB11 · LV · age 23	RB11	1,014 rush · 57 rec · 5 TD	13.3	+4.2	2	Steady	70
24	Bucky IrvingRB12 · TB · age 24	RB12	770 rush · 37 rec · 3 TD	13.3	+4.2	2	Rising	73
25	Tee HigginsWR11 · CIN · age 27	WR11	62 rec · 845 yds · 10 TD	15.1	+4.0	3	Rising	82
26	George PickensWR12 · DAL · age 25	WR12	78 rec · 1,230 yds · 6 TD	15.0	+3.9	3	Steady	83
27	A.J. BrownWR13 · NE · age 29	WR13	74 rec · 1,039 yds · 7 TD	14.8	+3.8	3	Steady	76
28	Joe BurrowQB1 · CIN · age 30	QB1	3,005 yds · 26 TD · 7 INT	17.5	+3.4	3	Rising	83
29	Quinshon JudkinsRB13 · CLE · age 23	RB13	860 rush · 27 rec · 7 TD	12.5	+3.4	3	Steady	70
30	Garrett WilsonWR14 · NYJ · age 26	WR14	67 rec · 732 yds · 6 TD	14.4	+3.3	3	Steady	86
31	Chris OlaveWR15 · NO · age 26	WR15	73 rec · 876 yds · 5 TD	14.3	+3.2	3	Regression	82
32	Jared GoffQB2 · DET · age 32	QB2	4,496 yds · 34 TD · 10 INT	17.3	+3.1	3	Steady	77
33	Chase BrownRB14 · CIN · age 26	RB14	794 rush · 50 rec · 5 TD	12.1	+3.0	3	Regression	58
34	TreVeyon HendersonRB15 · NE · age 24	RB15	929 rush · 36 rec · 9 TD	12.1	+3.0	3	Steady	70
35	Sam LaPortaTE3 · DET · age 25	TE3	56 rec · 665 yds · 5 TD	12.2	+2.9	3	Steady	79
36	Kenneth Walker IIIRB16 · KC · age 26	RB16	796 rush · 36 rec · 6 TD	12.0	+2.9	3	Steady	75
37	Saquon BarkleyRB17 · PHI · age 29	RB17	939 rush · 25 rec · 6 TD	11.9	+2.8	4	Regression	72
38	D'Andre SwiftRB18 · CHI · age 27	RB18	926 rush · 33 rec · 7 TD	11.8	+2.7	4	Steady	76
39	Christian McCaffreyRB19 · SF · age 30	RB19	506 rush · 37 rec · 3 TD	11.8	+2.7	4	Regression	71
40	Harold Fannin Jr.TE4 · CLE · age 22	TE4	76 rec · 775 yds · 6 TD	12.0	+2.7	4	Steady	70
41	Javonte WilliamsRB20 · DAL · age 26	RB20	859 rush · 40 rec · 7 TD	11.6	+2.5	4	Regression	72
42	George KittleTE5 · SF · age 33	TE5	52 rec · 669 yds · 6 TD	11.7	+2.4	4	Regression	75
43	Tetairoa McMillanWR16 · CAR · age 23	WR16	74 rec · 1,075 yds · 7 TD	13.3	+2.2	4	Steady	70
44	Brock PurdyQB3 · SF · age 27	QB3	3,174 yds · 24 TD · 11 INT	16.4	+2.2	4	Steady	86
45	Tucker KraftTE6 · GB · age 26	TE6	42 rec · 608 yds · 7 TD	11.4	+2.1	4	Regression	69
46	Zay FlowersWR17 · BAL · age 26	WR17	82 rec · 1,116 yds · 5 TD	13.2	+2.1	4	Steady	80
47	Phil MafahRB21 · DAL · age 24	RB21	220 rush · 24 rec · 12 TD	11.1	+2.0	4	Steady	70
