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The Index · Live

Jessie Bates IIIAtlanta Falcons · #3

Safety · 6' 1", 210 lbs · Fort Wayne, IN · Age 29
Atlanta Falcons rosterMore Safetys
SafetyDrafted 54th overall8-yr veteran
⚖ Quick compare
Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex
J
Jessie Bates III
◆ Rated
Atlanta Falcons · #3 · Safety
Jessie Bates III
Season avg98 tkl · 0 sacks · 3 int
Career avg810 tkl · 1 sacks · 27 int
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
Scouting report

Jessie Bates III — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Safety · Rotation piece · Impact 50
Jessie Bates III is a Safety for the Atlanta Falcons, drafted 54th overall, 2018. In 2025 he recorded 98 tackles and 3 interceptions.
C-
Offense
C-
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
Act II

Where he stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
✦ Balladex Consensus: #320 of 2270 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
50Impact index
25Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

The engine

How the model sees him

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season  confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 8-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified
Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Closest comps
⚖ Overlay a rival →
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Atlanta Falcons built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

47–35proj record
#6conf seed
+2.2net rtg
115off rtg
112.9def rtg
81%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: A.J. Terrell Jr., A.J. Woods.
How his role moves
Projected 47–35, 6th in the conference. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
50 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1997-02-26

The beginning

Jessie Bates III is a Safety for the Atlanta Falcons, in his 9th NFL season.

Atlanta Falcons

Turning pro

Drafted 54th overall, 2018 as a Safety.

true

Jessie Bates III is a Atlanta Falcons safety, drafted 54th overall, 2018.

Chapter

Across 8 seasons (2018–2025) he has recorded 810 tackles, 1 sacks and 27 interceptions.

Chapter

Most recently he posted 98 tackles, 0 sacks and 3 interceptions in 2025.

▶
▶
III's story
The documentary, narrated
Highlights
▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables
Active
Height
6' 1"
Weight
210 lbs
Draft
54th overall, 2018
Born
Fort Wayne, IN
Age
29
Jersey
#3
Jessie Bates III career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Jessie Bates III

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