The Index · Live

Luke McCaffrey Washington Commanders · #11

Wide Receiver · 6' 2", 195 lbs · Highlands Ranch, CO · Age 25

Luke McCaffrey is a Wide Receiver for the Washington Commanders, drafted 100th overall, 2024. In 2025 he caught 11 passes for 203 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Washington Commanders roster More Wide Receivers

Wide ReceiverDrafted 100th overall2-yr veteran

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Washington Commanders · #11 · Wide Receiver

Luke McCaffrey

Season avg11 rec · 203 yds · 3 td

Career avg29 rec · 371 yds · 3 td

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

11rec

203yds

3td

LADDER#190 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXLuke McCaffrey · Washington CommandersLADDER#190 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXLuke McCaffrey · Washington Commanders

Scouting report

Luke McCaffrey — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

B-

Wide Receiver · Rotation piece · Impact 50

Luke McCaffrey is a Wide Receiver for the Washington Commanders, drafted 100th overall, 2024. In 2025 he caught 11 passes for 203 yards and 3 touchdow

C+

Receiving

Big-play

A-

Scoring

C+

Receiving yards

Strong · offense

tap for the data ↓

C+

Volume

Solid · offense

tap for the data ↓

Big-play

Elite · offense

tap for the data ↓

A-

Scoring

Excellent · offense

tap for the data ↓

Target share

Solid · offense

tap for the data ↓

Act II

Where Luke McCaffrey stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬

29%

Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬

23%

Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬

22%

Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬

11%

Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #345 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

54Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Luke McCaffrey — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

A+

Receiving

203 YDS

drill in ↓

A+

Volume

11 REC

drill in ↓

Big-play

18.5 Y/R

drill in ↓

A+

Scoring

3 TD

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Luke McCaffrey

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026 modeled

rec

11–16

195

rec yds

181–209

1–3

targets

15–22

games

8–15

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 2-season history below.

What moves the rec line vs last season

Last season 11 → projected 14 rec

Baseline (recency-weighted)

+2.3

Age curve

+0.3

Net vs last season+2.6 rec

Everything it reads

📊

2 seasons of real box production

every game line, verified

real

⚖

Recency × games weight

recent, healthy years anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Year-over-year trend

his own trajectory, season to season

+dev

🕰

Position aging curve

age 25 — applied to the projection

curve

🏈

Role & usage context

target / carry share and snaps fold in

+ctx

🏥

Availability signal

games last 3: 17 / 9

health

The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Luke McCaffrey career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	G	Rec	Yds	TD	Tgt	Y/R
2024	17	18	168	0	24	9.3
2025	9	11	203	3	15	18.5
Career	26	29	371	3	39

Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

Ryan Miller 100%Chris Moore 100%Treylon Burks 99%Marvin Harrison Jr. 99%Elic Ayomanor 99%Jahan Dotson 99%

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Context

Are the Washington Commanders built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

12–5proj record

92off index

99def index

+57net

95%playoff odds

56roster

Roster delta · what changed

Offense grades A (92), defense A+ (99) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 88, pass rush 99, coverage 99.

How his role moves

Projected 12–5 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Luke McCaffrey

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2001-04-02

The beginning

Luke McCaffrey is a Wide Receiver for the Washington Commanders, in his 3rd NFL season.

Washington Commanders

Turning pro

Drafted 100th overall, 2024 as a Wide Receiver.

true

Luke McCaffrey is a Washington Commanders wide receiver, drafted 100th overall, 2024.

Chapter

Across 2 seasons (2024–2025) he has caught 29 passes for 371 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Chapter

Most recently he caught 11 passes for 203 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2025.

▶

McCaffrey's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Luke McCaffrey kept it real 😂💯▶ McCaffrey defies all odds on field-flipping play before halftime

Off the field

Measurables

Active

Height: 6' 2"
Weight: 195 lbs
Draft: 100th overall, 2024
Born: Highlands Ranch, CO
Age: 25
Jersey: #11

Background

Luke McCaffrey is from Highlands Ranch, CO and is 25 years old. He was drafted 100th overall, 2024 and plays wide receiver at 6' 2", 195 lbs.

Over 2 seasons (2024–2025) he has caught 29 passes for 371 yards and 3 touchdowns. McCaffrey is currently on the Washington Commanders roster.

The person

Luke McCaffrey is a depth receiver who has caught 29 passes for 371 yards and 3 touchdowns across 2 seasons (2024–2025).

Receiving29 career catches, 371 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Best season11 catches for 203 yards in 2025.

Yards per catch12.8 yards per reception over his career.

Draft pedigree100th overall, 2024.

Verified profiles & sources

ESPN ESPN ESPN

FAQ

Luke McCaffrey — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Luke McCaffrey, answered.

What position does Luke McCaffrey play?

Luke McCaffrey is a Wide Receiver for the Washington Commanders.

When was Luke McCaffrey drafted?

Luke McCaffrey was drafted 100th overall, 2024.

How many seasons has Luke McCaffrey played?

2 (2024–2025).

What are Luke McCaffrey's career stats?

He has caught 29 passes for 371 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Luke McCaffrey career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Luke McCaffrey Washington Commanders · #11

Luke McCaffrey — the report card

Where Luke McCaffrey stands

Luke McCaffrey — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Luke McCaffrey

Luke McCaffrey career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Washington Commanders built to win?

The Ballad of Luke McCaffrey

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Chapter

Off the field

Luke McCaffrey — frequently asked

Current role & opportunity

Weekly matchups

Injury history

More Washington Commanders players

Luke McCaffrey head-to-head

Other Wide Receivers to compare