48	DeVonta SmithWR18 · PHI · age 28	WR18	73 rec · 934 yds · 6 TD	13.0	+2.0	4	Rising	75
49	Tyler WarrenTE7 · IND · age 24	TE7	79 rec · 854 yds · 4 TD	11.2	+1.8	5	Steady	70
50	Ladd McConkeyWR19 · LAC · age 25	WR19	73 rec · 936 yds · 7 TD	12.9	+1.8	5	Rising	72
51	Colston LovelandTE8 · CHI · age 22	TE8	61 rec · 756 yds · 6 TD	11.0	+1.6	5	Steady	70
52	Travis Etienne Jr.RB22 · NO · age 27	RB22	797 rush · 36 rec · 5 TD	10.7	+1.6	5	Steady	71
53	Lamar JacksonQB4 · BAL · age 29	QB4	3,301 yds · 28 TD · 6 INT	15.7	+1.5	5	Rising	83
54	J.K. DobbinsRB23 · DEN · age 28	RB23	656 rush · 17 rec · 6 TD	10.6	+1.5	5	Regression	75
55	RJ HarveyRB24 · DEN · age 25	RB24	540 rush · 47 rec · 7 TD	10.5	+1.4	5	Steady	70
56	Baker MayfieldQB5 · TB · age 31	QB5	4,021 yds · 31 TD · 13 INT	15.4	+1.2	5	Rising	84
57	Zach CharbonnetRB25 · SEA · age 25	RB25	633 rush · 29 rec · 9 TD	10.3	+1.2	5	Steady	76
58	Jameson WilliamsWR20 · DET · age 25	WR20	56 rec · 958 yds · 6 TD	12.2	+1.1	5	Steady	79
59	Brian Thomas Jr.WR21 · JAX · age 24	WR21	63 rec · 922 yds · 5 TD	12.1	+1.1	5	Breakout	68
60	Kyle Pitts Sr.TE9 · ATL · age 26	TE9	70 rec · 787 yds · 4 TD	10.3	+1.0	5	Steady	81
61	Drake MayeQB6 · NE · age 24	QB6	3,758 yds · 26 TD · 9 INT	15.1	+0.9	6	Steady	69
62	Wan'Dale RobinsonWR22 · TEN · age 25	WR22	89 rec · 853 yds · 3 TD	12.0	+0.9	6	Steady	81
63	Dak PrescottQB7 · DAL · age 33	QB7	3,502 yds · 23 TD · 10 INT	15.1	+0.9	6	Steady	74
64	Jordan LoveQB8 · GB · age 28	QB8	3,613 yds · 26 TD · 8 INT	15.1	+0.9	6	Steady	86
65	Patrick MahomesQB9 · KC · age 31	QB9	3,803 yds · 24 TD · 12 INT	15.0	+0.9	6	Steady	88
66	DK MetcalfWR23 · PIT · age 29	WR23	59 rec · 884 yds · 6 TD	11.9	+0.8	6	Steady	76
67	Rhamondre StevensonRB26 · NE · age 28	RB26	560 rush · 28 rec · 5 TD	9.9	+0.8	6	Regression	77
68	Emeka EgbukaWR24 · TB · age 24	WR24	66 rec · 980 yds · 6 TD	11.9	+0.8	6	Steady	70
69	Dallas GoedertTE10 · PHI · age 31	TE10	48 rec · 511 yds · 6 TD	10.1	+0.8	6	Regression	75
70	Chris Godwin Jr.WR25 · TB · age 30	WR25	55 rec · 628 yds · 4 TD	11.8	+0.7	6	Rising	68
71	Jake FergusonTE11 · DAL · age 27	TE11	72 rec · 590 yds · 5 TD	9.9	+0.6	6	Steady	83
72	Justin HerbertQB10 · LAC · age 28	QB10	3,792 yds · 25 TD · 9 INT	14.7	+0.6	6	Steady	87
