The Index · Live

Nathan CarterAtlanta Falcons · #38

Running Back · 5' 10", 202 lbs · Rochester, NY · Age 24

Atlanta Falcons roster More Running Backs

MVP race · #673Running Back rank · #143Balladex Impact · 50

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Atlanta Falcons · #38 · Running Back

Nathan Carter

Season avg— · no NBA seasons yet — prospect

Career avg— · career line pending debut

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

Scouting report

Nathan Carter — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-

Running Back · Rotation piece · Impact 50

Nathan Carter is a Running Back for the Atlanta Falcons, an undrafted signing. In 2025 he ran for 60 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns.

C-

Offense

C-

Defense

C-

Feel / IQ

Act II

Where he stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

✦ Balladex Consensus: #673 of 903 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

13Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

The engine

How the model sees him

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season confidence

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 0-season history below.

What moves the points line vs last season

Everything it reads

The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.

EraLab · the stat time machinenovel

Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.

—raw PPG

→

—in 2026 pace

why

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart

Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.

Role simulatorpowered by GM engine

Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.

If a key teammate misses 20 games →

Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.

Context

Are the Atlanta Falcons built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

47–35proj record

#6conf seed

+2.2net rtg

115off rtg

112.9def rtg

81%playoff odds

Roster delta · what changed

Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Austin Hooper, Bijan Robinson.

How his role moves

Projected 47–35, 6th in the conference. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2002-05-22

The beginning

Nathan Carter is a Running Back for the Atlanta Falcons, in his 2nd NFL season.

Where things stand

Nathan Carter is a Running Back for the Atlanta Falcons, an undrafted signing.

▶

Carter's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables

Active

Height: 5' 10"
Weight: 202 lbs
Born: Rochester, NY
Age: 24
Jersey: #38

Nathan Carter career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.