The Index · Live

John BatesWashington Commanders · #87

Tight End · 6' 6", 256 lbs · Lebanon, OR · Age 29

Washington Commanders roster More Tight Ends

MVP race · #463Tight End rank · #103Balladex Impact · 50

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Washington Commanders · #87 · Tight End

John Bates

Season avg— · no NBA seasons yet — prospect

Career avg— · career line pending debut

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

Scouting report

John Bates — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-

Tight End · Rotation piece · Impact 50

John Bates is a Tight End for the Washington Commanders, drafted 124th overall, 2021. In 2025 he caught 11 passes for 103 yards and 1 touchdowns.

C-

Offense

C-

Defense

C-

Feel / IQ

Act II

Where he stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

✦ Balladex Consensus: #463 of 903 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

13Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

The engine

How the model sees him

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season confidence

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 0-season history below.

What moves the points line vs last season

Everything it reads

The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.

EraLab · the stat time machinenovel

Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.

—raw PPG

→

—in 2026 pace

why

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart

Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.

Role simulatorpowered by GM engine

Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.

If a key teammate misses 20 games →

Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.

Context

Are the Washington Commanders built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

15–67proj record

-42.5net index

50off index

8def index

94pace

Aggressive hedge & helpscheme

Roster delta · what changed

Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Defensive anchors: Anthony Firkser, Antonio Williams.

How his role moves

Primary tight end role on a team grading 50 offense / 8 defense. No calibrated baseline for this team yet — record is modeled.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1997-11-06

The beginning

John Bates is a Tight End for the Washington Commanders, in his 6th NFL season.

Washington Commanders

Turning pro

Drafted 124th overall, 2021 as a Tight End.

Where things stand

John Bates is a Tight End for the Washington Commanders, drafted 124th overall, 2021.

▶

Bates's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables

Active

Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 256 lbs
Draft: 124th overall, 2021
Born: Lebanon, OR
Age: 29
Jersey: #87

John Bates career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.