The Index · Live

A.J. Brown New England Patriots · #1

Wide Receiver · 6' 1", 226 lbs · Starkville, MS · Age 29

A.J. Brown is a Wide Receiver for the New England Patriots, drafted 51st overall, 2019. In 2026 he caught 3 passes for 26 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Wide ReceiverDrafted 51st overall8-yr veteran
⚖ Quick compare
A
A.J. Brown
⬢ Rare
New England Patriots · #1 · Wide Receiver
A.J. Brown
Season avg3 rec · 26 yds · 0 td
Career avg527 rec · 8,055 yds · 56 td
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
3rec
26yds
0td
LADDER#362 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXA.J. Brown · New England PatriotsLADDER#362 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXA.J. Brown · New England Patriots
Scouting report

A.J. Brown — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

C+
Wide Receiver · Rotation piece · Impact 50
A.J. Brown is a Wide Receiver for the New England Patriots, drafted 51st overall, 2019. In 2026 he caught 3 passes for 26 yards and 0 touchdowns.
C+
Receiving
C
Big-play
C
Scoring
C+
Receiving yards
Strong · offense
tap for the data ↓
B-
Volume
Strong · offense
tap for the data ↓
C
Big-play
Solid · offense
tap for the data ↓
C
Scoring
Solid · offense
tap for the data ↓
C+
Target share
Strong · offense
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where A.J. Brown stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬
29%
2
Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬
23%
3
Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬
22%
4
Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬
11%
5
Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬
9%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #542 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
50Impact index
622Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

A.J. Brown — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

B-
Receiving
26 YDS
drill in ↓
B+
Volume
3 REC
drill in ↓
C-
Big-play
8.7 Y/R
drill in ↓
C-
Scoring
0 TD
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees A.J. Brown

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2027  modeled
36
rec
6–66
496
rec yds
74–917
3
td
0–6
55
targets
8–102
8
games
2–13
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 8-season history below.
What moves the rec line vs last season
Last season 3 → projected 36 rec
Baseline (recency-weighted)
+35.7
Age curve
-2.3
Net vs last season+33.3 rec
Everything it reads
📊
8 seasons of real box production
every game line, verified
real
⚖
Recency × games weight
recent, healthy years anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Year-over-year trend
his own trajectory, season to season
+dev
🕰
Position aging curve
age 29 — applied to the projection
curve
🏈
Role & usage context
target / carry share and snaps fold in
+ctx
🏥
Availability signal
games last 3: 13 / 15 / 1
health
The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

A.J. Brown career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGRecYdsTDTgtY/R
201916521,05188420.2
202014701,0751110615.4
20211363869510513.8
202217881,4961114517.0
2023171061,456715813.7
202413671,07979716.1
202515781,003712112.9
2026 in progress · 1 game1326048.7
Career1065278,05556820
Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.
Context

Are the New England Patriots built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

11–6proj record
64off index
99def index
+29net
77%playoff odds
66roster
Roster delta · what changed
Offense grades C (64), defense A+ (99) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 41, pass rush 99, coverage 99.
How his role moves
Projected 11–6 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
50 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rare
Rank #99 of 2316 in NFL.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad of A.J. Brown

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1997-06-30

The beginning

A.J.

New England Patriots

Turning pro

Drafted 51st overall, 2019 as a Wide Receiver.

true

A.J. Brown is a New England Patriots wide receiver, drafted 51st overall, 2019.

Chapter

Across 8 seasons (2019–2026) he has caught 527 passes for 8,055 yards and 56 touchdowns.

Chapter

Most recently he caught 3 passes for 26 yards and 0 touchdowns in 2026.

Off the field

Measurables
Active
Height
6' 1"
Weight
226 lbs
Draft
51st overall, 2019
Born
Starkville, MS
Age
29
Jersey
#1
Background

A.J. Brown is from Starkville, MS and is 29 years old. He was drafted 51st overall, 2019 and plays wide receiver at 6' 1", 226 lbs.

