2026 · through week 6

NFL expected points added.

EPA is the only offensive measure that knows what a play was worth. A four-yard gain on third-and-three is a conversion; the same four yards on third-and-twelve is a punt. Yardage cannot tell them apart, and EPA is built to.

The short answer. Expected points added measures how much one play changed its team’s expected points, given down, distance and field position. Every table below is ranked by a player’s total EPA for the season, with his per-play figure beside it — the total says how much he was worth, the rate says how efficiently.

Passing EPA

32 players with at least 90 dropbacks through week 6 — 15 a week. Attempts plus sacks taken, because a sack is a pass play and its cost is already inside the passing figure.

Most valuable: Jared Goff (+65.3 EPA). Most efficient: Brock Purdy (+0.397 per play on 145).

NFL passing expected points added, 2026 through week 6, ranked by total.
Rank	Player	Team	G	Dropbacks	EPA	EPA / dropback
1	Jared Goff	Detroit Lions	5	202	+65.3	+0.323
2	Brock Purdy	San Francisco 49ers	5	145	+57.6	+0.397
3	Trevor Lawrence	Jacksonville Jaguars	6	194	+53.3	+0.275
4	Josh Allen	Buffalo Bills	6	183	+53.0	+0.290
5	Kirk Cousins	Las Vegas Raiders	6	221	+45.8	+0.207
6	Bryce Young	Carolina Panthers	5	213	+45.2	+0.212
7	Lamar Jackson	Baltimore Ravens	4	103	+37.3	+0.363
8	Dak Prescott	Dallas Cowboys	6	253	+37.0	+0.146
9	Drake Maye	New England Patriots	6	194	+33.0	+0.170
10	Joe Burrow	Cincinnati Bengals	5	198	+32.8	+0.166
11	C.J. Stroud	Houston Texans	6	233	+31.6	+0.136
12	Matthew Stafford	Los Angeles Rams	6	259	+29.4	+0.113
13	Patrick Mahomes	Kansas City Chiefs	5	164	+28.6	+0.174
14	Caleb Williams	Chicago Bears	3	100	+28.1	+0.282
15	Jordan Love	Green Bay Packers	6	239	+27.6	+0.115
16	Michael Penix Jr.	Atlanta Falcons	4	119	+18.0	+0.151
17	Geno Smith	New York Jets	6	196	+14.6	+0.075
18	Jacoby Brissett	Arizona Cardinals	6	246	-2.2	-0.009
19	Deshaun Watson	Cleveland Browns	6	198	-2.8	-0.014
20	Tyler Shough	New Orleans Saints	6	248	-5.5	-0.022
21	Kyler Murray	Minnesota Vikings	4	110	-8.3	-0.076
22	Jalen Hurts	Philadelphia Eagles	5	167	-9.7	-0.058
23	Bo Nix	Denver Broncos	6	197	-14.9	-0.076
24	Jameis Winston	New York Giants	5	173	-20.2	-0.117
25	Jalon Daniels	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4	107	-20.7	-0.193
26	Sam Darnold	Seattle Seahawks	5	163	-21.9	-0.135
27	Aaron Rodgers	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	252	-27.6	-0.109
28	Daniel Jones	Indianapolis Colts	6	233	-28.3	-0.121
29	Malik Willis	Miami Dolphins	5	144	-28.9	-0.201
30	Baker Mayfield	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3	109	-29.9	-0.274
31	Cam Ward	Tennessee Titans	6	187	-34.0	-0.182
32	Justin Herbert	Los Angeles Chargers	6	201	-44.9	-0.223

Rushing EPA

43 players with at least 36 carries through week 6 — 6 a week. Quarterbacks appear high here by design: a scramble happens on third down, by choice, against a defence playing the pass, which is why it is the most valuable run in football.

Most valuable: Josh Allen (+19.5 EPA). Most efficient: Josh Allen (+0.406 per play, the same man).