73	Brandon AiyukWR26 · SF · age 28	WR26	48 rec · 752 yds · 3 TD	11.6	+0.5	7	Rising	71
74	Chuba HubbardRB27 · CAR · age 27	RB27	716 rush · 32 rec · 4 TD	9.6	+0.5	7	Rising	69
75	Jordan AddisonWR27 · MIN · age 24	WR27	56 rec · 778 yds · 6 TD	11.5	+0.5	7	Breakout	76
76	Bo NixQB11 · DEN · age 26	QB11	4,034 yds · 27 TD · 11 INT	14.6	+0.4	7	Steady	76
77	Caleb WilliamsQB12 · CHI · age 25	QB12	3,961 yds · 26 TD · 7 INT	14.6	+0.4	7	Steady	73
78	Rome OdunzeWR28 · CHI · age 24	WR28	50 rec · 730 yds · 6 TD	11.5	+0.4	7	Steady	71
79	Marvin Harrison Jr.WR29 · ARI · age 24	WR29	50 rec · 730 yds · 5 TD	11.4	+0.3	7	Steady	74
80	Jaylen WarrenRB28 · PIT · age 28	RB28	648 rush · 36 rec · 3 TD	9.3	+0.2	7	Regression	73
81	Tank DellWR30 · HOU · age 27	WR30	50 rec · 692 yds · 5 TD	11.3	+0.2	7	Rising	70
82	Quentin JohnstonWR31 · LAC · age 25	WR31	52 rec · 707 yds · 7 TD	11.3	+0.2	7	Steady	73
83	Michael Pittman Jr.WR32 · PIT · age 29	WR32	76 rec · 805 yds · 5 TD	11.3	+0.2	7	Steady	73
84	Rashid ShaheedWR33 · SEA · age 28	WR33	47 rec · 641 yds · 4 TD	11.2	+0.2	7	Steady	75
85	Oronde GadsdenTE12 · LAC · age 23	TE12	52 rec · 704 yds · 3 TD	9.4	+0.1	8	Steady	70
86	Jaylen WaddleWR34 · DEN · age 28	WR34	62 rec · 848 yds · 4 TD	11.2	+0.1	8	Steady	73
87	Dalton KincaidTE13 · BUF · age 27	TE13	46 rec · 550 yds · 4 TD	9.4	+0.1	8	Steady	78
88	Courtland SuttonWR35 · DEN · age 31	WR35	63 rec · 849 yds · 7 TD	11.2	+0.1	8	Regression	76
89	Matthew StaffordQB13 · LAR · age 38	QB13	3,511 yds · 27 TD · 9 INT	14.3	+0.1	8	Regression	72
90	DJ MooreWR36 · BUF · age 29	WR36	69 rec · 837 yds · 6 TD	11.1	+0.0	8	Rising	71
91	David MontgomeryRB29 · HOU · age 29	RB29	539 rush · 18 rec · 7 TD	9.1	+0.0	8	Steady	72
92	Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB30 · NYG · age 27	RB30	688 rush · 33 rec · 3 TD	9.1	+0.0	8	Steady	65
93	David NjokuTE14 · LAC · age 30	TE14	47 rec · 417 yds · 4 TD	9.3	0.0	8	Rising	71
94	Josh AllenQB14 · BUF · age 30	QB14	3,833 yds · 27 TD · 10 INT	14.2	0.0	8	Steady	87
95	Rachaad WhiteRB31 · WSH · age 27	RB31	583 rush · 43 rec · 4 TD	9.1	0.0	8	Steady	71
96	Terry McLaurinWR37 · WSH · age 31	WR37	49 rec · 696 yds · 5 TD	11.1	0.0	8	Steady	73
97	Rico DowdleRB32 · PIT · age 28	RB32	798 rush · 29 rec · 3 TD	9.1	-0.0	9	Regression	68
