The Index · Live

Caleb Williams Chicago Bears · #18

Quarterback · 6' 1", 226 lbs · Washington, DC · Age 25

Caleb Williams is a Quarterback for the Chicago Bears, drafted 1st overall, 2024. In 2026 he passed for 407 yards with 2 touchdowns against 1 interceptions.

Chicago Bears roster More Quarterbacks

QuarterbackDrafted 1st overall3-yr veteran

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Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

⬢ Rare

Chicago Bears · #18 · Quarterback

Caleb Williams

Season avg407 pass yds · 2 td · 1 int

Career avg7,890 pass yds · 49 td · 14 int

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

407yds

2td

1int

LADDER#565 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXCaleb Williams · Chicago BearsLADDER#565 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXCaleb Williams · Chicago Bears

Scouting report

Caleb Williams — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

C+

Quarterback · Rotation piece · Impact 50

Caleb Williams is a Quarterback for the Chicago Bears, drafted 1st overall, 2024. In 2026 he passed for 407 yards with 2 touchdowns against 1 intercep

B-

Passing

B-

Efficiency

C+

Scoring

B-

Passing volume

Strong · offense

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B-

Efficiency

Strong · offense

tap for the data ↓

C+

Scoring

Strong · offense

tap for the data ↓

B-

Accuracy

Strong · offense

tap for the data ↓

Ball security

Solid · offense

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Act II

Where Caleb Williams stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬

29%

Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬

23%

Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬

22%

Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬

11%

Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #426 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

448Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Caleb Williams — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

A+

Passing

407 YDS

drill in ↓

Efficiency

92.0 RTG

drill in ↓

Scoring

2 TD

drill in ↓

Ball security

1 INT

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Caleb Williams

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2027 modeled

2150

pass yds

736–3564

4–24

int

2–6

90.7

rating

85.2–96.1

games

4–16

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 3-season history below.

What moves the pass yds line vs last season

Last season 407 → projected 2150 pass yds

Baseline (recency-weighted)

+1700.7

Age curve

+42.2

Net vs last season+1742.8 pass yds

Everything it reads

📊

3 seasons of real box production

every game line, verified

real

⚖

Recency × games weight

recent, healthy years anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Year-over-year trend

his own trajectory, season to season

+dev

🕰

Position aging curve

age 25 — applied to the projection

curve

🏈

Role & usage context

target / carry share and snaps fold in

+ctx

🏥

Availability signal

games last 3: 17 / 17 / 2

health

The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Caleb Williams career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	G	Cmp%	Yds	TD	INT	Rate
2024	17	62.5	3,541	20	6	87.8
2025	17	58.1	3,942	27	7	90.1
2026 in progress · 2 games	2	65.5	407	2	1	92.0
Career	36		7,890	49	14

Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

Spencer Rattler 99%Justin Fields 98%Easton Stick 97%Case Keenum 97%Tua Tagovailoa 97%Cam Ward 97%

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Context

Are the Chicago Bears built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

12–5proj record

93off index

97def index

+56net

95%playoff odds

65roster

Roster delta · what changed

Offense grades A (93), defense A+ (97) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 89, pass rush 99, coverage 95.

How his role moves

Projected 12–5 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rare

Rank #136 of 2316 in NFL.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Caleb Williams

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2001-11-18

The beginning

Caleb Williams is a Quarterback for the Chicago Bears, in his 3rd NFL season.

Chicago Bears

Turning pro

Drafted 1st overall, 2024 as a Quarterback.

true

Caleb Williams is a Chicago Bears quarterback, drafted 1st overall, 2024.

Chapter

Across 3 seasons (2024–2026) he has thrown for 7,890 yards and 49 touchdowns.

Chapter

Most recently he passed for 407 yards with 2 touchdowns and a 92.0 rating in 2026.

▶

Williams's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Caleb Williams 2025 Season Highlights ▶ Caleb Williams best plays from 4-TD game vs. Panthers | Week 1 ▶ Caleb Williams 2024 Season Highlights ▶ This escape from Caleb Williams was filthy 🔥 #shorts

Off the field

Measurables

Active

Height: 6' 1"
Weight: 226 lbs
Draft: 1st overall, 2024
Born: Washington, DC
Age: 25
Jersey: #18

Background

Caleb Williams is from Washington, DC and is 25 years old. He was drafted 1st overall, 2024 and plays quarterback at 6' 1", 226 lbs.

Over 3 seasons (2024–2026) he has thrown for 7,890 yards and 49 touchdowns. Williams is currently on the Chicago Bears roster.

The person

Caleb Williams is a spot starter under center who has thrown for 7,890 yards and 49 touchdowns across 3 seasons (2024–2026).

Passing production7,890 career passing yards with 49 touchdowns and 14 interceptions.

Best seasonThrew for 3,942 yards and 27 TDs in 2025.

Ball securityA 3.5:1 career touchdown-to-interception ratio.

First-round pedigree1st overall, 2024.

Verified profiles & sources

ESPN ESPN ESPN

FAQ

Caleb Williams — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Caleb Williams, answered.

What position does Caleb Williams play?

Caleb Williams is a Quarterback for the Chicago Bears.

When was Caleb Williams drafted?

Caleb Williams was drafted 1st overall, 2024.

How many seasons has Caleb Williams played?

3 (2024–2026).

What are Caleb Williams's career stats?

He has thrown for 7,890 yards and 49 touchdowns.

Caleb Williams career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Caleb Williams Chicago Bears · #18

Caleb Williams — the report card

Where Caleb Williams stands

Caleb Williams — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Chicago Bears built to win?

The Ballad of Caleb Williams

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Chapter

Off the field

Caleb Williams — frequently asked

Current role & opportunity

Weekly matchups

Injury history

More Chicago Bears players

Caleb Williams head-to-head

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