BALLADEX
The Index · Live

Will Riley Washington Wizards · #27

Forward · 6'8", 215 lb · Illinois · 1st season

Will Riley is a forward the Washington Wizards selected 21st overall in the 2025 NBA draft out of Illinois. A rookie building his NBA foundation in 2025-26 — full profile with projected role and outlook.

Washington Wizards rosterMore Forwards
MVP race · #191Forward rank · #118Balladex Impact · 37
⚖ Quick compare
Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex · Updated
W
Will Riley
◆ Rated
Washington Wizards · #27 · Forward
Will Riley
Season avg10.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.0 ast · .439 fg
Career avg10.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.0 ast · .439 fg
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
10.3pts
2.9reb
2.0ast
LADDER#191 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 37 — Role player tierINDEXWill Riley · Washington WizardsLADDER#191 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 37 — Role player tierINDEXWill Riley · Washington Wizards
Scouting report

Will Riley — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

F
Two-way wing prospect · Impact 37
Will Riley is a forward the Washington Wizards selected 21st overall in the 2025 NBA draft out of Illinois. A rookie building his NBA foundation in 20
F
Offense
F
Defense
F
Feel / IQ
F
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
D
Scoring
Below average scorer
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F
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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F
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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F
Perimeter D
Below average on the perimeter
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F
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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F
Clutch
Below average late
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D
Athleticism
Below average tools
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F
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A+
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Will Riley stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN▬
31%
2
Luka Doncic LAL▬
19%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC▬
8%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA▬
5%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS▬
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN▬
3%
7
Jamal Murray DEN▬
2%
8
Tyrese Maxey PHI▬
2%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #321 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
37Impact index
85Star score
Career scoring average10.3 ppg
Seasons in the index1
Accolades on file1
#21 2025 Draft pick
Stat explorer

Will Riley — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

D
Scoring
10.3 PPG
drill in ↓
F
Playmaking
2.0 APG
drill in ↓
F
Rebounding
2.9 RPG
drill in ↓
F
Shooting
.316 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Will Riley

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 1-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
📊
1 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
⚖
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age — — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 74 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Will Riley career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2025-267422.110.32.92.0.439.316
Career7422.110.32.92.0
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Washington Wizards built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

15–67proj record
#15conf seed
-11net rtg
110.1off rtg
121.1def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Deandre Ayton, Alex Sarr.
How his role moves
Projected 15–67, 15th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
37 of 99
Role player tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
1 accolades
#21 2025 Draft pick
Act IV

The Ballad of Will Riley

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

The beginning

Will Riley is a 2025 first-round rookie forward for the Washington Wizards.

Washington Wizards

Turning pro

Drafted 21st overall, 2025 as a Forward.

true

Will Riley arrived in the NBA as the 21st pick of the 2025 draft, joining the Washington Wizards out of Illinois.

Chapter

Year one is about carving a role: the ratings and stat line here are Balladex projections for a first-year forward still finding his footing.

Where things stand

A first-year forward finding his NBA footing.

▶
▶
Riley's story
The documentary, narrated

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 9"
Weight
180 lbs
College
Illinois
Experience
2nd Season
Draft
21st overall, 2025
Born
Illinois
Jersey
#27
Beyond the game

Riley joins the Washington Wizards as part of the 2025 rookie class.

The person

A 2025 first-round rookie forward out of Illinois.

Young
Developing
Illinois
Verified profiles & sources
ESPN
FAQ

Will Riley — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Will Riley, answered.

Where was Will Riley drafted?
Will Riley was selected 21st overall by the Washington Wizards in the 2025 NBA draft, out of Illinois.
Are Riley's stats on this page real?
The identity and draft facts are real; the 2025-26 stat line and role ratings are Balladex projections, clearly labeled, since he is a first-year player.
Will Riley career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Will Riley

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
90%
1 seasons
Last 3 seasons
90%
8 games missed
Games missed
8
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Durable
steady
Availability by season
74
25-26

Durable. Availability trend is steady — 90% of games over the last three seasons, low of 90% in 2025-26.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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Will Riley head-to-head

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