The Index · Live
Will RileyWashington Commanders · #27
Will Riley is a forward the Washington Wizards selected 21st overall in the 2025 NBA draft out of Illinois. A rookie building his NBA foundation in 2025-26 — full profile with projected role and outlook.
MVP race · #220Forward rank · #116Balladex Impact · 37
W
◆ Rated
Washington Commanders · #27 · Forward
Will Riley
Season avg10.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.0 ast · .439 fg
Career avg10.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.0 ast · .439 fg
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
10.3pts
2.9reb
2.0ast
LADDER#220 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 37 — Role player tierINDEXWill Riley · Washington CommandersLADDER#220 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 37 — Role player tierINDEXWill Riley · Washington Commanders
Scouting report
Will Riley — the report card
Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.
F
Two-way wing prospect · Impact 37
Will Riley is a forward the Washington Wizards selected 21st overall in the 2025 NBA draft out of Illinois. A rookie building his NBA foundation in 20
F
OffenseF
DefenseF
Feel / IQF
Playmaking
Below average creator
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D
Scoring
Below average scorer
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F
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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F
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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F
Perimeter D
Below average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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F
Clutch
Below average late
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D
Athleticism
Below average tools
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F
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A+
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II
Where Will Riley stands
Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.
The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN▬
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL▬
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC▬
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA▬
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS▬
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN▬
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI▬
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN▬
2%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #321 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
37Impact index
85Star score
Career scoring average10.3 ppg
Seasons in the index1
Accolades on file1
#21 2025 Draft pick
Stat explorer
Will Riley — every number, three levels deep
Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.
D
Scoring
10.3 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
2.0 APG
drill in ↓
F
Rebounding
2.9 RPG
drill in ↓
F
Shooting
.316 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine
How the model sees Will Riley
Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.
Projected 2026-27 confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 1-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
📊
1 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
⚖
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age — — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 74 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified
Will Riley career stats, season by season
| Season | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 74 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 2.0 | .439 | .316 |
| Career | 74 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 2.0 |
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III
The Lab
Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.
Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context
Are the Washington Commanders built to win?
Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.
15–67proj record
-42.5net index
50off index
8def index
94pace
Aggressive hedge & helpscheme
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Defensive anchors: Ahkello Witherspoon, Ale Kaho.
How his role moves
Primary forward role on a team grading 50 offense / 8 defense. No calibrated baseline for this team yet — record is modeled.
Balladex Impact
37 of 99
Role player tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
1 accolades
#21 2025 Draft pick
Act IV
The Ballad of Will Riley
Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.
The beginning
Will Riley is a 2025 first-round rookie forward for the Washington Wizards.
Washington Commanders
Turning pro
Drafted 21st overall, 2025 as a Forward.
true
Will Riley arrived in the NBA as the 21st pick of the 2025 draft, joining the Washington Wizards out of Illinois.
Chapter
Year one is about carving a role: the ratings and stat line here are Balladex projections for a first-year forward still finding his footing.
Where things stand
A first-year forward finding his NBA footing.
▶
▶
Riley's story
The documentary, narrated
Highlights
Off the court
Measurables ESPN
Active
- Height
- 6' 9"
- Weight
- 180 lbs
- College
- Illinois
- Experience
- 1st Season
- Draft
- 21st overall, 2025
- Born
- Illinois
- Jersey
- #27
Beyond the game
Riley joins the Washington Wizards as part of the 2025 rookie class.
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The person
A 2025 first-round rookie forward out of Illinois.
Young
Developing
Illinois
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ
Will Riley — frequently asked
The questions people ask most about Will Riley, answered.
Where was Will Riley drafted?
Will Riley was selected 21st overall by the Washington Wizards in the 2025 NBA draft, out of Illinois.
Are Riley's stats on this page real?
The identity and draft facts are real; the 2025-26 stat line and role ratings are Balladex projections, clearly labeled, since he is a first-year player.
Will Riley career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