98	Tua TagovailoaQB15 · ATL · age 28	QB15	3,159 yds · 22 TD · 12 INT	14.1	-0.1	9	Rising	83
99	Trevor LawrenceQB16 · JAX · age 27	QB16	3,436 yds · 22 TD · 11 INT	14.0	-0.2	9	Steady	85
100	Tony PollardRB33 · TEN · age 29	RB33	725 rush · 27 rec · 4 TD	8.8	-0.3	9	Regression	76
101	Christian WatsonWR38 · GB · age 27	WR38	35 rec · 626 yds · 5 TD	10.7	-0.3	9	Steady	80
102	C.J. StroudQB17 · HOU · age 25	QB17	3,586 yds · 21 TD · 9 INT	13.8	-0.4	9	Steady	78
103	Tyjae SpearsRB34 · TEN · age 25	RB34	320 rush · 41 rec · 3 TD	8.7	-0.4	9	Steady	81
104	Michael WilsonWR39 · ARI · age 26	WR39	61 rec · 784 yds · 5 TD	10.7	-0.4	9	Steady	75
105	Jakobi MeyersWR40 · JAX · age 30	WR40	55 rec · 616 yds · 2 TD	10.6	-0.4	9	Steady	73
106	Davante AdamsWR41 · LAR · age 34	WR41	42 rec · 512 yds · 6 TD	10.6	-0.5	9	Regression	77
107	Alec PierceWR42 · IND · age 26	WR42	42 rec · 885 yds · 6 TD	10.6	-0.5	9	Steady	79
108	Khalil ShakirWR43 · BUF · age 26	WR43	69 rec · 751 yds · 4 TD	10.5	-0.5	9	Steady	81
109	Derrick HenryRB35 · BAL · age 32	RB35	759 rush · 9 rec · 7 TD	8.6	-0.5	10	Regression	74
110	Kyle MonangaiRB36 · CHI · age 24	RB36	799 rush · 18 rec · 5 TD	8.6	-0.5	10	Steady	70
111	Josh DownsWR44 · IND · age 25	WR44	67 rec · 708 yds · 4 TD	10.5	-0.6	10	Rising	76
112	Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB37 · WSH · age 25	RB37	805 rush · 9 rec · 8 TD	8.5	-0.6	10	Steady	70
113	Jauan JenningsWR45 · MIN · age 29	WR45	52 rec · 641 yds · 6 TD	10.4	-0.6	10	Steady	65
114	T.J. HockensonTE15 · MIN · age 29	TE15	52 rec · 511 yds · 2 TD	8.6	-0.7	10	Rising	69
115	Romeo DoubsWR46 · NE · age 26	WR46	54 rec · 687 yds · 6 TD	10.3	-0.8	10	Steady	88
116	Dalton SchultzTE16 · HOU · age 30	TE16	63 rec · 620 yds · 3 TD	8.5	-0.8	10	Regression	73
117	Mark AndrewsTE17 · BAL · age 31	TE17	46 rec · 492 yds · 7 TD	8.5	-0.8	10	Rising	70
118	Mike EvansWR47 · SF · age 33	WR47	39 rec · 525 yds · 5 TD	10.2	-0.9	10	Steady	72
119	Jalen HurtsQB18 · PHI · age 28	QB18	3,312 yds · 23 TD · 7 INT	13.3	-0.9	10	Steady	86
120	Cade OttonTE18 · TB · age 27	TE18	57 rec · 568 yds · 3 TD	8.4	-1.0	10	Steady	83

By position

The full positional boards — projected FPPG, value over replacement and draft round.

