Ranked by projected PPR points per game and value over replacement. Tap any player for his full projection.
| # | Player | Team | Projected line | Proj PPG | VOR | ADP Rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Allen | 3,986 yds · 26 TD · 9 INT · 538 rush · 13 rush TD | 23.1 | +4.8 | 2 | |
| 2 | Brock Purdy | 4,293 yds · 37 TD · 13 INT · 378 rush · 3 rush TD | 21.5 | +3.3 | 4 | |
| 3 | Lamar Jackson | 3,940 yds · 35 TD · 6 INT · 448 rush · 3 rush TD | 21.1 | +2.9 | 4 | |
| 4 | Joe Burrow | 4,626 yds · 40 TD · 10 INT · 106 rush · 2 rush TD | 21.1 | +2.9 | 4 | |
| 5 | Drake Maye | 4,298 yds · 30 TD · 12 INT · 490 rush · 4 rush TD | 20.7 | +2.4 | 4 | |
| 6 | Jared Goff | 4,701 yds · 37 TD · 7 INT | 20.4 | +2.2 | 5 | |
| 7 | Trevor Lawrence | 4,149 yds · 34 TD · 12 INT · 279 rush · 5 rush TD | 20.3 | +2.1 | 5 | |
| 8 | Jayden Daniels | 3,507 yds · 24 TD · 6 INT · 801 rush · 5 rush TD | 20.1 | +1.9 | 5 | |
| 9 | Caleb Williams | 4,009 yds · 25 TD · 6 INT · 471 rush · 5 rush TD | 19.7 | +1.4 | 6 | |
| 10 | Patrick Mahomes | 4,320 yds · 29 TD · 12 INT · 294 rush · 3 rush TD | 19.0 | +0.7 | 7 | |
| 11 | Tyler Shough | 4,058 yds · 29 TD · 12 INT · 279 rush · 5 rush TD | 18.9 | +0.6 | 7 | |
| 12 | Matthew Stafford | 4,215 yds · 36 TD · 11 INT | 18.5 | +0.2 | 8 | |
| 13 | Bryce Young | 4,346 yds · 31 TD · 10 INT · 176 rush · 3 rush TD | 18.3 | +0.1 | 8 | |
| 14 | Baker Mayfield | 3,564 yds · 28 TD · 11 INT · 258 rush · 1 rush TD | 18.2 | 0.0 | 8 | |
| 15 | Jordan Love | 4,406 yds · 30 TD · 9 INT · 125 rush · 1 rush TD | 18.2 | -0.0 | 9 |
The Balladex projection model's #1 fantasy quarterback for 2026 is Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) — projected for 23.1 PPR fantasy points per game, an ADP around round 2. Rounding out the top five: Brock Purdy, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Drake Maye.
The Balladex model's top quarterbacks: 1. Josh Allen (23.1 PPG); 2. Brock Purdy (21.5 PPG); 3. Lamar Jackson (21.1 PPG); 4. Joe Burrow (21.1 PPG); 5. Drake Maye (20.7 PPG); 6. Jared Goff (20.4 PPG); 7. Trevor Lawrence (20.3 PPG); 8. Jayden Daniels (20.1 PPG).
Each quarterback is projected forward from his last three seasons — recency- and sample-weighted per-game production, bent along a position aging curve and an availability estimate, with touchdowns regressed toward red-zone opportunity and defensive scheme + weekly matchups folded in — then scored PPR and ranked by value over replacement. A transparent Balladex model estimate, not a guarantee.