Over 8 seasons (2019–2026) he has caught 527 passes for 8,055 yards and 56 touchdowns. Brown is currently on the New England Patriots roster.

The person

A.J. Brown is a No. 1 receiving option who has caught 527 passes for 8,055 yards and 56 touchdowns across 8 seasons (2019–2026).

Receiving527 career catches, 8,055 yards, 56 touchdowns.
Best season88 catches for 1,496 yards in 2022.
Yards per catch15.3 yards per reception over his career.
Draft pedigree51st overall, 2019.
Durability106 career games played.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

A.J. Brown — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about A.J. Brown, answered.

What position does A.J. Brown play?
A.J. Brown is a Wide Receiver for the New England Patriots.
When was A.J. Brown drafted?
A.J. Brown was drafted 51st overall, 2019.
How many seasons has A.J. Brown played?
8 (2019–2026).
What are A.J. Brown's career stats?
He has caught 527 passes for 8,055 yards and 56 touchdowns.
A.J. Brown career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about A.J. Brown

Current role & opportunity

Usage last season · depth chart current · nflverse
Depth chart
WR6
behind the starter
Snap share
44%
of offensive snaps
Target share
3%
WOPR 0.06

This role & opportunity data feeds the model's competition-aware projection — snap and target share from last season, depth-chart rank from the current roster.

Weekly matchups

Fantasy points allowed by position · 2026 schedule · Balladex
Next matchup
@ SEA
Week 1 · Avoid
Season outlook
39
avg matchup score (0–100)
Smash / Tough
3 / 10
weeks favorable / tough
Playoff weeks
17
Wk 15–17 outlook
W1 @ SEAW2 vs PITW3 @ JAXW4 @ BUFW5 vs LVW6 vs NYJW7 @ CHIW8 @ MIAW9 vs GBW10 @ DETW11 · BYEW12 @ LACW13 vs BUFW14 vs MINW15 @ KCW16 @ NYJW17 vs DENW18 vs MIA

Each week grades A.J. Brown's opponent by the fantasy points that defense allowed to his position (2025), tiered Smash → Avoid. A transparent Balladex model estimate; see the full weekly matchups grid.

Injury history

Weekly injury reports · nflverse
Injury episodes
19
since 2019
Games missed
7
listed Out
Lower-body
15
ankle / knee / soft-tissue
Concussions
0
head, reported
Most recent reports
2025 Wk17 · Teeth2025 Wk10 · Hamstring2025 Wk8 · Hamstring (Out)2024 Wk21 · Knee2024 Wk20 · Knee2024 Wk19 · Knee

Home surface: fieldturf (artificial turf). Artificial turf is associated with higher rates of non-contact lower-body injuries — ankle, foot and knee — in NFL studies. It is not linked to concussion risk, which is contact-driven.

Real weekly injury-report history (game-status designations, most recent 7 seasons). Rest days and load-management designations are excluded.

More New England Patriots players

Al'zillion HamiltonAl'zillion HamiltonAndy BorregalesAndy BorregalesBehren MortonBehren MortonBenton WhitleyBenton WhitleyBrandon CrossleyBrandon CrossleyBrenden SchoolerBrenden SchoolerCDCameron DornerCameron LatuCameron Latu

A.J. Brown head-to-head

A.J. Brown vs Odell Beckham Jr.A.J. Brown vs DJ MooreA.J. Brown vs Ja'Marr ChaseA.J. Brown vs CeeDee LambA.J. Brown vs Justin JeffersonA.J. Brown vs Chris Godwin Jr.

Other Wide Receivers to compare

JRJerry RiceA.T. PerryA.T. PerryAaron AndersonAaron AndersonAdonai MitchellAdonai MitchellAinias SmithAinias SmithAJ HenningAJ HenningAlec PierceAlec PierceAmon-Ra St. BrownAmon-Ra St. BrownAndrei IosivasAndrei IosivasAndrew ArmstrongAndrew Armstrong
All NFL players →New England Patriots roster →Compare players →#99 modern-era →Best Wide Receivers since 2005 →