BALLADEX
The Index · Live

Justin ReidNew Orleans Saints · #21

Safety · 6' 1", 207 lbs · Prairieville, LA · Age 29
New Orleans Saints rosterMore Safetys
SafetyDrafted 68th overall8-yr veteran
⚖ Quick compare
Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex
J
Justin Reid
◆ Rated
New Orleans Saints · #21 · Safety
Justin Reid
Season avg72 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1 int
Career avg652 tkl · 6.5 sacks · 11 int
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
Scouting report

Justin Reid — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Safety · Rotation piece · Impact 50
Justin Reid is a Safety for the New Orleans Saints, drafted 68th overall, 2018. In 2025 he recorded 72 tackles, 0.5 sacks and 1 interceptions.
C-
Offense
C-
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
Act II

Where he stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
✦ Balladex Consensus: #348 of 2270 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
50Impact index
25Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

The engine

How the model sees him

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season  confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 8-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified
Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Closest comps
⚖ Overlay a rival →
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the New Orleans Saints built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

15–67proj record
-42.5net index
50off index
8def index
94pace
Aggressive hedge & helpscheme
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Defensive anchors: Alvin Kamara, Anfernee Jennings.
How his role moves
Primary safety role on a team grading 50 offense / 8 defense. No calibrated baseline for this team yet — record is modeled.
Balladex Impact
50 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1997-02-15

The beginning

Justin Reid is a Safety for the New Orleans Saints, in his 9th NFL season.

New Orleans Saints

Turning pro

Drafted 68th overall, 2018 as a Safety.

true

Justin Reid is a New Orleans Saints safety, drafted 68th overall, 2018.

Chapter

Across 8 seasons (2018–2025) he has recorded 652 tackles, 6.5 sacks and 11 interceptions.

Chapter

Most recently he posted 72 tackles, 0.5 sacks and 1 interceptions in 2025.

▶
▶
Reid's story
The documentary, narrated
Highlights
▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables
Active
Height
6' 1"
Weight
207 lbs
Draft
68th overall, 2018
Born
Prairieville, LA
Age
29
Jersey
#21
Justin Reid career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Justin Reid

More New Orleans Saints players

Alvin KamaraAlvin KamaraAnfernee JenningsAnfernee JenningsAudric EstimeAudric EstimeBarion BrownBarion BrownBeanie BishopBeanie BishopBrock RechsteinerBrock RechsteinerBryan BreseeBryan BreseeBryce LanceBryce Lance

Other Safetys to compare

A.J. HaulcyA.J. HaulcyAJ FinleyAJ FinleyAlex CookAlex CookAlijah ClarkAlijah ClarkAlohi GilmanAlohi GilmanAmani HookerAmani HookerAndre CiscoAndre CiscoAndre' SamAndre' SamAndrew MukubaAndrew MukubaAndrew WingardAndrew Wingard
All NFL players →New Orleans Saints roster →Compare players →