The Index · Live

Aaron Jones Sr. Minnesota Vikings · #33

Running Back · 5' 10", 208 lbs · El Paso, TX · Age 32

Aaron Jones Sr. is a Running Back for the Minnesota Vikings, drafted 182nd overall, 2017. In 2026 he ran for 297 rushing yards and 1 touchdowns, adding 9 receptions.

Running BackDrafted 182nd overall10-yr veteran
⚖ Quick compare
A
Aaron Jones Sr.
⬢ Rare
Minnesota Vikings · #33 · Running Back
Aaron Jones Sr.
Season avg297 rush yds · 1 td · 9 rec
Career avg7,923 rush yds · 53 td · 360 rec
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
297rush yds
1td
9rec
LADDER#75 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXAaron Jones Sr. · Minnesota VikingsLADDER#75 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXAaron Jones Sr. · Minnesota Vikings
Scouting report

Aaron Jones Sr. — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

A-
Running Back · Rotation piece · Impact 50
Aaron Jones Sr. is a Running Back for the Minnesota Vikings, drafted 182nd overall, 2017. In 2026 he ran for 297 rushing yards and 1 touchdowns, addin
A
Rushing
A
Receiving
B
Scoring
A
Rushing volume
Elite · offense
tap for the data ↓
B
Scoring
Excellent · offense
tap for the data ↓
A-
Receiving
Excellent · offense
tap for the data ↓
A
All-purpose
Elite · offense
tap for the data ↓
B+
Volume share
Excellent · offense
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Aaron Jones Sr. stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬
29%
2
Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬
23%
3
Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬
22%
4
Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬
11%
5
Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬
9%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #36 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
50Impact index
899Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Aaron Jones Sr. — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

A+
Rushing
297 YDS
drill in ↓
A
Scoring
1 TD
drill in ↓
A+
Receiving
68 YDS
drill in ↓
A+
All-purpose
365 YDS
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Aaron Jones Sr.

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2027  modeled
443
rush yds
106–779
2
td
0–3
19
rec
2–36
143
rec yds
7–279
9
games
4–14
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 10-season history below.
What moves the rush yds line vs last season
Last season 297 → projected 443 rush yds
Baseline (recency-weighted)
+223.8
Age curve
-78.1
Net vs last season+145.7 rush yds
Everything it reads
📊
10 seasons of real box production
every game line, verified
real
⚖
Recency × games weight
recent, healthy years anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Year-over-year trend
his own trajectory, season to season
+dev
🕰
Position aging curve
age 32 — applied to the projection
curve
🏈
Role & usage context
target / carry share and snaps fold in
+ctx
🏥
Availability signal
games last 3: 17 / 12 / 4
health
The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Aaron Jones Sr. career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGRushTDRecRec ydsScrim
2017124484922470
201812728826206934
2019161,08416494741558
2020141,1049473551459
2021157994523911190
2022171,1212593951516
202311656230233889
2024171,1385514081546
202512548228199747
2026 in progress · 4 games42971968365
Career1307,923533602,75110,674
Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.
Context

Are the Minnesota Vikings built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

11–6proj record
90off index
76def index
+32net
80%playoff odds
63roster
Roster delta · what changed
Offense grades A (90), defense B- (76) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 84, pass rush 53, coverage 99.
How his role moves
Projected 11–6 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
50 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rare
Rank #64 of 2316 in NFL.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad of Aaron Jones Sr.

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1994-12-02

The beginning

Aaron Jones Sr.

Minnesota Vikings

Turning pro

Drafted 182nd overall, 2017 as a Running Back.

true

Aaron Jones Sr. is a Minnesota Vikings running back, drafted 182nd overall, 2017.

Chapter

Across 10 seasons (2017–2026) he has rushed for 7,923 yards and 53 touchdowns and caught 360 passes.

Chapter

Most recently he ran for 297 yards with 1 touchdown and added 9 receptions in 2026.

Off the field

Measurables
Active
Height
5' 10"
Weight
208 lbs
Draft
182nd overall, 2017
Born
El Paso, TX
Age
32
Jersey
#33
Background

Aaron Jones Sr. is from El Paso, TX and is 32 years old. He was drafted 182nd overall, 2017 and plays running back at 5' 10", 208 lbs.

Over 10 seasons (2017–2026) he has run for 7,923 yards and 53 touchdowns while adding 360 catches. Jones is currently on the Minnesota Vikings roster.

The person

Aaron Jones Sr. is a featured every-down back who has amassed 10,674 scrimmage yards and 53 rushing touchdowns over 10 seasons (2017–2026).

Rushing7,923 career rushing yards and 53 touchdowns.
Receiving back360 receptions for 2,751 yards out of the backfield.
Best seasonRan for 1,138 yards in 2024.
Draft pedigree182nd overall, 2017.
Durability130 career games played.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Aaron Jones Sr. — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Aaron Jones Sr., answered.

What position does Aaron Jones Sr. play?
Aaron Jones Sr. is a Running Back for the Minnesota Vikings.
When was Aaron Jones Sr. drafted?
Aaron Jones Sr. was drafted 182nd overall, 2017.
How many seasons has Aaron Jones Sr. played?
10 (2017–2026).
What are Aaron Jones Sr.'s career stats?
He has rushed for 7,923 yards and 53 touchdowns and caught 360 passes.
Aaron Jones Sr. career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Aaron Jones Sr.

Current role & opportunity

Usage last season · depth chart current · nflverse
Depth chart
RB1
listed starter
Snap share
70%
of offensive snaps
Target share
15%
WOPR 0.22
Rush share
62%
of team carries
Listed as the starter (RB1) on the current depth chartWorkhorse back: 62% of team carries

This role & opportunity data feeds the model's competition-aware projection — snap and target share from last season, depth-chart rank from the current roster.

Weekly matchups

Fantasy points allowed by position · 2026 schedule · Balladex
Next matchup
vs GB
Week 1 · Smash
Season outlook
61
avg matchup score (0–100)
Smash / Tough
7 / 5
weeks favorable / tough
Playoff weeks
51
Wk 15–17 outlook
W1 vs GBW2 @ CHIW3 @ TBW4 vs MIAW5 @ NOW6 · BYEW7 vs INDW8 @ DETW9 vs BUFW10 @ GBW11 @ SFW12 vs ATLW13 vs CARW14 @ NEW15 vs DETW16 vs WASW17 @ NYJW18 vs CHI

Each week grades Aaron Jones Sr.'s opponent by the fantasy points that defense allowed to his position (2025), tiered Smash → Avoid. A transparent Balladex model estimate; see the full weekly matchups grid.

Injury history

Weekly injury reports · nflverse
Injury episodes
23
since 2017
Games missed
8
listed Out
Lower-body
17
ankle / knee / soft-tissue
Concussions
0
head, reported
Most recent reports
2026 Wk3 · Knee2025 Wk18 · Hip (Out)2025 Wk17 · Ankle2025 Wk15 · Shoulder2025 Wk14 · Shoulder2025 Wk12 · Shoulder

Home surface: sportturf (artificial turf). Artificial turf is associated with higher rates of non-contact lower-body injuries — ankle, foot and knee — in NFL studies. It is not linked to concussion risk, which is contact-driven.

Real weekly injury-report history (game-status designations, most recent 9 seasons). Rest days and load-management designations are excluded.

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Aaron Jones Sr. head-to-head

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