The Index · Live

Braden Smith Indiana Pacers · #18

Guard · 6'4", 190 lb · Purdue

Braden Smith is a guard the Chicago Bulls selected 38th overall (second round) in the 2026 NBA draft out of Purdue. An incoming rookie for 2026-27 — projected role, ratings and outlook.

MVP race · #306Guard rank · #163Balladex Impact · 37
⚖ Quick compare
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Braden Smith
◆ Rated
Indiana Pacers · #18 · Guard
Braden Smith
Season avg— · no NBA seasons yet — prospect
Career avg— · career line pending debut
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
0.0pts
0.0reb
0.0ast
LADDER#306 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 37 — Role player tierINDEXBraden Smith · Indiana PacersLADDER#306 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 37 — Role player tierINDEXBraden Smith · Indiana Pacers
Scouting report

Braden Smith — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

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Depth guard prospect · Impact 37
Braden Smith is a guard the Chicago Bulls selected 38th overall (second round) in the 2026 NBA draft out of Purdue. An incoming rookie for 2026-27 — p
F
Offense
F
Defense
F
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
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F
Scoring
Below average scorer
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F
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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F
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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F
Perimeter D
Below average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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F
Clutch
Below average late
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D
Athleticism
Below average tools
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F
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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C
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Braden Smith stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets▬
43%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat▬
23%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder▬
19%
4
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers▬
7%
5
Joel Embiid Philadelphia 76ers▬
2%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #356 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
37Impact index
64Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file1
#38 2026 Draft pick (R2)
Stat explorer

Braden Smith — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

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Scoring
0.0 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
0.0 APG
drill in ↓
F
Rebounding
0.0 RPG
drill in ↓
F
Shooting
— 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Braden Smith

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season  confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 0-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
📊
0 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
⚖
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age — — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: — → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Braden Smith career stats, season by season

Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Indiana Pacers built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

21–61proj record
#13conf seed
-7.6net rtg
110.2off rtg
117.8def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Ivica Zubac, Andrew Nembhard.
How his role moves
Projected 21–61, 13th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
37 of 99
Role player tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
1 accolades
#38 2026 Draft pick (R2)
Act IV

The Ballad of Braden Smith

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

The beginning

Braden Smith is a 2026 second-round guard for the Chicago Bulls.

Indiana Pacers

Turning pro

Drafted 38th overall, 2026 as a Guard.

true

Braden Smith was a second-round pick (38th overall) in the 2026 NBA draft, headed to the Chicago Bulls out of Purdue.

Chapter

He has not played an NBA game yet — his debut comes in 2026-27, so this page carries projections only.

Where things stand

A second-round guard who debuts in 2026-27.

▶
▶
Smith's story
The documentary, narrated
Highlights
▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
5' 10"
Weight
167 lbs
College
Purdue
Experience
Rookie
Draft
38th overall, 2026
Born
Purdue
Jersey
#18
Beyond the game

Smith joins the Chicago Bulls as a 2026 second-round pick out of Purdue.

The person

A 2026 second-round guard out of Purdue.

Incoming
Second round
Purdue
FAQ

Braden Smith — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Braden Smith, answered.

Where was Braden Smith drafted?
Braden Smith was selected 38th overall (second round) by the Chicago Bulls in the 2026 NBA draft, out of Purdue.
Does Smith have NBA stats yet?
The identity and draft facts are real; the ratings and outlook are Balladex projections, since he debuts in 2026-27.
Braden Smith career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Braden Smith

The desk on Braden Smith

All reports →
InjuryOct 12, 2026Medium confidence
Braden Smith downgraded to out vs. Titans, and Oct. 18 is a chance, not a return date
The foot injury that opened his season on injured reserve has now cost him another week, and the dossier names no one to cover the absence.

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Braden Smith head-to-head

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