Quarterbacks · top 24

#	Player	Proj FPPG	VOR	Rd	Trend
1	Joe BurrowCIN · 3,005 yds · 26 TD · 7 INT	17.5	+3.4	3	Rising
2	Jared GoffDET · 4,496 yds · 34 TD · 10 INT	17.3	+3.1	3	Steady
3	Brock PurdySF · 3,174 yds · 24 TD · 11 INT	16.4	+2.2	4	Steady
4	Lamar JacksonBAL · 3,301 yds · 28 TD · 6 INT	15.7	+1.5	5	Rising
5	Baker MayfieldTB · 4,021 yds · 31 TD · 13 INT	15.4	+1.2	5	Rising
6	Drake MayeNE · 3,758 yds · 26 TD · 9 INT	15.1	+0.9	6	Steady
7	Dak PrescottDAL · 3,502 yds · 23 TD · 10 INT	15.1	+0.9	6	Steady
8	Jordan LoveGB · 3,613 yds · 26 TD · 8 INT	15.1	+0.9	6	Steady
9	Patrick MahomesKC · 3,803 yds · 24 TD · 12 INT	15.0	+0.9	6	Steady
10	Justin HerbertLAC · 3,792 yds · 25 TD · 9 INT	14.7	+0.6	6	Steady
11	Bo NixDEN · 4,034 yds · 27 TD · 11 INT	14.6	+0.4	7	Steady
12	Caleb WilliamsCHI · 3,961 yds · 26 TD · 7 INT	14.6	+0.4	7	Steady
13	Matthew StaffordLAR · 3,511 yds · 27 TD · 9 INT	14.3	+0.1	8	Regression
14	Josh AllenBUF · 3,833 yds · 27 TD · 10 INT	14.2	0.0	8	Steady
15	Tua TagovailoaATL · 3,159 yds · 22 TD · 12 INT	14.1	-0.1	9	Rising
16	Trevor LawrenceJAX · 3,436 yds · 22 TD · 11 INT	14.0	-0.2	9	Steady
17	C.J. StroudHOU · 3,586 yds · 21 TD · 9 INT	13.8	-0.4	9	Steady
18	Jalen HurtsPHI · 3,312 yds · 23 TD · 7 INT	13.3	-0.9	10	Steady
19	Sam DarnoldSEA · 3,370 yds · 23 TD · 11 INT	13.1	-1.1	11	Steady
20	Kyler MurrayMIN · 2,560 yds · 15 TD · 7 INT	12.3	-1.9	12	Steady
21	Jayden DanielsWSH · 2,373 yds · 16 TD · 6 INT	12.2	-2.0	12	Rising
22	Tyler ShoughNO · 2,705 yds · 11 TD · 7 INT	11.7	-2.5	13	Steady
23	Daniel JonesIND · 2,613 yds · 13 TD · 8 INT	11.6	-2.6	14	Regression
24	Bryce YoungCAR · 2,891 yds · 19 TD · 10 INT	11.2	-3.0	14	Steady

Running Backs · top 24

#	Player	Proj FPPG	VOR	Rd	Trend
1	Jahmyr GibbsDET · 1,261 rush · 66 rec · 14 TD	19.7	+10.6	1	Steady
2	Bijan RobinsonATL · 1,415 rush · 71 rec · 9 TD	19.5	+10.4	1	Steady
3	De'Von AchaneMIA · 1,117 rush · 62 rec · 8 TD	17.2	+8.1	1	Steady
4	Jonathan TaylorIND · 1,228 rush · 28 rec · 12 TD	16.5	+7.4	1	Regression
5	Kyren WilliamsLAR · 1,194 rush · 33 rec · 11 TD	15.3	+6.2	1	Steady
6	Omarion HamptonLAC · 756 rush · 44 rec · 6 TD	15.0	+5.9	1	Steady
7	Cam SkatteboNYG · 627 rush · 37 rec · 8 TD	14.8	+5.6	2	Steady
8	James Cook IIIBUF · 1,182 rush · 31 rec · 10 TD	14.3	+5.2	2	Regression
9	Breece HallNYJ · 991 rush · 49 rec · 4 TD	13.5	+4.4	2	Steady
10	Josh JacobsGB · 862 rush · 30 rec · 10 TD	13.3	+4.2	2	Regression
11	Ashton JeantyLV · 1,014 rush · 57 rec · 5 TD	13.3	+4.2	2	Steady
12	Bucky IrvingTB · 770 rush · 37 rec · 3 TD	13.3	+4.2	2	Rising
13	Quinshon JudkinsCLE · 860 rush · 27 rec · 7 TD	12.5	+3.4	3	Steady