NFL rushing expected points added, 2026 through week 6, ranked by total.
Rank	Player	Team	G	Carries	EPA	EPA / carry
1	Josh Allen	Buffalo Bills	6	48	+19.5	+0.406
2	Kenneth Walker III	Kansas City Chiefs	5	106	+12.6	+0.118
3	Bijan Robinson	Atlanta Falcons	6	111	+8.9	+0.080
4	Chuba Hubbard	Carolina Panthers	5	89	+6.8	+0.077
5	James Cook III	Buffalo Bills	6	117	+5.9	+0.051
6	Kyle Monangai	Chicago Bears	4	60	+5.8	+0.097
7	Jaylen Warren	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	84	+5.2	+0.061
8	Jahmyr Gibbs	Detroit Lions	5	105	+4.5	+0.043
9	Ollie Gordon II	Miami Dolphins	4	47	+4.2	+0.089
10	Chris Rodriguez Jr.	Jacksonville Jaguars	6	39	+3.4	+0.087
11	Christian McCaffrey	San Francisco 49ers	5	61	+3.3	+0.053
12	Brian Robinson Jr.	Atlanta Falcons	6	53	+2.5	+0.047
13	Blake Corum	Los Angeles Rams	6	47	+1.9	+0.042
14	Javonte Williams	Dallas Cowboys	6	85	+1.9	+0.022
15	Kyren Williams	Los Angeles Rams	6	80	+1.8	+0.023
16	Deshaun Watson	Cleveland Browns	6	45	+0.7	+0.016
17	Saquon Barkley	Philadelphia Eagles	4	36	-0.0	0.000
18	Bucky Irving	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6	96	-0.2	-0.002
19	Jonathan Taylor	Indianapolis Colts	6	122	-2.0	-0.016
20	Kaelon Black	San Francisco 49ers	5	37	-3.8	-0.104
21	Rhamondre Stevenson	New England Patriots	6	71	-4.3	-0.061
22	Bhayshul Tuten	Jacksonville Jaguars	6	94	-4.3	-0.046
23	Jeremiyah Love	Arizona Cardinals	5	67	-5.1	-0.076
24	D'Andre Swift	Chicago Bears	6	94	-5.6	-0.060
25	Braelon Allen	New York Jets	6	74	-5.8	-0.078
26	Tony Pollard	Tennessee Titans	6	87	-6.3	-0.072
27	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	Washington Commanders	5	67	-6.6	-0.098
28	Woody Marks	Houston Texans	6	58	-8.3	-0.144
29	Breece Hall	New York Jets	3	51	-8.8	-0.173
30	Chase Brown	Cincinnati Bengals	5	71	-9.8	-0.138
31	Tyler Allgeier	Arizona Cardinals	6	53	-10.5	-0.198
32	Kendre Miller	New Orleans Saints	5	49	-12.0	-0.245
33	TreVeyon Henderson	New England Patriots	5	49	-12.1	-0.248
34	Derrick Henry	Baltimore Ravens	6	130	-12.9	-0.099
35	Aaron Jones Sr.	Minnesota Vikings	5	97	-13.5	-0.139
36	Cam Skattebo	New York Giants	5	81	-14.1	-0.174
37	J.K. Dobbins	Denver Broncos	6	81	-15.3	-0.189
38	Emanuel Wilson	Seattle Seahawks	6	87	-16.7	-0.192
39	MarShawn Lloyd	Green Bay Packers	6	48	-16.9	-0.351
40	David Montgomery	Houston Texans	5	52	-18.0	-0.345
41	Quinshon Judkins	Cleveland Browns	5	73	-19.8	-0.271
42	Omarion Hampton	Los Angeles Chargers	6	80	-21.3	-0.267
43	Ashton Jeanty	Las Vegas Raiders	6	98	-28.8	-0.294

Receiving EPA

38 players with at least 36 targets through week 6 — 6 a week. Divided by targets rather than catches, because an incompletion thrown at a receiver is a play his figure already carries.

Most valuable: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+46.1 EPA). Most efficient: Sam LaPorta (+0.854 per play on 37).

