Ranked by projected PPR points per game and value over replacement. Tap any player for his full projection.
| # | Player | Team | Projected line | Proj PPG | VOR | ADP Rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 130 rec · 1,875 yds · 10 TD | 23.0 | +11.4 | 1 | |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | 140 rec · 1,811 yds · 7 TD | 22.7 | +11.1 | 1 | |
| 3 | Ja'Marr Chase | 124 rec · 1,551 yds · 9 TD | 20.5 | +8.9 | 1 | |
| 4 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | 120 rec · 1,333 yds · 12 TD | 20.0 | +8.4 | 1 | |
| 5 | Malik Nabers | 122 rec · 1,501 yds · 7 TD | 19.6 | +8.0 | 1 | |
| 6 | CeeDee Lamb | 118 rec · 1,504 yds · 8 TD | 19.3 | +7.7 | 1 | |
| 7 | Chris Olave | 112 rec · 1,478 yds · 6 TD | 17.6 | +6.0 | 2 | |
| 8 | George Pickens | 92 rec · 1,382 yds · 7 TD | 16.7 | +5.0 | 2 | |
| 9 | Tetairoa McMillan | 99 rec · 1,454 yds · 6 TD | 16.6 | +5.0 | 2 | |
| 10 | Drake London | 98 rec · 1,408 yds · 7 TD | 16.6 | +5.0 | 2 | |
| 11 | Rashee Rice | 101 rec · 1,119 yds · 10 TD | 16.5 | +4.9 | 2 | |
| 12 | Nico Collins | 90 rec · 1,364 yds · 7 TD | 16.5 | +4.9 | 2 | |
| 13 | Zay Flowers | 95 rec · 1,376 yds · 5 TD | 16.0 | +4.4 | 3 | |
| 14 | Justin Jefferson | 93 rec · 1,310 yds · 6 TD | 15.9 | +4.3 | 3 | |
| 15 | Tee Higgins | 89 rec · 1,225 yds · 7 TD | 15.6 | +4.0 | 3 |
The Balladex projection model's #1 fantasy wide receiver for 2026 is Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seattle Seahawks) — projected for 23.0 PPR fantasy points per game, an ADP around round 1. Rounding out the top five: Puka Nacua, Ja'Marr Chase, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Malik Nabers.
The Balladex model's top wide receivers: 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (23.0 PPG); 2. Puka Nacua (22.7 PPG); 3. Ja'Marr Chase (20.5 PPG); 4. Amon-Ra St. Brown (20.0 PPG); 5. Malik Nabers (19.6 PPG); 6. CeeDee Lamb (19.3 PPG); 7. Chris Olave (17.6 PPG); 8. George Pickens (16.7 PPG).
Each wide receiver is projected forward from his last three seasons — recency- and sample-weighted per-game production, bent along a position aging curve and an availability estimate, with touchdowns regressed toward red-zone opportunity and defensive scheme + weekly matchups folded in — then scored PPR and ranked by value over replacement. A transparent Balladex model estimate, not a guarantee.