Carrington leads the head-to-head, 3 categories to 0.
Rebuildvs
The two-way profile
Nesmith 5Carrington 2
Balladex DNA ratings (0–99). Nesmith wins 5 of 8 attribute battles.
Tale of the tape
9.6
Points / game (career)
10.3
3.4
Rebounds / game (career)
3.8
1.2
Assists / game (career)
4.6
Career scoring arc points per game · by season
Nesmith peak 13.8Carrington peak 10.7
The trophy case edge: Nesmith
2× NBA Finalist14th Draft pick (2020)
🏆
1× All-Rookie Second Team (2025)14th Draft pick (2024)
The verdict
Carrington holds the edge, leading in 3 of 3 categories (points / game, rebounds / game, assists / game). Nesmith answers in the intangibles — which is exactly why this is the marquee debate.
60Nesmith · Solid starter
Balladex Impact Index
58Carrington · Solid starter
Card value — head to head
Aaron Nesmith
$8.0
Falling
5-yr outlook-12%
Legacy floor50%
Bub Carrington
$5.0
On the rise — speculative upside
5-yr outlook+20% ▲
Legacy floor80%
Card verdictAaron Nesmith is the more valuable card today ($8.0 vs. $5.0). Bub Carrington carries more projected upside (+20% vs. -12% over five years).