NFL receiving expected points added, 2026 through week 6, ranked by total.
Rank	Player	Team	G	Targets	EPA	EPA / target
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	Seattle Seahawks	6	66	+46.1	+0.699
2	Chris Olave	New Orleans Saints	6	61	+39.1	+0.642
3	Sam LaPorta	Detroit Lions	5	37	+31.6	+0.854
4	Drake London	Atlanta Falcons	6	46	+28.3	+0.616
5	Zay Flowers	Baltimore Ravens	5	42	+26.6	+0.634
6	Tee Higgins	Cincinnati Bengals	5	43	+25.1	+0.583
7	CeeDee Lamb	Dallas Cowboys	6	69	+24.5	+0.355
8	Christian Watson	Green Bay Packers	6	48	+24.2	+0.504
9	Garrett Wilson	New York Jets	6	48	+23.5	+0.489
10	Davante Adams	Los Angeles Rams	6	49	+22.1	+0.451
11	Tetairoa McMillan	Carolina Panthers	5	48	+21.6	+0.450
12	Brock Bowers	Las Vegas Raiders	4	43	+20.6	+0.479
13	George Pickens	Dallas Cowboys	6	52	+20.5	+0.395
14	Parker Washington	Jacksonville Jaguars	6	46	+20.3	+0.442
15	Ja'Marr Chase	Cincinnati Bengals	5	38	+18.1	+0.475
16	Matthew Golden	Green Bay Packers	6	57	+15.1	+0.265
17	Isaiah Likely	New York Giants	6	59	+14.7	+0.249
18	Devaughn Vele	New Orleans Saints	6	43	+13.8	+0.322
19	Trey McBride	Arizona Cardinals	6	65	+12.6	+0.194
20	Josh Downs	Indianapolis Colts	6	42	+12.2	+0.291
21	Malik Nabers	New York Giants	6	61	+11.7	+0.192
22	Amon-Ra St. Brown	Detroit Lions	5	57	+10.8	+0.189
23	Dalton Schultz	Houston Texans	6	37	+8.3	+0.225
24	Tyler Warren	Indianapolis Colts	5	36	+8.2	+0.227
25	Carnell Tate	Tennessee Titans	6	44	+8.0	+0.182
26	Tucker Kraft	Green Bay Packers	6	37	+7.6	+0.206
27	Ryan Flournoy	Dallas Cowboys	6	36	+6.8	+0.189
28	Puka Nacua	Los Angeles Rams	4	52	+6.6	+0.127
29	Wan'Dale Robinson	Tennessee Titans	6	37	+2.7	+0.073
30	Ashton Jeanty	Las Vegas Raiders	6	36	+2.2	+0.060
31	DK Metcalf	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	52	+1.6	+0.031
32	Luther Burden III	Chicago Bears	6	43	+1.6	+0.037
33	DeVonta Smith	Philadelphia Eagles	4	41	+0.8	+0.020
34	Jaylen Waddle	Denver Broncos	6	38	+0.5	+0.014
35	Malik Washington	Miami Dolphins	5	36	-0.4	-0.012
36	Kyren Williams	Los Angeles Rams	6	39	-4.0	-0.102
37	Michael Wilson	Arizona Cardinals	6	58	-6.6	-0.114
38	Emeka Egbuka	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6	49	-12.7	-0.259

Method. nflverse stats_player_week (CC-BY-4.0), read 2026-10-19. EPA is the league feed’s own per-play figure, summed over a player’s regular-season weeks — not a Balladex model. This is the 2026 season only: a rate cannot pool a finished season with a part-finished one and describe either. Each rate divides by the plays its own EPA was earned on, and each volume floor is a per-week figure times the weeks played so far, so it stays a starter’s threshold in December as well as October. Those floors matter more than they look: with none at all the per-play leader is a wide receiver on a single trick-play pass, and a floor alone is not enough either, which is why these tables rank on the total. Definitions for every term are in the stats glossary. Related: snap share, defense rankings and the passer rating calculator.