The short answer. The Balladex projection model's #1 fantasy quarterback for 2027 is Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) — projected for 23.0 PPR fantasy points per game, an ADP around round 2. Rounding out the top five: Brock Purdy, Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, Jayden Daniels.
Top quarterbacks · 2027 projected
Ranked by projected PPR points per game and value over replacement. Tap any player for his full projection.
| # | Player | Team | Projected line | Proj PPG | VOR | ADP Rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Josh Allen |  BUF | 3,816 yds · 26 TD · 10 INT · 567 rush · 13 rush TD | 23.0 | +4.8 | 2 |
| 2 |  Brock Purdy |  SF | 4,274 yds · 39 TD · 13 INT · 369 rush · 3 rush TD | 22.0 | +3.9 | 3 |
| 3 |  Joe Burrow |  CIN | 4,626 yds · 40 TD · 10 INT · 106 rush · 2 rush TD | 21.2 | +3.1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Lamar Jackson |  BAL | 3,940 yds · 35 TD · 6 INT · 448 rush · 3 rush TD | 21.1 | +3.0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Jayden Daniels |  WSH | 3,385 yds · 23 TD · 6 INT · 936 rush · 6 rush TD | 20.7 | +2.6 | 4 |
| 6 |  Drake Maye |  NE | 4,300 yds · 30 TD · 13 INT · 496 rush · 4 rush TD | 20.5 | +2.3 | 4 |
| 7 |  Caleb Williams |  CHI | 3,932 yds · 25 TD · 7 INT · 567 rush · 6 rush TD | 20.4 | +2.3 | 5 |
| 8 |  Jared Goff |  DET | 4,701 yds · 37 TD · 7 INT | 20.4 | +2.2 | 5 |
| 9 |  Patrick Mahomes |  KC | 4,278 yds · 29 TD · 12 INT · 333 rush · 3 rush TD | 19.5 | +1.3 | 6 |
| 10 |  Trevor Lawrence |  JAX | 4,035 yds · 31 TD · 12 INT · 287 rush · 5 rush TD | 19.4 | +1.3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Jalen Hurts |  PHI | 3,418 yds · 26 TD · 7 INT · 388 rush · 6 rush TD | 18.7 | +0.5 | 7 |
| 12 |  Matthew Stafford |  LAR | 4,239 yds · 36 TD · 11 INT | 18.5 | +0.4 | 7 |
| 13 |  Baker Mayfield |  TB | 3,564 yds · 28 TD · 11 INT · 258 rush · 1 rush TD | 18.3 | +0.1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Jordan Love |  GB | 4,392 yds · 31 TD · 9 INT · 121 rush · 0 rush TD | 18.1 | 0.0 | 8 |
| 15 |  Tyler Shough |  NO | 4,267 yds · 26 TD · 13 INT · 255 rush · 4 rush TD | 18.1 | -0.0 | 9 |
Method. A Balladex model estimate (illustrative), not a guarantee: each player projected forward from his last three seasons, bent along a position aging curve and availability, TDs regressed toward red-zone opportunity, defensive scheme and weekly matchups folded in, scored PPR and ranked by value over replacement. See the full 2027 draft board, the weekly start/sit & streamers board, matchups grid, and the model's sleepers & busts.