The Index · Live

Zaire Mitchell-Paden Houston Texans · #84

Tight End · 6' 5", 257 lbs · Rockville, MD · Age 27

Zaire Mitchell-Paden is a Tight End for the Houston Texans, an undrafted signing. In 2025 he caught 1 passes for 3 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Tight EndUndrafted1-yr veteran
⚖ Quick compare
Z
Zaire Mitchell-Paden
◆ Rated
Houston Texans · #84 · Tight End
Zaire Mitchell-Paden
Season avg1 rec · 3 yds · 0 td
Career avg1 rec · 3 yds · 0 td
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
1rec
3yds
0td
LADDER#354 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXZaire Mitchell-Paden · Houston TexansLADDER#354 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXZaire Mitchell-Paden · Houston Texans
Scouting report

Zaire Mitchell-Paden — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

D
Tight End · Rotation piece · Impact 50
Zaire Mitchell-Paden is a Tight End for the Houston Texans, an undrafted signing. In 2025 he caught 1 passes for 3 yards and 0 touchdowns.
D
Receiving
D
Big-play
C-
Scoring
D
Receiving yards
Average · offense
tap for the data ↓
D
Volume
Average · offense
tap for the data ↓
C-
Scoring
Solid · offense
tap for the data ↓
D
Big-play
Average · offense
tap for the data ↓
D
Target share
Average · offense
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Zaire Mitchell-Paden stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬
29%
2
Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬
23%
3
Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬
22%
4
Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬
11%
5
Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬
9%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #1354 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
50Impact index
2Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Zaire Mitchell-Paden — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C-
Receiving
3 YDS
drill in ↓
C+
Volume
1 REC
drill in ↓
D
Big-play
3.0 Y/R
drill in ↓
C-
Scoring
0 TD
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Zaire Mitchell-Paden

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026  modeled
1
rec
1–1
3
rec yds
3–3
0
td
0–0
2
targets
2–2
6
games
6–6
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 1-season history below.
What moves the rec line vs last season
Last season 1 → projected 1 rec
Baseline (recency-weighted)
+0.0
Age curve
+0.0
Net vs last season+0.0 rec
Everything it reads
📊
1 seasons of real box production
every game line, verified
real
⚖
Recency × games weight
recent, healthy years anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Year-over-year trend
his own trajectory, season to season
+dev
🕰
Position aging curve
age 27 — applied to the projection
curve
🏈
Role & usage context
target / carry share and snaps fold in
+ctx
🏥
Availability signal
games last 3: 6
health
The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Zaire Mitchell-Paden career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGRecYdsTDTgtY/R
2025613023.0
Career61302
Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.
Context

Are the Houston Texans built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

12–5proj record
83off index
99def index
+48net
95%playoff odds
65roster
Roster delta · what changed
Offense grades B+ (83), defense A+ (99) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 73, pass rush 99, coverage 99.
How his role moves
Projected 12–5 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
50 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad of Zaire Mitchell-Paden

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1999-08-20

The beginning

Zaire Mitchell-Paden is a Tight End for the Houston Texans, in his 2nd NFL season.

true

Zaire Mitchell-Paden is a Houston Texans tight end, an undrafted find.

Chapter

Across 1 season (2025) he has caught 1 pass for 3 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Chapter

Most recently he caught 1 pass for 3 yards and 0 touchdowns in 2025.

Where things stand

Where Mitchell-Paden goes from here.

▶
▶
Mitchell-Paden's story
The documentary, narrated
Highlights
▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the field

Measurables
Active
Height
6' 5"
Weight
257 lbs
Born
Rockville, MD
Age
27
Jersey
#84
Background

Zaire Mitchell-Paden is from Rockville, MD and is 27 years old. He entered the NFL as an undrafted free agent and plays tight end at 6' 5", 257 lbs.

Over his 2025 season he has caught 1 passes for 3 yards and 0 touchdowns. Mitchell-Paden is currently on the Houston Texans roster.

The person

Zaire Mitchell-Paden is a blocking and depth tight end who has caught 1 passes for 3 yards and 0 touchdowns across his 2025 rookie season.

Receiving1 career receptions for 3 yards and 0 touchdowns.
Best season1 catches for 3 yards in 2025.
UndraftedEarned a roster spot after going undrafted.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Zaire Mitchell-Paden — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Zaire Mitchell-Paden, answered.

What position does Zaire Mitchell-Paden play?
Zaire Mitchell-Paden is a Tight End for the Houston Texans.
When was Zaire Mitchell-Paden drafted?
Zaire Mitchell-Paden entered the NFL as an undrafted free agent.
How many seasons has Zaire Mitchell-Paden played?
1 (2025).
What are Zaire Mitchell-Paden's career stats?
He has caught 1 pass for 3 yards and 0 touchdowns.
Zaire Mitchell-Paden career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Zaire Mitchell-Paden

Current role & opportunity

Usage last season · depth chart current · nflverse
Depth chart
TE4
behind the starter

This role & opportunity data feeds the model's competition-aware projection — snap and target share from last season, depth-chart rank from the current roster.

Weekly matchups

Fantasy points allowed by position · 2026 schedule · Balladex
Next matchup
vs BUF
Week 1 · Neutral
Season outlook
44
avg matchup score (0–100)
Smash / Tough
2 / 9
weeks favorable / tough
Playoff weeks
24
Wk 15–17 outlook
W1 vs BUFW2 vs CINW3 @ INDW4 vs DALW5 @ TENW6 @ JAXW7 vs NYGW8 · BYEW9 @ LACW10 @ CLEW11 vs INDW12 vs BALW13 @ PITW14 @ WASW15 vs JAXW16 @ PHIW17 @ GBW18 vs TEN

Each week grades Zaire Mitchell-Paden's opponent by the fantasy points that defense allowed to his position (2025), tiered Smash → Avoid. A transparent Balladex model estimate; see the full weekly matchups grid.

Injury history

Weekly injury reports · nflverse
Injury episodes
2
since 2025
Games missed
1
listed Out
Lower-body
2
ankle / knee / soft-tissue
Concussions
0
head, reported
Most recent reports
2025 Wk18 · Ankle2025 Wk17 · Knee (Out)2025 Wk16 · Knee (Questionable)

Home surface: astroturf (artificial turf). Artificial turf is associated with higher rates of non-contact lower-body injuries — ankle, foot and knee — in NFL studies. It is not linked to concussion risk, which is contact-driven.

Real weekly injury-report history (game-status designations, most recent 1 seasons). Rest days and load-management designations are excluded.

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Zaire Mitchell-Paden head-to-head

Zaire Mitchell-Paden vs Carter RunyonZaire Mitchell-Paden vs Drake DabneyZaire Mitchell-Paden vs Moliki MatavaoZaire Mitchell-Paden vs Ben YurosekZaire Mitchell-Paden vs Jaheim BellZaire Mitchell-Paden vs Jared Wiley

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