The Index · Live

Terry RozierMiami Heat · #2

Point Guard · 6'1", 190 lb · Youngstown, Ohio · Age 32 · 10th season

Terry Rozier, nicknamed Scary Terry after a breakout 2018 playoff run in Boston, developed into a 20-point-per-game lead guard with Charlotte before joining Miami. He is an active Heat guard with career averages of 13.9 points, 3.9 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

MVP race · #175Point Guard rank · #5Balladex Impact · 63
⚖ Quick compare
T
◆ Rated
Miami Heat · #2 · Point Guard
Terry Rozier
Season avg10.6 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.6 ast · .391 fg
Career avg13.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.5 ast · .403 fg
Live win probabilityHeat 71%
Balladex model · projected 122–118 · 99.7 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
9.7pts
3.7reb
2.4ast
71%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Terry Rozier
Miami Heat · Point Guard
B-
vs
72
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Milwaukee Bucks · Solid defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#175 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 63 — Solid starter tierINDEXTerry Rozier · Miami HeatLADDER#175 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 63 — Solid starter tierINDEXTerry Rozier · Miami Heat
Scouting report

Terry Rozier — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Scoring combo guard · Impact 63
Terry Rozier, nicknamed Scary Terry after a breakout 2018 playoff run in Boston, developed into a 20-point-per-game lead guard with Charlotte before j
B-
Offense
F
Defense
C+
Feel / IQ
C+
Playmaking
Average creator
tap for the data ↓
B
Scoring
Excellent scorer
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D
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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C+
3PT / spacing
Strong spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
tap for the data ↓
B-
Clutch
Strong late
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B
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C+
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A-
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Terry Rozier stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
26%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
18%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
10%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
3%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
3%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #156 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
63Impact index
111Star score
Career scoring average13.9 ppg
Seasons in the index10
Accolades on file2
Scary Terry 2018 playoff breakout · Career-high 23.2 points per game stretch (2023-24)
Stat explorer

Terry Rozier — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

B
Scoring
10.6 PPG
drill in ↓
C+
Playmaking
2.6 APG
drill in ↓
D
Rebounding
3.7 RPG
drill in ↓
C+
Shooting
.295 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Terry Rozier

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2025-26  72% confidence
9.5
pts
7.6–11.4
3.5
reb
2.6–4.4
2.4
ast
1.7–3.1
24.6
min
proj
63
gp
health
.417
fg%
~base
.330
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 10-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 10.6 → projected 9.5 PPG
Minutes / role
-0.5
Development (his trend)
-0.6
Age curve
-0.1
Live context
+0.2
Net vs last season-1.1 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
10 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 32 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 63 / 61 / 64 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Terry Rozier career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2015-16398.01.81.60.9.274.222
2016-177417.15.53.11.8.367.318
2017-188025.911.34.72.9.395.381
2018-197922.79.03.92.9.387.353
2019-206334.318.04.44.1.423.407
2020-216934.520.44.44.2.450.389
2021-227333.719.34.34.5.444.374
2022-236335.321.14.15.1.415.327
2023-246133.419.84.05.6.443.363
2024-256425.910.63.72.6.391.295
Career66527.613.93.93.5
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Miami Heat built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

48–34proj record
#8conf seed
+2.7net rtg
116.1off rtg
113.3def rtg
85%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell.
How his role moves
Projected 48–34, 8th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
63 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
2 accolades
Scary Terry 2018 playoff breakout · Career-high 23.2 points per game stretch (2023-24)
Act IV

The Ballad of Terry Rozier

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Mar 17, 1994

The beginning

Terry Rozier is a fearless scoring guard who turned a 2018 playoff breakout into a lucrative starting career.

Miami Heat

Turning pro

Drafted 1st round, 2015 as a Point Guard.

true

Rozier earned the nickname Scary Terry during the 2018 playoffs, stepping into Boston's injury-depleted backcourt and starring on a run to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Chapter

After signing with Charlotte, he blossomed into a lead guard, averaging 20.4 points in 2020-21 and 21.1 in 2022-23.

Chapter

A 2023-24 trade sent him to Miami, where he shifted into a supporting scoring role for a contending franchise.

Off the court

Measurables
Active
Height
6'1"
Weight
190 lb
Draft
1st round, 2015
Born
Youngstown, Ohio
Age
32
Jersey
#2
Beyond the game

Off the court, Rozier is known for his Cleveland-area roots and his rise from a bench role to a maximum-value contract. The Scary Terry persona became a fan-favorite brand that followed him from Boston to Charlotte and Miami.

The person

Rozier is a fearless, chip-on-the-shoulder competitor whose confidence fuels his scoring.

FearlessNever hesitates to take big shots.
CompetitivePlays with an underdog's edge.
ClutchComfortable creating in late-game moments.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Terry Rozier — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Terry Rozier, answered.

How did Terry Rozier get the nickname Scary Terry?
He earned it during the 2018 NBA playoffs, when he starred for an injury-hit Boston team on a run to the Eastern Conference Finals.
What is Terry Rozier's best scoring season?
He averaged a career-best 21.1 points per game for Charlotte in 2022-23.
What team does Terry Rozier play for?
He is an active guard for the Miami Heat, who acquired him during the 2023-24 season.
Terry Rozier career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Terry Rozier

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
83%
10 seasons
Last 3 seasons
76%
58 games missed
Games missed
135
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
steady
Availability by season
39
15-16
74
16-17
80
17-18
79
18-19
63
19-20
69
20-21
73
21-22
63
22-23
61
23-24
64
24-25

Some risk. Availability trend is steady76% of games over the last three seasons, low of 48% in 2015-16.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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