The Index · Live

Luke MusgraveGreen Bay Packers · #88

Tight End · 6' 6", 253 lbs · Bend, OR · Age 26

Green Bay Packers roster More Tight Ends

MVP race · #599Tight End rank · #130Balladex Impact · 50

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Green Bay Packers · #88 · Tight End

Luke Musgrave

Season avg— · no NBA seasons yet — prospect

Career avg— · career line pending debut

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

Scouting report

Luke Musgrave — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-

Tight End · Rotation piece · Impact 50

Luke Musgrave is a Tight End for the Green Bay Packers, drafted 42nd overall, 2023. In 2025 he caught 24 passes for 252 yards and 0 touchdowns.

C-

Offense

C-

Defense

C-

Feel / IQ

Act II

Where he stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

✦ Balladex Consensus: #599 of 903 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

13Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

The engine

How the model sees him

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season confidence

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 0-season history below.

What moves the points line vs last season

Everything it reads

The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.

EraLab · the stat time machinenovel

Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.

—raw PPG

→

—in 2026 pace

why

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart

Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.

Role simulatorpowered by GM engine

Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.

If a key teammate misses 20 games →

Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.

Context

Are the Green Bay Packers built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

15–67proj record

-42.5net index

50off index

8def index

94pace

Aggressive hedge & helpscheme

Roster delta · what changed

Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Defensive anchors: Bo Melton, Brenden Rice.

How his role moves

Primary tight end role on a team grading 50 offense / 8 defense. No calibrated baseline for this team yet — record is modeled.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2000-09-02

The beginning

Luke Musgrave is a Tight End for the Green Bay Packers, in his 4th NFL season.

Green Bay Packers

Turning pro

Drafted 42nd overall, 2023 as a Tight End.

Where things stand

Luke Musgrave is a Tight End for the Green Bay Packers, drafted 42nd overall, 2023.

▶

Musgrave's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables

Active

Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 253 lbs
Draft: 42nd overall, 2023
Born: Bend, OR
Age: 26
Jersey: #88

Luke Musgrave career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.