The Index · Live

Dennis Smith Jr. Miami Heat

Guard · 6'2", 205 lb · Fayetteville, NC · Age 29 · 9th season

Dennis Smith Jr. is a guard for the Miami Heat who has played 326 games over 7 seasons, averaging 6.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists in 2023-24.

MVP race · #481Guard rank · #186Balladex Impact · 53
⚖ Quick compare
D
Dennis Smith Jr.
◆ Rated
Miami Heat · Guard
Dennis Smith Jr.
Season avg6.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 3.6 ast · .435 fg
Career avg9.7 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.2 ast · .407 fg
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
6.6pts
2.9reb
3.6ast
LADDER#481 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 53 — Rotation piece tierINDEXDennis Smith Jr. · Miami HeatLADDER#481 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 53 — Rotation piece tierINDEXDennis Smith Jr. · Miami Heat
Scouting report

Dennis Smith Jr. — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Guard · Rotation piece · Impact 53
Dennis Smith Jr. is a guard for the Miami Heat who has played 326 games over 7 seasons, averaging 6.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists in 2023-24.
C-
Offense
C-
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
C-
Playmaking
Below average creator
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C-
Scoring
Below average scorer
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C-
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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C-
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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C-
Perimeter D
Below average on the perimeter
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C-
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C-
Clutch
Below average late
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C-
Athleticism
Below average tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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B-
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Dennis Smith Jr. stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets▬
43%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat▬
23%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder▬
19%
4
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers▬
7%
5
Joel Embiid Philadelphia 76ers▬
2%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #388 of 627 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
53Impact index
24Star score
Career scoring average9.7 ppg
Seasons in the index9
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Dennis Smith Jr. — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C-
Scoring
6.6 PPG
drill in ↓
C-
Playmaking
3.6 APG
drill in ↓
C-
Rebounding
2.9 RPG
drill in ↓
C-
Shooting
.294 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Dennis Smith Jr.

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2024-25  78% confidence
6.8
pts
5.3–8.3
3.0
reb
2.3–3.7
3.7
ast
3.1–4.3
19.0
min
proj
52
gp
health
.422
fg%
~base
.257
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 7-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 6.6 → projected 6.8 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.0
Development (his trend)
+0.0
Age curve
+0.0
Live context
+0.1
Net vs last season+0.2 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
9 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
⚖
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 29 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 37 / 54 / 56 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Dennis Smith Jr. career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2017-186929.715.23.85.2.395.313
2018-19 (Dallas)3228.412.93.04.3.440.344
2018-19 (New York)2128.614.72.85.4.413.289
2019-203415.85.52.32.9.341.296
2020-21 (New York)39.33.00.71.0.200.000
2020-21 (Detroit)2019.77.32.73.7.415.352
2021-223717.35.62.43.6.418.222
2022-235425.78.83.14.8.412.216
2023-245618.96.62.93.6.435.294
Career32623.39.73.04.2
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Closest comps
⚖ Overlay a rival →
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Miami Heat built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

48–34proj record
#8conf seed
+2.7net rtg
116.1off rtg
113.3def rtg
85%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell.
How his role moves
Projected 48–34, 8th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
53 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad of Dennis Smith Jr.

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1997-11-25

The beginning

Dennis Smith Jr.

true

Dennis Smith Jr. is a guard for the Miami Heat.

Chapter

He has played 326 games over 7 seasons (2017-24), averaging 23.3 minutes a night. The season-by-season table below carries every per-game figure, each one reconciled against ESPN.

Chapter

In 2023-24 he played 56 games, averaging 6.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists in 18.9 minutes.

Where things stand

Where Jr.

▶
▶
Jr.'s story
The documentary, narrated
Highlights
▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 2"
Weight
205 lbs
College
NC State
Experience
7th Season
NBA debut
2017
Born
Fayetteville, NC
Age
29
Beyond the game

Dennis Smith Jr. is from Fayetteville, NC, born 1997-11-25, listed at 6'2" and 205 lb. He has 7 seasons of NBA service. This background is assembled from league records; the colour that fills a page like this comes later, from a human.

The person

A guard on 23.3 career minutes a night, read from the box score rather than the eye test.

Rotation regular18.9 minutes a night in the rotation.
Secondary creator3.6 assists per game.
Floor spacerShooting 29.4% from three.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Dennis Smith Jr. — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Dennis Smith Jr., answered.

What position does Dennis Smith Jr. play?
Dennis Smith Jr. is a guard for the Miami Heat.
How many NBA games has Dennis Smith Jr. played?
326 regular-season games over 7 seasons, averaging 23.3 minutes.
How many NBA seasons has Dennis Smith Jr. played?
7 seasons (2017-24).
How tall is Dennis Smith Jr.?
6'2", 205 lb
Dennis Smith Jr. career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Dennis Smith Jr.

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
70%
9 seasons
Last 3 seasons
60%
99 games missed
Games missed
184
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Injury-prone
declining
Availability by season
69
17-18
32
18-19 (Dallas)
21
18-19 (New York)
34
19-20
3
20-21 (New York)
20
20-21 (Detroit)
37
21-22
54
22-23
56
23-24

Injury-prone. Availability trend is declining — 60% of games over the last three seasons, low of 45% in 2021-22.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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