14	Chase BrownCIN · 794 rush · 50 rec · 5 TD	12.1	+3.0	3	Regression
15	TreVeyon HendersonNE · 929 rush · 36 rec · 9 TD	12.1	+3.0	3	Steady
16	Kenneth Walker IIIKC · 796 rush · 36 rec · 6 TD	12.0	+2.9	3	Steady
17	Saquon BarkleyPHI · 939 rush · 25 rec · 6 TD	11.9	+2.8	4	Regression
18	D'Andre SwiftCHI · 926 rush · 33 rec · 7 TD	11.8	+2.7	4	Steady
19	Christian McCaffreySF · 506 rush · 37 rec · 3 TD	11.8	+2.7	4	Regression
20	Javonte WilliamsDAL · 859 rush · 40 rec · 7 TD	11.6	+2.5	4	Regression
21	Phil MafahDAL · 220 rush · 24 rec · 12 TD	11.1	+2.0	4	Steady
22	Travis Etienne Jr.NO · 797 rush · 36 rec · 5 TD	10.7	+1.6	5	Steady
23	J.K. DobbinsDEN · 656 rush · 17 rec · 6 TD	10.6	+1.5	5	Regression
24	RJ HarveyDEN · 540 rush · 47 rec · 7 TD	10.5	+1.4	5	Steady

Wide Receivers · top 24

#	Player	Proj FPPG	VOR	Rd	Trend
1	Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · 123 rec · 1,497 yds · 11 TD	20.7	+9.6	1	Rising
2	Puka NacuaLAR · 111 rec · 1,466 yds · 7 TD	20.6	+9.6	1	Steady
3	Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · 117 rec · 1,376 yds · 11 TD	19.1	+8.0	1	Steady
4	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · 108 rec · 1,440 yds · 8 TD	17.6	+6.6	1	Regression
5	Rashee RiceKC · 75 rec · 846 yds · 7 TD	16.6	+5.6	2	Steady
6	CeeDee LambDAL · 93 rec · 1,218 yds · 5 TD	16.6	+5.5	2	Rising
7	Malik NabersNYG · 69 rec · 915 yds · 6 TD	16.5	+5.4	2	Breakout
8	Drake LondonATL · 81 rec · 1,072 yds · 7 TD	16.2	+5.1	2	Steady
9	Nico CollinsHOU · 72 rec · 1,114 yds · 7 TD	16.0	+4.9	2	Rising
10	Justin JeffersonMIN · 89 rec · 1,247 yds · 5 TD	15.5	+4.5	2	Rising
11	Tee HigginsCIN · 62 rec · 845 yds · 10 TD	15.1	+4.0	3	Rising
12	George PickensDAL · 78 rec · 1,230 yds · 6 TD	15.0	+3.9	3	Steady
13	A.J. BrownNE · 74 rec · 1,039 yds · 7 TD	14.8	+3.8	3	Steady
14	Garrett WilsonNYJ · 67 rec · 732 yds · 6 TD	14.4	+3.3	3	Steady
15	Chris OlaveNO · 73 rec · 876 yds · 5 TD	14.3	+3.2	3	Regression
16	Tetairoa McMillanCAR · 74 rec · 1,075 yds · 7 TD	13.3	+2.2	4	Steady
17	Zay FlowersBAL · 82 rec · 1,116 yds · 5 TD	13.2	+2.1	4	Steady
18	DeVonta SmithPHI · 73 rec · 934 yds · 6 TD	13.0	+2.0	4	Rising
19	Ladd McConkeyLAC · 73 rec · 936 yds · 7 TD	12.9	+1.8	5	Rising
20	Jameson WilliamsDET · 56 rec · 958 yds · 6 TD	12.2	+1.1	5	Steady
21	Brian Thomas Jr.JAX · 63 rec · 922 yds · 5 TD	12.1	+1.1	5	Breakout
22	Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN · 89 rec · 853 yds · 3 TD	12.0	+0.9	6	Steady
23	DK MetcalfPIT · 59 rec · 884 yds · 6 TD	11.9	+0.8	6	Steady
24	Emeka EgbukaTB · 66 rec · 980 yds · 6 TD	11.9	+0.8	6	Steady

Tight Ends · top 24

#	Player	Proj FPPG	VOR	Rd	Trend
1	Trey McBrideARI · 114 rec · 1,140 yds · 7 TD	16.0	+6.7	1	Regression
