The Index · Live

Tre JohnsonWashington Commanders · #12

Guard · 6'5", 190 lb · Dallas, Texas · Age 20 · 1st season

Tre Johnson is a 6-foot-5 scoring guard for the Washington Wizards and the No. 6 pick of the 2025 NBA Draft — regarded as one of the best pure shot-makers in his class. After a standout freshman season at Texas, where he was SEC Freshman of the Year and broke Kevin Durant's Longhorns freshman scoring record, he debuted with the highest-scoring Wizards rookie debut since 1992 and averaged around 12 points as a rookie.

MVP race · #198Guard rank · #97Balladex Impact · 55
⚖ Quick compare
T
Tre Johnson
◆ Rated
Washington Commanders · #12 · Guard
Tre Johnson
Season avg12.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.0 ast · .419 fg
Career avg12.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.0 ast · .419 fg
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
12.2pts
2.8reb
2.0ast
LADDER#198 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 55 — Rotation piece tierINDEXTre Johnson · Washington CommandersLADDER#198 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 55 — Rotation piece tierINDEXTre Johnson · Washington Commanders
Scouting report

Tre Johnson — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C-
Rookie Shot-Maker · Impact 55
Tre Johnson is a 6-foot-5 scoring guard for the Washington Wizards and the No. 6 pick of the 2025 NBA Draft — regarded as one of the best pure shot-ma
C
Offense
D
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
C-
Playmaking
Below average creator
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C
Scoring
Average scorer
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F
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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B
Durability
Availability
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Act II

Where Tre Johnson stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #239 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
55Impact index
113Star score
Career scoring average12.2 ppg
Seasons in the index1
Accolades on file2
No. 6 Draft pick (2025) · 1× SEC Freshman of the Year (2025)
Stat explorer

Tre Johnson — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C
Scoring
12.2 PPG
drill in ↓
C-
Playmaking
2.0 APG
drill in ↓
F
Rebounding
2.8 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
.358 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Tre Johnson

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 1-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
📊
1 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 20 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 60 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Tre Johnson career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2025-266024.112.22.82.0.419.358
Career6024.112.22.82.0
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Washington Commanders built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

15–67proj record
-42.5net index
50off index
8def index
94pace
Aggressive hedge & helpscheme
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Defensive anchors: Ahkello Witherspoon, Ale Kaho.
How his role moves
Primary guard role on a team grading 50 offense / 8 defense. No calibrated baseline for this team yet — record is modeled.
Balladex Impact
55 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
2 accolades
No. 6 Draft pick (2025) · 1× SEC Freshman of the Year (2025)
Act IV

The Ballad of Tre Johnson

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Mar 7, 2006

The beginning

An elite scoring guard and shot-maker — a No.

Washington Commanders

Turning pro

Drafted 6th overall, 2025 as a Guard.

true

An elite scoring guard and shot-maker — a No. 6 pick and the future of Washington's backcourt.

Chapter

Texas Mr. Basketball, Johnson averaged 19.9 a game at Texas and broke Kevin Durant's freshman scoring record.

Chapter

Washington drafted him 6th in 2025 as a cornerstone scorer.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 5"
Weight
190 lbs
College
Texas
Experience
1st Season
Draft
6th overall, 2025
Born
Dallas, Texas
Age
20
Jersey
#12
Beyond the game

Johnson comes from a basketball family — his father, Richard, played college ball and coached at his son's high school — and starred in the talent-rich Dallas area before a decorated one-and-done season at Texas. A McDonald's All-American and Texas Mr. Basketball, he arrived in the NBA with a reputation as an elite, natural scorer.

His on-court identity is shot-making — a 6-foot-5 guard who creates his own shot with deep and mid-range shooting, a smooth, high-volume scorer who shot nearly 40% from three and 87% from the line in college. On a rebuilding Washington team he has a clear runway for minutes and shot volume; rounding out his efficiency and all-around game is the path from bucket-getter to lead scorer.

The person

A natural scoring guard and shot-maker — self-creation, deep range, and volume.

Elite scorerOne of the best pure shot-makers in his draft class.
Self-creatorCreates his own shot with deep and mid-range shooting.
PedigreedSEC Freshman of the Year who broke Durant's Texas record.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Tre Johnson — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Tre Johnson, answered.

What is Tre Johnson known for?
Elite scoring and shot-making — a natural shot creator with deep range who was SEC Freshman of the Year at Texas and broke Kevin Durant's Longhorns freshman scoring record.
How high was Tre Johnson drafted?
No. 6 overall by the Washington Wizards in the 2025 NBA Draft.
How did Tre Johnson's rookie season go?
He debuted with 16 points — the highest-scoring Wizards rookie debut since 1992 — and averaged around 12 points a game with a clear runway for minutes.
Tre Johnson career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Tre Johnson

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
73%
1 seasons
Last 3 seasons
73%
22 games missed
Games missed
22
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
steady
Availability by season
60
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is steady73% of games over the last three seasons, low of 73% in 2025-26.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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