The Index · Live

Sam MerrillCleveland Cavaliers · #5

Guard · 6'4", 205 lb · Bountiful, Utah · Age 30 · 6th season

Sam Merrill is a sharpshooting guard for the Cleveland Cavaliers — the last pick of the 2020 NBA Draft who turned into a valuable floor-spacer. A Utah State legend who hit a famous buzzer-beater and won Mountain West Player of the Year, he carved out an NBA career on elite three-point shooting, hitting over 40% from deep as a key Cleveland bench weapon.

MVP race · #177Guard rank · #91Balladex Impact · 56
⚖ Quick compare
S
Sam Merrill
◆ Rated
Cleveland Cavaliers · #5 · Guard
Sam Merrill
Season avg12.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 2.4 ast · .461 fg
Career avg8.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.7 ast · .421 fg
Live win probabilityBulls 56%
Balladex model · projected 120–119 · 100.2 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
14.5pts
2.7reb
2.6ast
44%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Sam Merrill
Cleveland Cavaliers · Guard
C
vs
82
Isaac Okoro
Chicago Bulls · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#177 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 56 — Rotation piece tierINDEXSam Merrill · Cleveland CavaliersLADDER#177 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 56 — Rotation piece tierINDEXSam Merrill · Cleveland Cavaliers
Scouting report

Sam Merrill — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Floor-Spacer · Sharpshooter · Impact 56
Sam Merrill is a sharpshooting guard for the Cleveland Cavaliers — the last pick of the 2020 NBA Draft who turned into a valuable floor-spacer. A Utah
C
Offense
D
Defense
C
Feel / IQ
C-
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C
Scoring
Average scorer
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F
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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B-
3PT / spacing
Strong spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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C+
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Sam Merrill stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #227 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
56Impact index
117Star score
Career scoring average8.0 ppg
Seasons in the index6
Accolades on file1
1× Mountain West Player of the Year (2020)
Stat explorer

Sam Merrill — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C
Scoring
12.8 PPG
drill in ↓
C-
Playmaking
2.4 APG
drill in ↓
F
Rebounding
2.6 RPG
drill in ↓
B-
Shooting
.421 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Sam Merrill

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  72% confidence
14.2
pts
12.1–16.3
2.6
reb
1.8–3.4
2.6
ast
1.9–3.3
28.4
min
proj
60
gp
health
.426
fg%
~base
.395
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 6-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 12.8 → projected 14.2 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.9
Development (his trend)
+0.2
Age curve
-0.1
Live context
+0.3
Net vs last season+1.4 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
6 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 30 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 61 / 71 / 52 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Sam Merrill career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2020-21307.83.01.00.7.444.447
2021-2269.74.21.20.7.333.304
2022-23511.85.01.81.0.409.278
2023-246117.58.02.01.8.402.404
2024-257119.77.22.21.5.406.372
2025-265226.512.82.62.4.461.421
Career22518.68.02.01.7
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Cleveland Cavaliers built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

52–30proj record
#5conf seed
+4.4net rtg
118.4off rtg
114def rtg
96%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley.
How his role moves
Projected 52–30, 5th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
56 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
1 accolades
1× Mountain West Player of the Year (2020)
Act IV

The Ballad of Sam Merrill

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

May 15, 1996

The beginning

The last pick of his draft who became a knockdown shooter — Cleveland's bench sniper.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Turning pro

Drafted 60th overall, 2020 as a Guard.

true

The very last pick of his draft — who shot his way into an NBA rotation.

Chapter

A Utah State legend, Merrill won Mountain West Player of the Year and hit a famous buzzer-beater before being drafted 60th — 'Mr. Irrelevant' — in 2020.

Chapter

He found a home in Cleveland as a floor-spacing specialist, shooting over 40% from three.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 4"
Weight
205 lbs
College
Utah State
Experience
6th Season
NBA debut
2020
Draft
60th overall, 2020
Born
Bountiful, Utah
Age
30
Jersey
#5
Beyond the game

Merrill's story is a testament to a single elite skill: shooting. As the very last pick of the 2020 draft, he faced long odds, but a Utah State career defined by clutch shot-making — including one of the more memorable buzzer-beaters in recent Mountain West history — foreshadowed an NBA niche as a marksman.

His identity is spacing and shot-making. On a Cleveland team with two lead scorers and a veteran playmaker, Merrill's job is to relocate, catch, and fire — and he does it at a high enough clip to stay in the rotation, the classic modern value of a specialist who does one thing exceptionally well.

The person

A pure catch-and-shoot marksman — the last-pick underdog who bends defenses.

Elite shooterOver 40% from three on real volume as a bench weapon.
Clutch pedigreeA famous buzzer-beater and Mountain West Player of the Year at Utah State.
UnderdogThe 60th and final pick of the 2020 draft who carved out a career.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Sam Merrill — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Sam Merrill, answered.

Was Sam Merrill the last pick of his draft?
Yes — he was the 60th and final pick of the 2020 NBA Draft, 'Mr. Irrelevant,' and turned into a valuable 40%-plus three-point shooter.
What is Sam Merrill known for?
Elite catch-and-shoot three-point shooting off the bench; in college he won Mountain West Player of the Year and hit a famous buzzer-beater at Utah State.
Sam Merrill career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Sam Merrill

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
47%
6 seasons
Last 3 seasons
75%
62 games missed
Games missed
257
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
improving
Availability by season
30
20-21
6
21-22
5
22-23
61
23-24
71
24-25
52
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is improving75% of games over the last three seasons, low of 6% in 2022-23.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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