BALLADEX
The Index · Live

Aaron Jones Sr.Minnesota Vikings · #33

Running Back · 5' 10", 208 lbs · El Paso, TX · Age 32
Minnesota Vikings rosterMore Running Backs
MVP race · #5Running Back rank · #1Balladex Impact · 50
⚖ Quick compare
Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex
A
◆ Mythic
Minnesota Vikings · #33 · Running Back
Aaron Jones Sr.
Season avg— · no NBA seasons yet — prospect
Career avg— · career line pending debut
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
Scouting report

Aaron Jones Sr. — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Running Back · Rotation piece · Impact 50
Aaron Jones Sr. is a Running Back for the Minnesota Vikings, drafted 182nd overall, 2017. In 2025 he ran for 548 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns, addin
C-
Offense
C-
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
Act II

Where he stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
✦ Balladex Consensus: #5 of 903 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
0%MVP odds
50Impact index
13Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

The engine

How the model sees him

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season  confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 0-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified
Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Closest comps
⚖ Overlay a rival →
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Minnesota Vikings built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

49–33proj record
#5conf seed
+3.1net rtg
115.6off rtg
112.5def rtg
89%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Aaron Jones Sr., Ben Yurosek.
How his role moves
Projected 49–33, 5th in the conference. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
50 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Mythic
Rank #5 of 903 in NFL.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1994-12-02

The beginning

Aaron Jones Sr.

Minnesota Vikings

Turning pro

Drafted 182nd overall, 2017 as a Running Back.

Where things stand

Aaron Jones Sr.

▶
▶
Sr.'s story
The documentary, narrated
Highlights
▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables
Active
Height
5' 10"
Weight
208 lbs
Draft
182nd overall, 2017
Born
El Paso, TX
Age
32
Jersey
#33
Aaron Jones Sr. career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Aaron Jones Sr.

More Minnesota Vikings players

BYBen YurosekBNBryson NesbitCWCarson WentzDCDemond ClaiborneDBDillon BellDFDontae FlemingGBGavin BartholomewJMJ.J. McCarthy

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