The Index · Live

Jonas ValančiūnasDenver Nuggets · #17

Center · 6'11", 265 lb · Utena, Lithuania · Age 34 · 14th season

Jonas Valančiūnas is a bruising veteran center for the Denver Nuggets and one of the most accomplished Lithuanian players ever. Drafted 5th overall by Toronto in 2011, he's a relentless rebounder and interior scorer across stops in Toronto, Memphis, New Orleans, Washington, and Sacramento before joining Denver in 2025. A seven-time Lithuanian Player of the Year and two-time EuroBasket silver medalist, he gives Denver rugged minutes behind Jokić.

MVP race · #208Center rank · #48Balladex Impact · 56
⚖ Quick compare
J
Jonas Valančiūnas
◆ Rated
Denver Nuggets · #17 · Center
Jonas Valančiūnas
Season avg8.7 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.2 ast · .582 fg
Career avg12.8 pts · 9.1 reb · 1.4 ast · .562 fg
Live win probabilityNuggets 52%
Balladex model · projected 118–118 · 99.5 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
8.3pts
4.7reb
1.2ast
52%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Jonas Valančiūnas
Denver Nuggets · Center
D
vs
78
Isaiah Hartenstein
Oklahoma City Thunder · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#208 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 56 — Rotation piece tierNEWSNuggets add veterans Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valančiūnas, and Tyus JonesLADDER#208 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 56 — Rotation piece tierNEWSNuggets add veterans Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valančiūnas, and Tyus Jones
Scouting report

Jonas Valančiūnas — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Backup Big · Interior Vet · Impact 56
Jonas Valančiūnas is a bruising veteran center for the Denver Nuggets and one of the most accomplished Lithuanian players ever. Drafted 5th overall by
D
Offense
C
Defense
D
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C+
Scoring
Average scorer
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B+
Rebounding
Excellent on the glass
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F
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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D
Perimeter D
Below average on the perimeter
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B-
Paint / rim D
Strong at the rim
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C-
Clutch
Average late
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D
Athleticism
Below average tools
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D
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A-
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Jonas Valančiūnas stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #245 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
56Impact index
107Star score
Career scoring average12.8 ppg
Seasons in the index14
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Jonas Valančiūnas — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C+
Scoring
8.7 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
1.2 APG
drill in ↓
B+
Rebounding
5.1 RPG
drill in ↓
F
Shooting
.308 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Jonas Valančiūnas

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  61% confidence
7.9
pts
5.4–10.4
4.4
reb
3.2–5.6
1.1
ast
0.2–2.0
12.0
min
proj
63
gp
health
.565
fg%
~base
.301
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 14-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 8.7 → projected 7.9 PPG
Minutes / role
-0.9
Development (his trend)
+0.2
Age curve
-0.2
Live context
+0.2
Net vs last season-0.8 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
14 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 34 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 82 / 49 / 65 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Jonas Valančiūnas career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2012-136223.98.96.00.7.557.000
2013-148128.211.38.80.7.531.000
2014-158026.212.08.70.5.572.000
2015-166026.012.89.10.7.565.000
2016-178025.812.09.50.7.557.500
2017-187722.412.78.61.1.568.405
2018-193018.812.87.21.0.575.300
2019-207026.414.911.31.9.585.352
2020-216228.317.112.51.8.592.368
2021-227430.317.811.42.6.544.361
2022-237924.914.110.21.8.547.349
2023-248223.512.28.82.1.559.308
2024-254920.011.58.22.2.547.259
2025-266513.48.75.11.2.582.308
Career95124.612.89.11.4
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Denver Nuggets built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

55–27proj record
#4conf seed
+5.4net rtg
121.3off rtg
115.9def rtg
98%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Switch-heavy — Switches 1–4 (or 1–5) to erase actions and keep bodies in front. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon.
How his role moves
Projected 55–27, 4th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
56 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad of Jonas Valančiūnas

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

May 6, 1992

The beginning

A bruising Lithuanian veteran and elite rebounder — the rugged interior insurance behind Nikola Jokić.

Denver Nuggets

Turning pro

Drafted 5th overall, 2011 as a Center.

true

A throwback bruiser from a basketball-mad nation — the rugged interior muscle behind the game's best center.

Chapter

Born in Utena, Lithuania, Valančiūnas went fifth overall to Toronto in 2011 and became one of the league's most reliable physical centers — rebounding and scoring in the paint.

Chapter

Across Toronto, Memphis, New Orleans, Washington, and Sacramento he set franchise rebounding marks and, for Lithuania, won two EuroBasket silvers and seven national Player of the Year awards.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 11"
Weight
265 lbs
Experience
13th Season
NBA debut
2012
Draft
5th overall, 2011
Born
Utena, Lithuania
Age
34
Jersey
#17
Beyond the game

Valančiūnas carries the pride of Lithuanian basketball, a nation where the sport is close to a religion. A national-team fixture since age 19 and a seven-time domestic Player of the Year, he's spent his career as a throwback: a big, physical, low-post center in a league that drifted toward speed and spacing. In Denver he settled into a fittingly veteran role — rugged backup minutes and rebounding — after a brief, well-documented flirtation with finishing his career overseas.

The person

A physical, old-school interior big and proud Lithuanian veteran — rebounding and toughness on demand.

Bruising rebounderCareer 9.0 boards a game and franchise rebounding records across teams.
Lithuanian great7× national Player of the Year; 2× EuroBasket silver.
Durable veteranFirst Lithuanian to reach 1,000 NBA games (2026).
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Jonas Valančiūnas — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Jonas Valančiūnas, answered.

Where is Jonas Valančiūnas from?
Utena, Lithuania. He was the 5th overall pick in the 2011 NBA Draft by Toronto.
What is Valančiūnas's role in Denver?
A rugged veteran backup center — rebounding and interior scoring behind Nikola Jokić.
Jonas Valančiūnas career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Jonas Valančiūnas

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
84%
14 seasons
Last 3 seasons
80%
50 games missed
Games missed
177
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
steady
Availability by season
80
16-17
77
17-18
30
18-19
70
19-20
62
20-21
74
21-22
79
22-23
82
23-24
49
24-25
65
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is steady80% of games over the last three seasons, low of 37% in 2018-19.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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