2	Brock BowersLV · 82 rec · 874 yds · 7 TD	15.5	+6.1	1	Steady
3	Sam LaPortaDET · 56 rec · 665 yds · 5 TD	12.2	+2.9	3	Steady
4	Harold Fannin Jr.CLE · 76 rec · 775 yds · 6 TD	12.0	+2.7	4	Steady
5	George KittleSF · 52 rec · 669 yds · 6 TD	11.7	+2.4	4	Regression
6	Tucker KraftGB · 42 rec · 608 yds · 7 TD	11.4	+2.1	4	Regression
7	Tyler WarrenIND · 79 rec · 854 yds · 4 TD	11.2	+1.8	5	Steady
8	Colston LovelandCHI · 61 rec · 756 yds · 6 TD	11.0	+1.6	5	Steady
9	Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · 70 rec · 787 yds · 4 TD	10.3	+1.0	5	Steady
10	Dallas GoedertPHI · 48 rec · 511 yds · 6 TD	10.1	+0.8	6	Regression
11	Jake FergusonDAL · 72 rec · 590 yds · 5 TD	9.9	+0.6	6	Steady
12	Oronde GadsdenLAC · 52 rec · 704 yds · 3 TD	9.4	+0.1	8	Steady
13	Dalton KincaidBUF · 46 rec · 550 yds · 4 TD	9.4	+0.1	8	Steady
14	David NjokuLAC · 47 rec · 417 yds · 4 TD	9.3	0.0	8	Rising
15	T.J. HockensonMIN · 52 rec · 511 yds · 2 TD	8.6	-0.7	10	Rising
16	Dalton SchultzHOU · 63 rec · 620 yds · 3 TD	8.5	-0.8	10	Regression
17	Mark AndrewsBAL · 46 rec · 492 yds · 7 TD	8.5	-0.8	10	Rising
18	Cade OttonTB · 57 rec · 568 yds · 3 TD	8.4	-1.0	10	Steady
19	Juwan JohnsonNO · 56 rec · 627 yds · 3 TD	8.4	-1.0	11	Regression
20	Hunter HenryNE · 50 rec · 570 yds · 4 TD	8.2	-1.1	11	Regression
21	Theo JohnsonNYG · 40 rec · 471 yds · 4 TD	7.8	-1.5	11	Steady
22	Pat FreiermuthPIT · 46 rec · 494 yds · 4 TD	7.6	-1.8	11	Steady
23	Evan EngramDEN · 52 rec · 438 yds · 1 TD	7.5	-1.9	12	Rising
24	AJ BarnerSEA · 47 rec · 447 yds · 6 TD	7.3	-2.0	12	Steady

How it's projected. Each player's last three seasons are weighted toward the most recent, expressed as per-game production, then bent along a position aging curve (running backs decline early and steeply, receivers and quarterbacks hold longer) and an availability estimate, and scored in PPR. The board ranks by value over replacement — projected fantasy points per game minus a replacement-level player at the same position (12-team baselines) — so an elite tight end or the last startable running back is valued correctly. Tiers are natural cliffs in that value; the ADP round is our own projected rank, not a consensus. Breakouts skew young and ascending; busts are aging or unsustainable prior years regressing; sleepers project startable value past round four. Quarterback lines use passing production only, so mobile QBs are modestly conservative. Everything is a transparent Balladex model estimate — real stats, projected forward — and recomputes automatically. Pair it with the stat leaders and each player's full page.